Here are my predictions for Iowa:

Barack Obama      35
Hillary Clinton      29
John Edwards       23
Bill Richardson       8
Joe Biden              4
Chris Dodd            1

Republicans

Mitt Romney        33
Mike Huckabee     29
John McCain         18
Fred Thompson      9
Ron Paul                7
Rudy Giuliani         4


Comment:  High turnout will move Obama out front — more than 160,000 voters will caucus on the Democratic side.

McCain will do much better than predicted, and though people don’t like Romney much they are nervous about Huckabee. Romney’s organization will prove important in holding off Huckabee’s surge.

How certain am I of all this? Refuse to answer the question for fear of self-incrimination!