Presidential races

Poll: Sanders leads Clinton by double digits in New Hampshire

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Bernie Sanders leads Hillary Clinton by 14 points in New Hampshire less than a month before the first-in-the-nation presidential primary, a new poll finds.

According to a Monmouth University survey released on Tuesday, the Vermont senator takes 53 percent support over the former secretary of State at 39 percent. Clinton led the same poll in November with 48 percent support over Sanders, who was at 45 percent. 

Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley takes 5 percent support in the new poll.

{mosads}The Monmouth survey is the second released this month to show Sanders with a double-digit lead over Clinton in New Hampshire, although most other recent polls show a tight race with the candidates within the margin of error of one another.

According to the RealClearPolitics average of polls, not counting this new poll, Sanders leads Clinton by 4.3 points in New Hampshire.

A majority of voters in the state, 52 percent, said they have completely finalized their decision, up from 35 percent who said the same in November. A majority of Sanders’s supporters, 55 percent, said they will not change their minds before the Feb. 9 election, compared to 49 percent of Clinton’s supporters who said the same.

“New Hampshire Democratic preferences are getting baked in, with Sanders gaining the upper hand,” said Monmouth polling director Patrick Murray. “The final question will be who does a better job at turning out their respective voting blocs.”

Sanders leads among nearly every demographic, including men, women, young people, old people, registered Democrats and those who are currently unaffiliated but say they will register to vote in the Democratic primary.

Sanders takes 50 percent support among women, compared to Clinton at 44 percent. In November, Clinton led Sanders among women by nearly 20 points.

Young voters are also boosting Sanders in the state. He leads Clinton 58 percent to 30 percent among voters under the age of 50.

And Sanders benefits from near-universal approval among New Hampshire Democrats. Ninety percent have a positive view of Sanders, compared to only 6 percent who view him negatively. Clinton, meanwhile, sits at 73 percent favorable and 19 percent unfavorable.

Clinton was boosted in the previous survey by a 22-point advantage among the registered Democrats who are most likely to turn out on Election Day. But Sanders has since won over this group, and now leads 50 percent to 42 percent.

Sanders also has a commanding lead, 58 percent to 34 percent, among independents and new voters who say they’re likely to vote in the Democratic primary. New Hampshire allows for same-day registration for the primary.

The Monmouth University survey of 413 likely Democratic voters in New Hampshire was conducted between Jan. 7 and Jan. 10 and has a margin of error of 4.8 percentage points.

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