New Hampshire poll finds Rubio gaining ground on Trump
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A new poll finds Sen. Marco RubioMarco Antonio RubioOn The Money: Dems set Tuesday vote on Trump's emergency declaration | Most Republicans expected to back Trump | Senate plots to avoid fall shutdown drama | Powell heading before Congress Brown, Rubio trade barbs over ‘dignity of work’ as Brown mulls presidential bid The Hill's Morning Report — Emergency declaration to test GOP loyalty to Trump MORE (R-Fla.) gaining ground on Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpAverage tax refunds down double-digits, IRS data shows White House warns Maduro as Venezuela orders partial closure of border with Colombia Trump administration directs 1,000 more troops to Mexican border MORE in the early-voting state of New Hampshire.

The Adrian Gray Consulting poll shows that while Trump is leading Rubio narrowly among all GOP voters in the state, Rubio is in first place among the Republicans "very likely" to vote in the primary.


The survey shows Trump with 21 percent support among all Republican voters, followed by Rubio, with 17 percent, Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzInviting Kim Jong Un to Washington Trump endorses Cornyn for reelection as O'Rourke mulls challenge O’Rourke not ruling out being vice presidential candidate MORE (R-Texas), with 11 percent, and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, each with 8 percent.

But when the sample is narrowed to Republicans who say they are "likely" to vote, Trump’s lead over Rubio shrinks to just 1 point, 19 percent to 18 percent.

Among “very likely” Republican primary voters, Rubio leads Trump 19 percent to 17 percent. 

The poll's findings differ sharply from other recent surveys that show Trump leading in New Hampshire by double-digit margins.

The Adrian Gray survey was conducted Dec. 6–8. Trump first called for a ban on Muslims entering the United States on Dec. 7.

The telephone poll included 609 GOP voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Adrian Gray Consulting is a nonpartisan public affairs research company in Westchester, N.Y.