Two new polls have Democrat Seth MoultonSeth MoultonHow lawmakers aided the Afghan evacuation GOP lawmaker says he did not threaten US Embassy staff in Tajikistan House panel approves B boost for defense budget MORE leading Republican Richard Tisei in the battle for Rep. John Tierney’s (D-Mass.) seat.
One, a survey conducted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign committee and obtained by The Hill, gives Moulton 49 percent support among likely voters to Tisei’s 41 percent support, with 10 percent of voters undecided.
Moulton leads by 11 points among women and five points among seniors in the new poll.
According to the DCCC’s polling memo, Moulton is known by 60 percent of voters in the district, and “the rate of those who hold a favorable opinion of him is … four times as high as the rate of those who hold an unfavorable view.”
Tisei is also well-known, according to the memo, but “voters’ opinions of him are mixed.”
The other was conducted by 314 PAC, a group dedicated to electing candidates with science and technology backgrounds, which endorsed Moulton on Tuesday. The IVR survey, conducted by Municipoll, has Moulton up by a more significant margin, taking 49 percent to Tisei’s 31 percent support among likely voters. Twenty percent are undecided.
The candidates’ favorables appear similar to those that the DCCC found. About 60 percent of voters have an opinion on Moulton, and 70 percent have an opinion on Tisei. Moulton is seen more favorably than negatively at a rate of more than 2 to 1, while voters are more split over Tisei, though he’s still seen more positively than negatively.
While the district leans Democratic, Republicans believe Tisei can still make it competitive, but Democrats — as the new polls show — have a solid shot with Moulton as their nominee, following his defeat of Tierney in the primary.
The DCCC poll was conducted on Sept. 13 among 432 likely voters and has a margin of error of 4.7 percent. The 314 PAC survey was conducted among 490 likely voters from Sept. 12-14 and has a margin of error of 4.4 percent.