The centrist Blue Dog Coalition was decimated in the 2010 GOP wave election, and its members face further problems: Including Shuler, seven of the 26 Blue Dog Democrats left in Congress after last election are retiring or have already, and GOP gerrymanders in states like North Carolina have put further pressure on the caucus.

To counteract that, their political action committee has been much more active this cycle in both fundraising and messaging. Rogers is the seventh candidate it has endorsed, and the group plans to give support to a few more in the coming weeks.


The Hill rates this race as likely Republican.