Poll: Dems face anti-incumbent fever

Democratic incumbents may face a tougher uphill slog with voters this
fall than their Republican counterparts, a new poll suggested Tuesday.

A new National Public Radio (NPR) poll released Tuesday morning showed voters in Democratic districts less inclined to reelect their member than voters in Republican districts.

Forty-six percent of voters in Democratic-controlled districts said they prefer to elect someone else to Congress, while 34 percent said their representative deserves reelection. By contrast, 37 percent of voters in GOP-held districts would prefer to send someone else to Washington, while 49 percent would be comfortable giving their member of Congress another term.

The poll underscores a growing storyine in the 2010 elections, in which voters have tacked toward anti-incumbent attitudes that could endanger Democratic majorities in the House and Senate, but also some sitting Republicans. Those sentiments have already played out in some primary elections in which incumbents have gone down to newcomers.

Fifty-two percent of those surveyed told NPR that they won’t vote to reelect their representative “because we need new people who will fix Washington and get things done,” as opposed to 40 percent who said they would reelect their member.

That anti-incumbent sentiment was even more intense in Democratic districts, where 56 percent said that change is needed. Thirty-nine percent of voters in GOP congressional districts said change was needed.

The NPR poll, conducted June 7-10 by Public Opinion Strategies/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, has a 3.5 percent margin of error.

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