Poll: Trump holds narrow lead over Clinton in Florida
© Getty Images

Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpMnuchin knocks Greta Thunberg's activism: Study economics and then 'come back' to us The Hill's Morning Report - House prosecutes Trump as 'lawless,' 'corrupt' What to watch for on Day 3 of Senate impeachment trial MORE has a 2-point lead over Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonCollins walks impeachment tightrope Hill.TV's Saagar Enjeti rips Sanders for 'inability to actually fight with bad actors' in party Hill.TV's Krystal Ball knocks Clinton's 'mean girl' comments against Sanders MORE in the battleground state of Florida, a new poll finds.

ADVERTISEMENT

A new Florida Atlantic University survey released on Wednesday shows the Republican presidential nominee leading his Democratic counterpart 43 percent to 41 percent, which is within the survey’s margin of error. Libertarian nominee Gary JohnsonGary Earl JohnsonThe 'Green' new deal that Tom Perez needs to make The Trump strategy: Dare the Democrats to win Trump challenger: 'All bets are off' if I win New Hampshire primary MORE captures 8 percent, and 5 percent are undecided.

This is the first poll showing Trump leading Clinton in the Sunshine State since early July, according to RealClearPolitics polling.

Both major-party nominees have negative favorability ratings in the state. Forty-one percent view Trump favorably, while 56 percent view him unfavorably. Clinton is viewed favorably by 40 percent, while 58 percent view her unfavorably.

Trump is winning over independents by a double-digit margin, 47 percent to 26 percent, and he has a similar edge with male and white voters. Clinton leads among female voters and African-Americans by nearly 50 points and Hispanics by 10 points.

“The race between Clinton and Trump among Hispanics in Florida is closer than it is nationally,” said Monica Escaleras, the director of Florida Atlantic University’s Business and Economics Polling Initiative. “Some of that is probably the Cuban vote. Trump’s support among Latinos in Florida is helping him stay competitive.”

The poll was conducted Aug. 19–22 and surveyed 1,200 likely voters. The margin of error is 2.7 percentage points.

In the Florida Senate race, Republican Sen. Marco RubioMarco Antonio RubioLawmaker wants Chinese news outlet to register as foreign agent Apple under pressure to unlock Pensacola shooter's phones Senators offer bill to create alternatives to Huawei in 5G tech MORE is leading his likely Democratic opponent, Rep. Patrick Murphy, by 5 points, 44 percent to 39 percent.

Both candidates are leading in their respective primaries, which will be held next Tuesday.

The race for a crucial Senate seat could be pivotal in determining which party gains control of the upper chamber next year. So far, Rubio holds an almost 6-point lead in a RealClearPolitics average of polls.