President Obama can’t seem to stop bear-hugging red-state Democrats — and Republicans are the ones grinning with glee.

Obama’s recent comments that congressmen like Sens. Mark PryorMark Lunsford PryorEverybody wants Joe Manchin Cotton glides to reelection in Arkansas Live updates: Democrats fight to take control of the Senate MORE (D-Ark.) and Mary LandrieuMary Loretta LandrieuCassidy wins reelection in Louisiana Bottom line A decade of making a difference: Senate Caucus on Foster Youth MORE (D-La.) “vote with me” and “have supported by agenda in Congress” were made on the heels of earlier comments that his “policies are on the ballot,” giving Republicans even more chances to tie Democrats to the unpopular president.

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Democratic chances of maintaining the Senate two weeks from Election Day are dimming — and their party’s leader seems bent on making it harder for them to turn things around.

 

SENATE SHOWDOWN

CO-SEN (UDALL): Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonHere's who Biden is now considering for budget chief Clinton praises Dolly Parton's cold shoulder top from vaccination: 'Shall we make this a trend?' Trump was unhinged and unchanged at CPAC MORE praised Sen. Mark UdallMark Emery UdallKennedy apologizes for calling Haaland a 'whack job' OVERNIGHT ENERGY: Haaland courts moderates during tense confirmation hearing | GOP's Westerman looks to take on Democrats on climate change | White House urges passage of House public lands package Udalls: Haaland criticism motivated 'by something other than her record' MORE (D-Colo.), a leading critic of the National Security Agency, for his work on intelligence reform and women's issues during a campaign stop Tuesday.

KS-SEN (ROBERTS): Former Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney will campaign for Sen. Pat RobertsCharles (Pat) Patrick RobertsLobbying world Pat Roberts joins lobbying firm weeks after Senate retirement Senate swears-in six new lawmakers as 117th Congress convenes MORE (R-Kan.) in the state next week, as he fights off a fierce challenge from independent Greg Orman.

SD-SEN (OPEN): Former FBI agent John Good, who was the supervising agent during the Abscam investigation, will campaign with former Sen. Larry Pressler (I) this week, to highlight the fact Pressler turned down a bribe during the FBI sting.

LA-SEN (LANDRIEU): Sen. Mike LeeMichael (Mike) Shumway LeeGarland's AG nomination delayed by GOP roadblocks Biden reignites war powers fight with Syria strike Bipartisan group of senators introduces bill to rein in Biden's war powers MORE (R-Utah) named Tea Party-backed Rob Maness one of “a new generation of Republican candidates ... finding success by directly addressing Americans’ concerns and running on a conservative reform agenda.” He touted Maness, seen as a long-shot in his race, alongside stronger GOP candidates like Rep. Tom CottonTom Bryant CottonGarland's AG nomination delayed by GOP roadblocks National Sheriffs' Association backs Biden pick for key DOJ role The Memo: Is Trump mounting a comeback — or finally fading? MORE (R-Ark.) and Nebraska GOP Senate nominee Ben Sasse, and said Maness “has begun to surge in Louisiana.”

AZ-SEN (MCCAIN): Sen. John McCainJohn Sidney McCainWe need an independent 1/6 commission that the whole country can have confidence in GOP targets Manchin, Sinema, Kelly on Becerra The Memo: Is Trump mounting a comeback — or finally fading? MORE (R-Ariz.) will meet with supporters after the midterms to discuss his future political plans. He hasn’t yet indicated whether he plans to run for a sixth term, but appears to be leaning toward it.

GA-SEN (OPEN): The Georgia Democratic Party is invoking the killing of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Mo., to try to motivate African-American voters to the polls.

"If you want to prevent another Ferguson in their future, vote," reads a mailer from the party over photos from Ferguson and young African-American children holding signs that say "don't shoot."

Just one-third of the more than 180,000 newly registered Georgia votes self-describes as white, a sign many — if not most — are Democratic-leaning minority voters.

NC-SEN (HAGAN): North Carolina Speaker Thom Tillis (R) will debate himself this evening, as a scheduled debate will go on despite former Sen. Kay HaganKay Ruthven Hagan10 under-the-radar races to watch in November The Hill's Campaign Report: Democratic Unity Taskforce unveils party platform recommendations Democrats awash with cash in battle for Senate MORE’s (D-N.C.) decision not to participate.

Tillis will stump with Rep. Paul RyanPaul Davis RyanBoehner book jacket teases slams against Cruz, Trump CPAC, all-in for Trump, is not what it used to be Cruz hires Trump campaign press aide as communications director MORE (R-Wis.) tomorrow.

IA-SEN (OPEN): Sen. Tom HarkinThomas (Tom) Richard HarkinTwo more parting shots from Trump aimed squarely at disabled workers A pandemic election should move America to address caregivers' struggles The Memo: Trump attacks on Harris risk backfiring MORE (D-Iowa) said Sen. Chuck GrassleyChuck GrassleyGarland's AG nomination delayed by GOP roadblocks National Sheriffs' Association backs Biden pick for key DOJ role Bipartisan group of senators introduces bill to rein in Biden's war powers MORE (R-Iowa) is “going to be chairman of the Judiciary Committee” in a New York Times interview — inadvertently suggesting that Republicans will take Senate control and potentially suggesting that he might not think Rep. Bruce BraleyBruce Lowell BraleyThe Memo: Trump attacks on Harris risk backfiring 2020 caucuses pose biggest challenge yet for Iowa's top pollster OPINION | Tax reform, not Trump-McConnell feuds, will make 2018 a win for GOP MORE (D-Iowa) will win his seat.

 

BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE

DCCC: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee invested $2 million more into protecting what it has, adding money for Reps. Ann KirkpatrickAnn KirkpatrickDemocrat O'Halleran wins reelection in Arizona House race Arizona Rep. Tom O'Halleran wins Democratic primary Arizona Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick wins Democratic primary MORE (D-Ariz.), William Enyart (D-Ill.), Rick Nolan (D-Minn.), Collin Peterson (D-Minn.), Dave Loebsack (D-Iowa) and the open seat held by Rep. Bruce Braley (D-Iowa), who is running for the Senate.

NY-11 (GRIMM): New York NEXT, a new political action committee formed "to make New York City a better place for both this generation and those that follow," is launching a field effort to support Democrat Domenic Recchia in his challenge to Rep. Michael Grimm (R-N.Y.).

MA-6 (OPEN): Former Republican Senate nominee Gabriel Gomez held a press conference with Republican Richard Tisei to push back on Democrat Seth Moulton's charge that Tisei voted to cut funding for veterans' services during his time in the Massachusetts Senate. Gomez is a former Navy SEAL, while Moulton is a former Marine.

LA-5 (MCALLISTER): Republican Zach Dasher, a cousin of the family in TLC's hit reality television series "Duck Dynasty," made a number of controversial comments prior to running for Congress, including warning America is "vulnerable to a Stalin-like tyranny."

 

AD WATCH

GA-SEN (OPEN): EMILY’s List hits businessman David Perdue (R) for an equal-pay lawsuit against Dollar General that came when he was CEO.

AK-SEN (BEGICH): Dan Sullivan attacks Sen. Mark BegichMark Peter BegichAlaska Senate race sees cash surge in final stretch Alaska group backing independent candidate appears linked to Democrats Sullivan wins Alaska Senate GOP primary MORE (D-Alaska) as “desperate” in a new ad.

Begich says he’ll “work with anyone” in a new ad pushing back against attacks on his tenure as Anchorage mayor.

KY-SEN (MCCONNELL): Sen. Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellGarland's AG nomination delayed by GOP roadblocks DOJ declined to take up Chao ethics probe Trump was unhinged and unchanged at CPAC MORE’s (R-Ky.) new ad features Democrats endorsing him and touting him as committed to Kentucky. Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes hits McConnell for not doing enough to improve the Brent Spence Bridge in a television ad, and also launched a new radio ad aimed at African-American voters, featuring state Sen. Georgia Powers (D), the first woman and first African-American elected to the Kentucky Senate.

SD-SEN (OPEN): Sen. John ThuneJohn Randolph ThuneDemocrats cut deals to bolster support for relief bill Senate GOP will force clerks to read bill to delay COVID-19 relief vote Parliamentarian strikes down Pelosi priority in aid package MORE (R-S.D.) goes to bat for former Gov. Mike Rounds (R) in the candidate’s latest ad.

LA-SEN (LANDRIEU): Tea Party-backed Rob Maness pledges to “make ObamaCare roadkill” in his new ad, which was chosen through votes from supporters. American Crossroads has launched a new ad in the race that targets Landrieu for cuts to Medicare Advantage and hits her on residency questions.

KS-SEN (ROBERTS): Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.) ties independent Greg Orman to President Obama in a new ad. Orman frames himself as fiscally conservative with bipartisan support in a new ad that cuts together news clips highlighting his bid. 

CAMPAIGN COMMITTEES: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee launched a series of ads aimed at African-American and Hispanic voters. The ads target Rep. Steve Southerland (R-Fla.) and an open seat in Arkansas, and look to boost Reps. Ron BarberRonald (Ron) Sylvester BarberKavanaugh nomination a make or break moment to repeal Citizens United Latina Leaders to Watch 2018 Principles and actions mean more than Jeff Flake’s words MORE (D-Ariz.), Julia BrownleyJulia Andrews BrownleyVoters elected a record number of Black women to Congress this year — none were Republican House Democrats eyeing much broader Phase 3 stimulus Assistant House Speaker self-quarantines out of 'abundance of caution' MORE (D-Calif.), William Enyart (D-Ill.) and Cheri BustosCheryl (Cheri) Lea BustosHouse Republican campaign arm rolls out target list for midterms Lobbying world Five centrist Democrats oppose Pelosi for Speaker in tight vote MORE (D-Ill.).

The National Republican Congressional Committee launched a spate of new ads as well on Tuesday, in districts held by Reps. John BarrowJohn Jenkins BarrowOn The Trail: The political losers of 2020 Republican wins Georgia secretary of state runoff to replace Kemp The most important runoff election is one you probably never heard of MORE (D-Ga.), Nick RahallNick Joe RahallOn The Trail: The political losers of 2020 We shouldn't allow politics to impede disaster relief Break the cycle of partisanship with infant, child health care programs MORE (D-W.Va.) Ann Kirkpatrick (D-Ariz.), Ami BeraAmerish (Ami) Babulal BeraScars of Capitol attack permeate high-security inauguration Hillicon Valley: Judge's ruling creates fresh hurdle for TikTok | House passes bills to secure energy sector against cyberattacks | Biden campaign urges Facebook to remove Trump posts spreading 'falsehoods' House passes bills to secure energy sector against cyberattacks MORE (D-Calif.), Scott Peters (D-Calif.), Steve Southerland (R-Fla.), Joe GarciaJose (Joe) Antonio GarciaFormer Florida congressman fined 6K in campaign finance scheme Overnight Defense: Biden honors McCain at Phoenix memorial service | US considers sending captured ISIS fighters to Gitmo and Iraq | Senators press Trump on ending Yemen civil war Biden pays tribute to McCain at emotional memorial service MORE (D-Fla.), Collin Peterson (D-Minn.), William Enyart (D-Ill.), Tim BishopTimothy (Tim) Howard BishopOn The Trail: The political losers of 2020 Dem candidate 'struck by the parallels' between Trump's rise and Hitler's Dems separated by 29 votes in NY House primary MORE (D-N.Y.), Chris Gibson (R-N.Y.) and Iowa’s open 3rd District.

AZ-2 (BARBER): Rep. Ron Barber’s (D) newest ads hits Republican Martha McSally on education funding, and targets Hispanic voters with a Spanish-language attack tying McSally to the Tea Party.

NE-2 (TERRY): Rep. Lee Terry (R) doubles down on his attacks against Democrat Brad Ashford for failing to oppose the state’s “good time” law, which lets criminals out of prison early for good behavior, in an ad featuring the president of the Omaha Police Officers Association.

CA-7 (BERA): Rep. Ami Bera (D-Calif.) hits former Rep. Doug Ose (R-Calif.) on abortion and birth control in a new ad.

CA-17 (HONDA): Rep. Mike Honda (D-Calif.) ties opponent Ro Khanan to “billionaires” and “right-wing activists” in a new ad.

WV-2 (OPEN): Sen. Joe ManchinJoseph (Joe) ManchinOn The Money: Democrats deals to bolster support for relief bill | Biden tries to keep Democrats together | Retailers fear a return of the mask wars Democrats cut deals to bolster support for relief bill Progressives grumble but won't sink relief bill over fewer stimulus checks MORE (D-W.Va.) touts Democrat Nick Casey as a “true West Virginian” in the candidate’s new ad, which also hits Republican Alex Mooney as a “liar” and a “fraud.”

 

POLL POSITION

AR-SEN (PRYOR): Rep. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) leads Sen. Mark Pryor (D-Ark.) 49 percent to 41 percent in a new poll conducted by Arkansas Talk Business and Hendrix College.

CO-SEN (UDALL): Two new independent polls continue to show Sen. Mark Udall (D-Colo.) battling for his political life against Rep. Cory GardnerCory GardnerBiden administration reverses Trump changes it says 'undermined' conservation program Gardner to lead new GOP super PAC ahead of midterms OVERNIGHT ENERGY: Court rules against fast-track of Trump EPA's 'secret science' rule | Bureau of Land Management exodus: Agency lost 87 percent of staff in Trump HQ relocation | GM commits to electric light duty fleet by 2035 MORE (R), who holds a slight lead. A poll from Monmouth University gave Rep. Cory Gardner (R-Colo.) 47 percent support to Udall's 46 percent support, while a poll from Democratic firm Public Policy Polling gave Gardner 46 percent support to Udall's 43 percent.

LA-SEN (LANDRIEU): A Raycom Media poll gives Rep. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) a slight lead over Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) in a runoff, taking 43 percent to Landrieu’s 40 percent support.

NH-SEN (SHAHEEN): A new YouGov poll conducted for U-Mass Amherst gives Sen. Jeanne ShaheenCynthia (Jeanne) Jeanne ShaheenPro-Choice Caucus asks Biden to remove abortion fund restrictions from 2022 budget Bottom line Senators press Treasury to prioritize Tubman redesign MORE (D-N.H.) a slight lead over Republican Scott Brown among likely voters, taking 48 percent to Brown's 45 percent support.

NC-SEN (HAGAN): Sen. Kay Hagan (D-N.C.) leads North Carolina Speaker Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) 46 percent to 43 percent in a new automated SurveyUSA poll.

MN-SEN (FRANKEN): Sen. Al FrankenAlan (Al) Stuart FrankenThe Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Facebook - Senate Dems face unity test; Tanden nomination falls Gillibrand: Cuomo allegations 'completely unacceptable' Schumer: Allegations against Cuomo 'serious, very troubling' MORE (D-Minn.) leads businessman Mike McFadden (R) 53 percent to 38 percent in a new automated poll from SurveyUSA for KSTP.

AR-2 (OPEN): Former North Little Rock Mayor Pat Hays (D) leads banker French Hill (R) 46 percent to 42 percent in a new poll conducted by Arkansas Talk Business and Hendrix College.

AR-4 (OPEN): Arkansas state Rep. Bruce Westerman (R) has a 44 percent to 42 percent lead over former Federal Emergency Management Agency Director James Lee Witt (D) in a new poll conducted by Arkansas Talk Business and Hendrix College. 

VA-10 (OPEN): Virginia Del. Barbara Comstock (R) leads Fairfax County Supervisor John Foust (D) 51 percent to 35 percent in a new survey conducted by GOP pollster Kellyanne Conway for the conservative group Citizens United.

 

FUNDRAISING FIGURES

CA-52 (PETERS): Republican Carl DeMaio’s campaign said he raised $256,609 from the start of the month through Oct. 15 and had “roughly half a million dollars” heading into the final weeks of the campaign, a period that included a fundraiser with Speaker John BoehnerJohn Andrew BoehnerBoehner book jacket teases slams against Cruz, Trump Cruz hits back at Boehner for telling him to 'go f--- yourself' John Boehner tells Cruz to 'go f--- yourself' in unscripted audiobook asides: report MORE (R-Ohio).

 

2016 RUMBLINGS

CLINTON: Hillary Clinton drew a reported crowd of 1,000 at a rally for Sen. Mark Udall (D) in Colorado on Tuesday, where she touted his work opposing the NSA’s surveillance program and his efforts on women’s issues.

RUBIO: Sen. Marco RubioMarco Antonio RubioDeSantis's rising GOP profile fuels 2024 talk GOP senators question Amazon on removal of book about 'transgender moment' CPAC, all-in for Trump, is not what it used to be MORE (R-Fla.) will appear at a Road to Victory fundraiser for the South Carolina GOP on Wednesday.

PAUL: Former Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) again split with his son, Sen. Rand PaulRandal (Rand) Howard PaulHouse approves George Floyd Justice in Policing Act Bipartisan group of senators introduces bill to rein in Biden's war powers House sets vote for George Floyd police reform bill MORE (R-Ky.), this time on Paul and others’ calls for a travel ban for Ebola-infected countries, which the elder Paul dismissed as “politically-motivated.”

CHRISTIE: New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) drew criticism when he dismissed the minimum wage debate during Tuesday remarks to the Chamber of Commerce. “I’m tired of hearing about the minimum wage,” he said.

 

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"Listen, I just say what I believe, and whoever is offended is offended.”

—New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R), defending his argument that the next president should be a former governor