President Obama can’t seem to stop bear-hugging red-state Democrats — and Republicans are the ones grinning with glee.

Obama’s recent comments that congressmen like Sens. Mark PryorMark Lunsford PryorCoronavirus poses risks for Trump in 2020 Tom Cotton's only Democratic rival quits race in Arkansas Medicaid rollback looms for GOP senators in 2020 MORE (D-Ark.) and Mary LandrieuMary Loretta LandrieuBottom line A decade of making a difference: Senate Caucus on Foster Youth Congress needs to work to combat the poverty, abuse and neglect issues that children face MORE (D-La.) “vote with me” and “have supported by agenda in Congress” were made on the heels of earlier comments that his “policies are on the ballot,” giving Republicans even more chances to tie Democrats to the unpopular president.

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Democratic chances of maintaining the Senate two weeks from Election Day are dimming — and their party’s leader seems bent on making it harder for them to turn things around.

 

SENATE SHOWDOWN

CO-SEN (UDALL): Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonLate night hosts targeted Trump over Biden 97 percent of the time in September: study 10 steps toward better presidential debating Continuity is (mostly) on the menu for government contracting in the next administration MORE praised Sen. Mark UdallMark Emery UdallThe 10 Senate seats most likely to flip Democratic presidential race comes into sharp focus Democrats will win back the Senate majority in 2020, all thanks to President Trump MORE (D-Colo.), a leading critic of the National Security Agency, for his work on intelligence reform and women's issues during a campaign stop Tuesday.

KS-SEN (ROBERTS): Former Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney will campaign for Sen. Pat RobertsCharles (Pat) Patrick RobertsSenate GOP's campaign arm releases first ad targeting Bollier in Kansas The Hill's Campaign Report: Trump, Biden hit campaign trail in Florida National Republicans will spend to defend Kansas Senate seat MORE (R-Kan.) in the state next week, as he fights off a fierce challenge from independent Greg Orman.

SD-SEN (OPEN): Former FBI agent John Good, who was the supervising agent during the Abscam investigation, will campaign with former Sen. Larry Pressler (I) this week, to highlight the fact Pressler turned down a bribe during the FBI sting.

LA-SEN (LANDRIEU): Sen. Mike LeeMichael (Mike) Shumway LeeTed Cruz won't wear mask to speak to reporters at Capitol Michigan Republican isolating after positive coronavirus test Barrett fight puts focus on abortion in 2020 election MORE (R-Utah) named Tea Party-backed Rob Maness one of “a new generation of Republican candidates ... finding success by directly addressing Americans’ concerns and running on a conservative reform agenda.” He touted Maness, seen as a long-shot in his race, alongside stronger GOP candidates like Rep. Tom CottonTom Bryant CottonBarrett fight puts focus on abortion in 2020 election COVID outbreak threatens GOP's Supreme Court plans This week: Coronavirus complicates Senate's Supreme Court fight MORE (R-Ark.) and Nebraska GOP Senate nominee Ben Sasse, and said Maness “has begun to surge in Louisiana.”

AZ-SEN (MCCAIN): Sen. John McCainJohn Sidney McCainBiden and Schumer face battles with left if Democrats win big Trump digs in on conspiracy theory over bin Laden raid At 97, Bob Dole is still fighting for his country MORE (R-Ariz.) will meet with supporters after the midterms to discuss his future political plans. He hasn’t yet indicated whether he plans to run for a sixth term, but appears to be leaning toward it.

GA-SEN (OPEN): The Georgia Democratic Party is invoking the killing of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Mo., to try to motivate African-American voters to the polls.

"If you want to prevent another Ferguson in their future, vote," reads a mailer from the party over photos from Ferguson and young African-American children holding signs that say "don't shoot."

Just one-third of the more than 180,000 newly registered Georgia votes self-describes as white, a sign many — if not most — are Democratic-leaning minority voters.

NC-SEN (HAGAN): North Carolina Speaker Thom Tillis (R) will debate himself this evening, as a scheduled debate will go on despite former Sen. Kay HaganKay Ruthven HaganThe Hill's Campaign Report: Democratic Unity Taskforce unveils party platform recommendations Democrats awash with cash in battle for Senate The Hill's Campaign Report: Trump's job approval erodes among groups that powered his 2016 victory MORE’s (D-N.C.) decision not to participate.

Tillis will stump with Rep. Paul RyanPaul Davis RyanPelosi and Trump go a full year without speaking Jordan vows to back McCarthy as leader even if House loses more GOP seats Barrett declines to say if Trump can pardon himself MORE (R-Wis.) tomorrow.

IA-SEN (OPEN): Sen. Tom HarkinThomas (Tom) Richard HarkinThe Memo: Trump attacks on Harris risk backfiring Ernst challenges Greenfield to six debates in Iowa Senate race Biden unveils disability rights plan: 'Your voices must be heard' MORE (D-Iowa) said Sen. Chuck GrassleyCharles (Chuck) Ernest GrassleyGOP noncommittal about vote on potential Trump-Pelosi coronavirus deal Republicans: Supreme Court won't toss ObamaCare Barrett sidesteps Democratic questions amid high-stakes grilling MORE (R-Iowa) is “going to be chairman of the Judiciary Committee” in a New York Times interview — inadvertently suggesting that Republicans will take Senate control and potentially suggesting that he might not think Rep. Bruce BraleyBruce Lowell BraleyThe Memo: Trump attacks on Harris risk backfiring 2020 caucuses pose biggest challenge yet for Iowa's top pollster OPINION | Tax reform, not Trump-McConnell feuds, will make 2018 a win for GOP MORE (D-Iowa) will win his seat.

 

BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE

DCCC: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee invested $2 million more into protecting what it has, adding money for Reps. Ann KirkpatrickAnn KirkpatrickArizona Rep. Tom O'Halleran wins Democratic primary Arizona Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick wins Democratic primary Cook shifts 20 House districts toward Democrats MORE (D-Ariz.), William Enyart (D-Ill.), Rick Nolan (D-Minn.), Collin Peterson (D-Minn.), Dave Loebsack (D-Iowa) and the open seat held by Rep. Bruce Braley (D-Iowa), who is running for the Senate.

NY-11 (GRIMM): New York NEXT, a new political action committee formed "to make New York City a better place for both this generation and those that follow," is launching a field effort to support Democrat Domenic Recchia in his challenge to Rep. Michael Grimm (R-N.Y.).

MA-6 (OPEN): Former Republican Senate nominee Gabriel Gomez held a press conference with Republican Richard Tisei to push back on Democrat Seth Moulton's charge that Tisei voted to cut funding for veterans' services during his time in the Massachusetts Senate. Gomez is a former Navy SEAL, while Moulton is a former Marine.

LA-5 (MCALLISTER): Republican Zach Dasher, a cousin of the family in TLC's hit reality television series "Duck Dynasty," made a number of controversial comments prior to running for Congress, including warning America is "vulnerable to a Stalin-like tyranny."

 

AD WATCH

GA-SEN (OPEN): EMILY’s List hits businessman David Perdue (R) for an equal-pay lawsuit against Dollar General that came when he was CEO.

AK-SEN (BEGICH): Dan Sullivan attacks Sen. Mark BegichMark Peter BegichAlaska group backing independent candidate appears linked to Democrats Sullivan wins Alaska Senate GOP primary Alaska political mess has legislators divided over meeting place MORE (D-Alaska) as “desperate” in a new ad.

Begich says he’ll “work with anyone” in a new ad pushing back against attacks on his tenure as Anchorage mayor.

KY-SEN (MCCONNELL): Sen. Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellSenate GOP eyes Oct. 26 for confirming Barrett to Supreme Court GOP noncommittal about vote on potential Trump-Pelosi coronavirus deal Overnight Health Care: Trump takes criticism of Fauci to a new level | GOP Health Committee chairman defends Fauci | Birx confronted Pence about Atlas MORE’s (R-Ky.) new ad features Democrats endorsing him and touting him as committed to Kentucky. Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes hits McConnell for not doing enough to improve the Brent Spence Bridge in a television ad, and also launched a new radio ad aimed at African-American voters, featuring state Sen. Georgia Powers (D), the first woman and first African-American elected to the Kentucky Senate.

SD-SEN (OPEN): Sen. John ThuneJohn Randolph ThuneSenate GOP eyes Oct. 26 for confirming Barrett to Supreme Court GOP noncommittal about vote on potential Trump-Pelosi coronavirus deal Biden owes us an answer on court-packing MORE (R-S.D.) goes to bat for former Gov. Mike Rounds (R) in the candidate’s latest ad.

LA-SEN (LANDRIEU): Tea Party-backed Rob Maness pledges to “make ObamaCare roadkill” in his new ad, which was chosen through votes from supporters. American Crossroads has launched a new ad in the race that targets Landrieu for cuts to Medicare Advantage and hits her on residency questions.

KS-SEN (ROBERTS): Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.) ties independent Greg Orman to President Obama in a new ad. Orman frames himself as fiscally conservative with bipartisan support in a new ad that cuts together news clips highlighting his bid. 

CAMPAIGN COMMITTEES: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee launched a series of ads aimed at African-American and Hispanic voters. The ads target Rep. Steve Southerland (R-Fla.) and an open seat in Arkansas, and look to boost Reps. Ron BarberRonald (Ron) Sylvester BarberKavanaugh nomination a make or break moment to repeal Citizens United Latina Leaders to Watch 2018 Principles and actions mean more than Jeff Flake’s words MORE (D-Ariz.), Julia BrownleyJulia Andrews BrownleyHouse Democrats eyeing much broader Phase 3 stimulus Assistant House Speaker self-quarantines out of 'abundance of caution' Actor Orlando Bloom to self-quarantine MORE (D-Calif.), William Enyart (D-Ill.) and Cheri BustosCheryl (Cheri) Lea BustosHouse Democrats target Hispanic voters in battlegrounds with new barrage of ads Republican fears grow over rising Democratic tide Biden, Democrats see late opportunity in Texas MORE (D-Ill.).

The National Republican Congressional Committee launched a spate of new ads as well on Tuesday, in districts held by Reps. John BarrowJohn Jenkins BarrowRepublican wins Georgia secretary of state runoff to replace Kemp The most important runoff election is one you probably never heard of Our democracy can’t afford to cut legal aid services from the budget MORE (D-Ga.), Nick RahallNick Joe RahallWe shouldn't allow politics to impede disaster relief Break the cycle of partisanship with infant, child health care programs Clinton mulls role in 2018 midterms MORE (D-W.Va.) Ann Kirkpatrick (D-Ariz.), Ami BeraAmerish (Ami) Babulal BeraHillicon Valley: Judge's ruling creates fresh hurdle for TikTok | House passes bills to secure energy sector against cyberattacks | Biden campaign urges Facebook to remove Trump posts spreading 'falsehoods' House passes bills to secure energy sector against cyberattacks The Hill's Coronavirus Report: iBIO Chairman and CEO Thomas Isett says developing a safe vaccine is paramount; US surpasses 150,000 coronavirus deaths with roughy one death per minute MORE (D-Calif.), Scott Peters (D-Calif.), Steve Southerland (R-Fla.), Joe GarciaJose (Joe) Antonio GarciaOvernight Defense: Biden honors McCain at Phoenix memorial service | US considers sending captured ISIS fighters to Gitmo and Iraq | Senators press Trump on ending Yemen civil war Biden pays tribute to McCain at emotional memorial service Mueller indictments: Congressional candidate asked Russian operatives for info on opponent MORE (D-Fla.), Collin Peterson (D-Minn.), William Enyart (D-Ill.), Tim BishopTimothy (Tim) Howard BishopDem candidate 'struck by the parallels' between Trump's rise and Hitler's Dems separated by 29 votes in NY House primary Flint residents hire first K Street firm MORE (D-N.Y.), Chris Gibson (R-N.Y.) and Iowa’s open 3rd District.

AZ-2 (BARBER): Rep. Ron Barber’s (D) newest ads hits Republican Martha McSally on education funding, and targets Hispanic voters with a Spanish-language attack tying McSally to the Tea Party.

NE-2 (TERRY): Rep. Lee Terry (R) doubles down on his attacks against Democrat Brad Ashford for failing to oppose the state’s “good time” law, which lets criminals out of prison early for good behavior, in an ad featuring the president of the Omaha Police Officers Association.

CA-7 (BERA): Rep. Ami Bera (D-Calif.) hits former Rep. Doug Ose (R-Calif.) on abortion and birth control in a new ad.

CA-17 (HONDA): Rep. Mike Honda (D-Calif.) ties opponent Ro Khanan to “billionaires” and “right-wing activists” in a new ad.

WV-2 (OPEN): Sen. Joe ManchinJoseph (Joe) ManchinPush to expand Supreme Court faces Democratic buzzsaw Harris walks fine line on Barrett as election nears Tom Cotton: 'No doubt' coronavirus won't stop confirmation of SCOTUS nominee MORE (D-W.Va.) touts Democrat Nick Casey as a “true West Virginian” in the candidate’s new ad, which also hits Republican Alex Mooney as a “liar” and a “fraud.”

 

POLL POSITION

AR-SEN (PRYOR): Rep. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) leads Sen. Mark Pryor (D-Ark.) 49 percent to 41 percent in a new poll conducted by Arkansas Talk Business and Hendrix College.

CO-SEN (UDALL): Two new independent polls continue to show Sen. Mark Udall (D-Colo.) battling for his political life against Rep. Cory GardnerCory Scott GardnerPush to expand Supreme Court faces Democratic buzzsaw Democratic super PAC pulls remaining ads from Colorado Senate race Exclusive: Poll shows Affordable Care Act challenge a liability for McConnell at home MORE (R), who holds a slight lead. A poll from Monmouth University gave Rep. Cory Gardner (R-Colo.) 47 percent support to Udall's 46 percent support, while a poll from Democratic firm Public Policy Polling gave Gardner 46 percent support to Udall's 43 percent.

LA-SEN (LANDRIEU): A Raycom Media poll gives Rep. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) a slight lead over Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) in a runoff, taking 43 percent to Landrieu’s 40 percent support.

NH-SEN (SHAHEEN): A new YouGov poll conducted for U-Mass Amherst gives Sen. Jeanne ShaheenCynthia (Jeanne) Jeanne ShaheenJustice indicts two members of ISIS 'Beatles' cell ISIS militants expected to be sent to US for prosecution: report New Hampshire poll finds Biden up 8 points over Trump MORE (D-N.H.) a slight lead over Republican Scott Brown among likely voters, taking 48 percent to Brown's 45 percent support.

NC-SEN (HAGAN): Sen. Kay Hagan (D-N.C.) leads North Carolina Speaker Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) 46 percent to 43 percent in a new automated SurveyUSA poll.

MN-SEN (FRANKEN): Sen. Al FrankenAlan (Al) Stuart FrankenTed Cruz mocks Al Franken over 'I Hate Ted Cruz Pint Glass' GOP Senate candidate says Trump, Republicans will surprise in Minnesota Peterson faces fight of his career in deep-red Minnesota district MORE (D-Minn.) leads businessman Mike McFadden (R) 53 percent to 38 percent in a new automated poll from SurveyUSA for KSTP.

AR-2 (OPEN): Former North Little Rock Mayor Pat Hays (D) leads banker French Hill (R) 46 percent to 42 percent in a new poll conducted by Arkansas Talk Business and Hendrix College.

AR-4 (OPEN): Arkansas state Rep. Bruce Westerman (R) has a 44 percent to 42 percent lead over former Federal Emergency Management Agency Director James Lee Witt (D) in a new poll conducted by Arkansas Talk Business and Hendrix College. 

VA-10 (OPEN): Virginia Del. Barbara Comstock (R) leads Fairfax County Supervisor John Foust (D) 51 percent to 35 percent in a new survey conducted by GOP pollster Kellyanne Conway for the conservative group Citizens United.

 

FUNDRAISING FIGURES

CA-52 (PETERS): Republican Carl DeMaio’s campaign said he raised $256,609 from the start of the month through Oct. 15 and had “roughly half a million dollars” heading into the final weeks of the campaign, a period that included a fundraiser with Speaker John BoehnerJohn Andrew BoehnerPelosi and Trump go a full year without speaking Jordan vows to back McCarthy as leader even if House loses more GOP seats On The Trail: How Trump lost the law and order debate MORE (R-Ohio).

 

2016 RUMBLINGS

CLINTON: Hillary Clinton drew a reported crowd of 1,000 at a rally for Sen. Mark Udall (D) in Colorado on Tuesday, where she touted his work opposing the NSA’s surveillance program and his efforts on women’s issues.

RUBIO: Sen. Marco RubioMarco Antonio RubioOwners of meatpacker JBS to pay 0M fine over foreign bribery charges Questions raised about conflicts of interest around Biden son-in-law America needs an industrial policy — now more than ever MORE (R-Fla.) will appear at a Road to Victory fundraiser for the South Carolina GOP on Wednesday.

PAUL: Former Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) again split with his son, Sen. Rand PaulRandal (Rand) Howard PaulMichigan Republican isolating after positive coronavirus test GOP Rep. Mike Bost tests positive for COVID-19 Top Democrats introduce resolution calling for mask mandate, testing program in Senate MORE (R-Ky.), this time on Paul and others’ calls for a travel ban for Ebola-infected countries, which the elder Paul dismissed as “politically-motivated.”

CHRISTIE: New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) drew criticism when he dismissed the minimum wage debate during Tuesday remarks to the Chamber of Commerce. “I’m tired of hearing about the minimum wage,” he said.

 

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"Listen, I just say what I believe, and whoever is offended is offended.”

—New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R), defending his argument that the next president should be a former governor