Poll shows Michelle Obama would lead in New Hampshire if she entered 2020 Democratic race

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Former first lady Michelle Obama would lead the field if she were to enter the 2020 Democratic White House race, according to a New Hampshire poll.

The Franklin Pierce University-Boston Herald poll asked voters questions about who they would vote for if candidates who had not entered the race were to run for the nomination. When asked if they would vote for Obama, the wife of former President Obama who has said there is “zero chance” she would ever run for president, 26 percent of voters said they would support the former first lady at the ballot.

{mosads}“Under this scenario, Obama (26 percent) would lead Warren (20 percent), Biden (20 percent) and Sanders (15 percent). She would take away 4 points from Warren, 4 points from Biden and 7 points from Sanders,” pollster R. Kelly Myers said in his poll summary.

The poll also asked voters what would happen if Disney CEO Bob Iger, who squashed speculation about a possible 2020 bid last year, were to enter the primary race. However, Myers wrote that “Iger remains largely unknown among Democratic voters and only 4 percent indicated that they would vote for him if he were to enter the race.”

Of the current Democratic contenders in the race, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.) held a razor-thin lead over former Vice President Joe Biden among likely voters in New Hampshire, with the support of 25 percent of registered voters, just ahead of Biden’s 24 percent.

Not far behind in the poll was Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who got 22 percent of support in the poll.

Voters were also pressed about how they would vote if other Republicans not currently running were to enter the presidential primary race, specifically former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, former Ohio Gov. John Kasich and Sen. Mitt Romney (Utah). 

“Relatively few Republican primary voters indicate that they would vote for any of these 3 candidates if they were to enter the race. Haley would attract 9 percent of the vote, Kasich would attract 9 percent and Romney would attract 12 percent,” Myers wrote.

The results of the poll were based on a telephone survey of likely New Hampshire presidential primary voters conducted from Oct. 9-13. The poll was conducted by RKM Research and Communications. The survey was funded by Franklin Pierce University and the Boston Herald. 

The poll surveyed 422 likely Democratic presidential primary voters with a sampling margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. The sampling margin of error for the 405 likely Republican presidential primary voters surveyed in the poll is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

Tags 2020 Democrats Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Joe Biden Michelle Obama Mitt Romney Nikki Haley Polling

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