Cook: Trump could sweep toss-up states and still lose to Clinton
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The latest Electoral College forecast published by the Cook Political Report on Monday found that Donald TrumpDonald TrumpWendy Sherman takes leading role as Biden's 'hard-nosed' Russia negotiator Senate needs to confirm Deborah Lipstadt as antisemitism envoy — Now Former acting Defense secretary under Trump met with Jan. 6 committee: report MORE would lose to Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonA year into his presidency, Biden is polling at an all-time low The Memo: 2024 chatter reveals Democratic nervousness Second gentleman Emhoff acts as public link to White House MORE even if he could sweep the toss-up states in November.


"As the race stands today, Trump could sweep the entire Toss Up column and still come up two electoral votes short of the 270 needed to win," the report said.

"At the mid-point of August, Hillary Clinton has 21 states plus the District of Columbia and three of Maine’s four electoral votes that are Solidly, Likely or Leaning in Democratic for a total of 272 electoral votes, two more than the 270 electoral votes needed to win.

"Donald Trump has 22 states plus four of Nebraska’s five votes Solidly, Likely or Leaning in his direction for a total of 190 electoral votes — 80 short of victory."

Cook placed Florida, Iowa, Nebraska and Maine's 2nd Congressional District, Nevada, North Carolina and Ohio in the toss-up category for a total of 76 electoral votes.

Cook also noted the poor poll performance of the Republican presidential nominee, who trails Clinton, the Democratic nominee, in several crucial states.

"Many observers have noted that in the last six decades of modern presidential polling, the candidate with the lead in the polls two weeks after the final convention has always won.

"For now, 84 days before the November 8 election, we see this race settling into a very high probability that Hillary Clinton prevails over Donald Trump, though the size of the margin is still up in the air," the report said.

The Cook Political Report is a nonpartisan newsletter that analyzes U.S. congressional, gubernatorial and presidential campaigns.