Alaska Senate candidate Dan Sullivan (R) trails Sen. Mark BegichMark BegichRyan's victory trumps justice reform opponents There is great responsibility being in the minority Senate GOP deeply concerned over Trump effect MORE (D-Alaska) by a narrow margin, according to an internal poll for Sullivan's campaign obtained by The Hill.
Sullivan also has a big lead over his primary rivals, according to the poll. He pulls 38 percent support to 22 percent for Alaska Lt. Gov. Mead Treadwell (R) and 12 percent for 2010 Senate nominee Joe Miller (R).
Sullivan's pollster says the numbers show he's in a strong position to win this fall, arguing that he's held up well under early Democratic attacks and pointing to the fact that most voters who were undecided in the poll don't like President Obama.
Internal polls should always be taken with a grain of salt, and the polling memo doesn't include a breakdown of Obama's standing in the state or whether more undecided voters dislike Obama than those who've already made up their minds about the race. But the poll indicates a tight race in the top-targeted state.
The live-caller poll of 500 registered voters, using landlines and cellphones, was conducted from April 27-28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.