Texas could gain four House seats next year, while 10 states in the Northeast and Midwest could lose one or more, according to one private firm's early look at population data.

An independent analysis of early Census Bureau numbers, released Wednesday by Polidata LLC, predicts Southern states stand to gain a handful of seats at the expense of contracting congressional districts in other parts of the country.


Ultimately, those findings would confirm expectations that voters living in manufacturing states are beginning to retire and head south or are otherwise leaving their homes in pursuit of new jobs.

According to Polidata, Texas stands to gain the most, as it could grow from 32 House seats this year to 36 in subsequent elections. Ohio, meanwhile, is likely to lose the most, possibly shedding two seats to become a 16-member House delegation, the firm predicts.

Nine states, all but one of which are located in the Northeast or Midwest — Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania — could each lose one seat next year, according to the firm.

Consequently, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Utah and Washington state could each gain one seat.