President Obama can’t seem to stop bear-hugging red-state Democrats — and Republicans are the ones grinning with glee.

Obama’s recent comments that congressmen like Sens. Mark PryorMark Lunsford PryorMedicaid rollback looms for GOP senators in 2020 Cotton pitches anti-Democrat message to SC delegation Ex-Sen. Kay Hagan joins lobby firm MORE (D-Ark.) and Mary LandrieuMary Loretta LandrieuCongress needs to work to combat the poverty, abuse and neglect issues that children face Dems wrestle over how to vote on ‘Green New Deal’ Lobbying world MORE (D-La.) “vote with me” and “have supported by agenda in Congress” were made on the heels of earlier comments that his “policies are on the ballot,” giving Republicans even more chances to tie Democrats to the unpopular president.

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Democratic chances of maintaining the Senate two weeks from Election Day are dimming — and their party’s leader seems bent on making it harder for them to turn things around.

 

SENATE SHOWDOWN

CO-SEN (UDALL): Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonHillary Clinton slams Trump for spreading 'sexist trash' about Pelosi Gillibrand seizes on abortion debate to jump-start campaign DNC boss says candidates to be involved in debate lottery MORE praised Sen. Mark UdallMark Emery UdallDenver Post editorial board says Gardner endorsement was 'mistake' Gardner gets latest Democratic challenge from former state senator Setting the record straight about No Labels MORE (D-Colo.), a leading critic of the National Security Agency, for his work on intelligence reform and women's issues during a campaign stop Tuesday.

KS-SEN (ROBERTS): Former Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney will campaign for Sen. Pat RobertsCharles (Pat) Patrick RobertsWomen's civil rights are not a state issue The Hill's 12:30 Report: Tough questions await Trump immigration plan Pat Robertson: Alabama 'has gone too far' with 'extreme' abortion law MORE (R-Kan.) in the state next week, as he fights off a fierce challenge from independent Greg Orman.

SD-SEN (OPEN): Former FBI agent John Good, who was the supervising agent during the Abscam investigation, will campaign with former Sen. Larry Pressler (I) this week, to highlight the fact Pressler turned down a bribe during the FBI sting.

LA-SEN (LANDRIEU): Sen. Mike LeeMichael (Mike) Shumway LeeOn The Money: Senate passes disaster aid bill after deal with Trump | Trump to offer B aid package for farmers | House votes to boost retirement savings | Study says new tariffs to double costs for consumers Senate passes disaster aid bill after deal with Trump Hillicon Valley: Google delays cutting off Huawei | GOP senators split over breaking up big tech | Report finds DNC lagging behind RNC on cybersecurity MORE (R-Utah) named Tea Party-backed Rob Maness one of “a new generation of Republican candidates ... finding success by directly addressing Americans’ concerns and running on a conservative reform agenda.” He touted Maness, seen as a long-shot in his race, alongside stronger GOP candidates like Rep. Tom CottonThomas (Tom) Bryant CottonGOP senator says Iran needs to 'stop acting like an outlaw' Sen. Tom Cotton: 'Memorial Day is our most sacred holiday' The Hill's Morning Report — After contentious week, Trump heads for Japan MORE (R-Ark.) and Nebraska GOP Senate nominee Ben Sasse, and said Maness “has begun to surge in Louisiana.”

AZ-SEN (MCCAIN): Sen. John McCainJohn Sidney McCainClimate change is a GOP issue, too It's Joe Biden's 2020 presidential nomination to lose Meghan McCain on Pelosi-Trump feud: 'Put this crap aside' and 'work together for America' MORE (R-Ariz.) will meet with supporters after the midterms to discuss his future political plans. He hasn’t yet indicated whether he plans to run for a sixth term, but appears to be leaning toward it.

GA-SEN (OPEN): The Georgia Democratic Party is invoking the killing of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Mo., to try to motivate African-American voters to the polls.

"If you want to prevent another Ferguson in their future, vote," reads a mailer from the party over photos from Ferguson and young African-American children holding signs that say "don't shoot."

Just one-third of the more than 180,000 newly registered Georgia votes self-describes as white, a sign many — if not most — are Democratic-leaning minority voters.

NC-SEN (HAGAN): North Carolina Speaker Thom Tillis (R) will debate himself this evening, as a scheduled debate will go on despite former Sen. Kay HaganKay Ruthven HaganNorth Carolina businessman will challenge Tillis in GOP primary Embattled senators fill coffers ahead of 2020 NC state senator meets with DSCC as Dems eye challenge to Tillis MORE’s (D-N.C.) decision not to participate.

Tillis will stump with Rep. Paul RyanPaul Davis RyanAmash storm hits Capitol Hill Debate with Donald Trump? Just say no Ex-Trump adviser says GOP needs a better health-care message for 2020 MORE (R-Wis.) tomorrow.

IA-SEN (OPEN): Sen. Tom HarkinThomas (Tom) Richard HarkinStop asking parents to sacrifice Social Security benefits for paid family leave The FDA crackdown on dietary supplements is inadequate Wisconsin lawmaker refuses to cut hair until sign-language bill passes MORE (D-Iowa) said Sen. Chuck GrassleyCharles (Chuck) Ernest GrassleyTrump-Pelosi fight threatens drug pricing talks Overnight Health Care — Presented by PCMA — Senators unveil sweeping bipartisan health care package | House lawmakers float Medicare pricing reforms | Dems offer bill to guarantee abortion access Bipartisan senators reveal sweeping health care package MORE (R-Iowa) is “going to be chairman of the Judiciary Committee” in a New York Times interview — inadvertently suggesting that Republicans will take Senate control and potentially suggesting that he might not think Rep. Bruce BraleyBruce Lowell BraleyOPINION | Tax reform, not Trump-McConnell feuds, will make 2018 a win for GOP Ten years later, House Dems reunite and look forward Trump: Ernst wanted 'more seasoning' before entertaining VP offer MORE (D-Iowa) will win his seat.

 

BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE

DCCC: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee invested $2 million more into protecting what it has, adding money for Reps. Ann KirkpatrickAnn KirkpatrickArizona Dems ask DHS to appoint 'crisis coordinator' at border Democrats introduce bill to let 'Dreamers' work for Congress Push for ‘Medicare for all’ worries centrist Dems MORE (D-Ariz.), William Enyart (D-Ill.), Rick Nolan (D-Minn.), Collin Peterson (D-Minn.), Dave Loebsack (D-Iowa) and the open seat held by Rep. Bruce Braley (D-Iowa), who is running for the Senate.

NY-11 (GRIMM): New York NEXT, a new political action committee formed "to make New York City a better place for both this generation and those that follow," is launching a field effort to support Democrat Domenic Recchia in his challenge to Rep. Michael Grimm (R-N.Y.).

MA-6 (OPEN): Former Republican Senate nominee Gabriel Gomez held a press conference with Republican Richard Tisei to push back on Democrat Seth Moulton's charge that Tisei voted to cut funding for veterans' services during his time in the Massachusetts Senate. Gomez is a former Navy SEAL, while Moulton is a former Marine.

LA-5 (MCALLISTER): Republican Zach Dasher, a cousin of the family in TLC's hit reality television series "Duck Dynasty," made a number of controversial comments prior to running for Congress, including warning America is "vulnerable to a Stalin-like tyranny."

 

AD WATCH

GA-SEN (OPEN): EMILY’s List hits businessman David Perdue (R) for an equal-pay lawsuit against Dollar General that came when he was CEO.

AK-SEN (BEGICH): Dan Sullivan attacks Sen. Mark BegichMark Peter BegichFormer GOP chairman Royce joins lobbying shop Lobbying world Dem governors on 2020: Opposing Trump not enough MORE (D-Alaska) as “desperate” in a new ad.

Begich says he’ll “work with anyone” in a new ad pushing back against attacks on his tenure as Anchorage mayor.

KY-SEN (MCCONNELL): Sen. Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellThe Hill's 12:30 Report: Trump orders more troops to Mideast amid Iran tensions What if 2020 election is disputed? Immigration bills move forward amid political upheaval MORE’s (R-Ky.) new ad features Democrats endorsing him and touting him as committed to Kentucky. Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes hits McConnell for not doing enough to improve the Brent Spence Bridge in a television ad, and also launched a new radio ad aimed at African-American voters, featuring state Sen. Georgia Powers (D), the first woman and first African-American elected to the Kentucky Senate.

SD-SEN (OPEN): Sen. John ThuneJohn Randolph ThuneFrustration boils over with Senate's 'legislative graveyard' Hillicon Valley: Assange hit with 17 more charges | Facebook removes record 2.2B fake profiles | Senate passes anti-robocall bill | Senators offer bill to help companies remove Huawei equipment Senate passes anti-robocall bill MORE (R-S.D.) goes to bat for former Gov. Mike Rounds (R) in the candidate’s latest ad.

LA-SEN (LANDRIEU): Tea Party-backed Rob Maness pledges to “make ObamaCare roadkill” in his new ad, which was chosen through votes from supporters. American Crossroads has launched a new ad in the race that targets Landrieu for cuts to Medicare Advantage and hits her on residency questions.

KS-SEN (ROBERTS): Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.) ties independent Greg Orman to President Obama in a new ad. Orman frames himself as fiscally conservative with bipartisan support in a new ad that cuts together news clips highlighting his bid. 

CAMPAIGN COMMITTEES: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee launched a series of ads aimed at African-American and Hispanic voters. The ads target Rep. Steve Southerland (R-Fla.) and an open seat in Arkansas, and look to boost Reps. Ron BarberRonald (Ron) Sylvester BarberKavanaugh nomination a make or break moment to repeal Citizens United Latina Leaders to Watch 2018 Principles and actions mean more than Jeff Flake’s words MORE (D-Ariz.), Julia BrownleyJulia Andrews BrownleyBooker takes early lead in 2020 endorsements Overnight Energy: Ocasio-Cortez rolls out Green New Deal measure | Pelosi taps members for climate panel | AOC left out | Court reviews order for EPA to ban pesticide Ocasio-Cortez: ‘I truly do not’ believe Pelosi snubbed me on climate change panel MORE (D-Calif.), William Enyart (D-Ill.) and Cheri BustosCheryl (Cheri) Lea BustosHit singer Andy Grammer says 'unity' more important than any political party The Hill's Morning Report - Trump says no legislation until Dems end probes DCCC chair Bustos pulls out of fundraiser for anti-abortion rights Democrat MORE (D-Ill.).

The National Republican Congressional Committee launched a spate of new ads as well on Tuesday, in districts held by Reps. John BarrowJohn Jenkins BarrowRepublican wins Georgia secretary of state runoff to replace Kemp The most important runoff election is one you probably never heard of Our democracy can’t afford to cut legal aid services from the budget MORE (D-Ga.), Nick RahallNick Joe RahallWe shouldn't allow politics to impede disaster relief Break the cycle of partisanship with infant, child health care programs Clinton mulls role in 2018 midterms MORE (D-W.Va.) Ann Kirkpatrick (D-Ariz.), Ami BeraAmerish (Ami) Babulal BeraA pathway to universal health care coverage Moderate Dems revive effort to stabilize ObamaCare markets The Hill's Morning Report — Groundhog Day: Negotiations implode as shutdown reaches 20 days MORE (D-Calif.), Scott Peters (D-Calif.), Steve Southerland (R-Fla.), Joe GarciaJose (Joe) Antonio GarciaOvernight Defense: Biden honors McCain at Phoenix memorial service | US considers sending captured ISIS fighters to Gitmo and Iraq | Senators press Trump on ending Yemen civil war Biden pays tribute to McCain at emotional memorial service Mueller indictments: Congressional candidate asked Russian operatives for info on opponent MORE (D-Fla.), Collin Peterson (D-Minn.), William Enyart (D-Ill.), Tim BishopTimothy (Tim) Howard BishopDem candidate 'struck by the parallels' between Trump's rise and Hitler's Dems separated by 29 votes in NY House primary Flint residents hire first K Street firm MORE (D-N.Y.), Chris Gibson (R-N.Y.) and Iowa’s open 3rd District.

AZ-2 (BARBER): Rep. Ron Barber’s (D) newest ads hits Republican Martha McSally on education funding, and targets Hispanic voters with a Spanish-language attack tying McSally to the Tea Party.

NE-2 (TERRY): Rep. Lee Terry (R) doubles down on his attacks against Democrat Brad Ashford for failing to oppose the state’s “good time” law, which lets criminals out of prison early for good behavior, in an ad featuring the president of the Omaha Police Officers Association.

CA-7 (BERA): Rep. Ami Bera (D-Calif.) hits former Rep. Doug Ose (R-Calif.) on abortion and birth control in a new ad.

CA-17 (HONDA): Rep. Mike Honda (D-Calif.) ties opponent Ro Khanan to “billionaires” and “right-wing activists” in a new ad.

WV-2 (OPEN): Sen. Joe ManchinJoseph (Joe) ManchinSenate Democrats to House: Tamp down the impeachment talk The Hill's Morning Report - Trump says no legislation until Dems end probes Senate panel approves Interior nominee over objections from Democrats MORE (D-W.Va.) touts Democrat Nick Casey as a “true West Virginian” in the candidate’s new ad, which also hits Republican Alex Mooney as a “liar” and a “fraud.”

 

POLL POSITION

AR-SEN (PRYOR): Rep. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) leads Sen. Mark Pryor (D-Ark.) 49 percent to 41 percent in a new poll conducted by Arkansas Talk Business and Hendrix College.

CO-SEN (UDALL): Two new independent polls continue to show Sen. Mark Udall (D-Colo.) battling for his political life against Rep. Cory GardnerCory Scott GardnerSenate Republicans running away from Alabama abortion law Frustrated GOP senators want answers from Trump on Iran Graham: Trump officials not adequately briefing on Iran threat MORE (R), who holds a slight lead. A poll from Monmouth University gave Rep. Cory Gardner (R-Colo.) 47 percent support to Udall's 46 percent support, while a poll from Democratic firm Public Policy Polling gave Gardner 46 percent support to Udall's 43 percent.

LA-SEN (LANDRIEU): A Raycom Media poll gives Rep. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) a slight lead over Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) in a runoff, taking 43 percent to Landrieu’s 40 percent support.

NH-SEN (SHAHEEN): A new YouGov poll conducted for U-Mass Amherst gives Sen. Jeanne ShaheenCynthia (Jeanne) Jeanne ShaheenOvernight Defense: Details on Senate's 0B defense bill | Bill rejects Trump plan to skirt budget caps | Backfills money for border wall | Defense chief says more troops could head to Mideast Senate defense bill would pull Turkey from F-35 partnership if it buys Russian missile system Trump, Europe increasingly at odds on Iran MORE (D-N.H.) a slight lead over Republican Scott Brown among likely voters, taking 48 percent to Brown's 45 percent support.

NC-SEN (HAGAN): Sen. Kay Hagan (D-N.C.) leads North Carolina Speaker Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) 46 percent to 43 percent in a new automated SurveyUSA poll.

MN-SEN (FRANKEN): Sen. Al FrankenAlan (Al) Stuart FrankenGillibrand seizes on abortion debate to jump-start campaign Study finds misconduct is the top reason CEOs are leaving large companies Hirono electrifies left as Trump antagonist MORE (D-Minn.) leads businessman Mike McFadden (R) 53 percent to 38 percent in a new automated poll from SurveyUSA for KSTP.

AR-2 (OPEN): Former North Little Rock Mayor Pat Hays (D) leads banker French Hill (R) 46 percent to 42 percent in a new poll conducted by Arkansas Talk Business and Hendrix College.

AR-4 (OPEN): Arkansas state Rep. Bruce Westerman (R) has a 44 percent to 42 percent lead over former Federal Emergency Management Agency Director James Lee Witt (D) in a new poll conducted by Arkansas Talk Business and Hendrix College. 

VA-10 (OPEN): Virginia Del. Barbara Comstock (R) leads Fairfax County Supervisor John Foust (D) 51 percent to 35 percent in a new survey conducted by GOP pollster Kellyanne Conway for the conservative group Citizens United.

 

FUNDRAISING FIGURES

CA-52 (PETERS): Republican Carl DeMaio’s campaign said he raised $256,609 from the start of the month through Oct. 15 and had “roughly half a million dollars” heading into the final weeks of the campaign, a period that included a fundraiser with Speaker John BoehnerJohn Andrew BoehnerK Street giants scoop up coveted ex-lawmakers Trump adviser expected to leave White House, join Juul The Hill's 12:30 Report: McGahn inflames Dem divisions on impeachment MORE (R-Ohio).

 

2016 RUMBLINGS

CLINTON: Hillary Clinton drew a reported crowd of 1,000 at a rally for Sen. Mark Udall (D) in Colorado on Tuesday, where she touted his work opposing the NSA’s surveillance program and his efforts on women’s issues.

RUBIO: Sen. Marco RubioMarco Antonio RubioFrustration boils over with Senate's 'legislative graveyard' Senate passes disaster aid bill after deal with Trump GOP senators work to get Trump on board with new disaster aid package MORE (R-Fla.) will appear at a Road to Victory fundraiser for the South Carolina GOP on Wednesday.

PAUL: Former Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) again split with his son, Sen. Rand PaulRandal (Rand) Howard PaulOvernight Defense: 1,500 troops heading to Mideast to counter Iran | Trump cites Iran tensions to push through Saudi arms sale | Senate confirms Army, Navy chiefs before weeklong recess Trump to send 1,500 troops to Middle East to counter Iran Frustration boils over with Senate's 'legislative graveyard' MORE (R-Ky.), this time on Paul and others’ calls for a travel ban for Ebola-infected countries, which the elder Paul dismissed as “politically-motivated.”

CHRISTIE: New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) drew criticism when he dismissed the minimum wage debate during Tuesday remarks to the Chamber of Commerce. “I’m tired of hearing about the minimum wage,” he said.

 

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"Listen, I just say what I believe, and whoever is offended is offended.”

—New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R), defending his argument that the next president should be a former governor