Story at a glance

  • The estimate comes as cases are surging in many states across the country.
  • The U.S. is now averaging more than 52,000 new daily cases, an increase of 16 percent from the previous week. Deaths from the virus in recent weeks have averaged about 700 per day.
  • As of Thursday, the U.S. had confirmed more than 7.9 million cases and more than 217,000 deaths, according to Johns Hopkins University data.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) now projects there could be up to 23,000 more coronavirus deaths in the U.S. over the next four weeks as the country is experiencing an alarming surge in cases. 

The CDC’s weekly ensemble forecast on Thursday estimates that a total of 229,000 to 240,000 COVID-19 deaths will be reported during the week ending Nov. 7. The forecast uses nearly 40 models forecasting coronavirus deaths. The CDC’s previous ensemble forecast published on Oct. 8 projected up to 233,000 deaths by Oct. 30. 


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As of Thursday, the U.S. had confirmed more than 7.9 million cases and more than 217,000 deaths, according to Johns Hopkins University data. 

The projection comes as reports of new cases have trended upward in at least 41 states over the last two weeks, with the other nine states experiencing steady numbers and no states seeing sustained decreases, according to The New York Times. Many of the states seeing record increases are in the Midwest and Southwestern regions of the U.S. 

The U.S. is now averaging more than 52,000 new daily cases, an increase of 16 percent from the previous week. Deaths from the virus in recent weeks have averaged about 700 per day. 

Fears of another wave of COVID-19 are mounting as many states are experiencing cooler temperatures, forcing people inside and potentially worsening viral transmission. Health officials have also warned about the dangers of severe coronavirus outbreaks taking place along with the upcoming flu season. 

The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation estimates a total of 389,087 deaths by Feb. 1, 2021 if behaviors and policies remain the same. If 95 percent of people consistently wear masks, that number could be brought down to about 315,000 deaths.  


WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT CORONAVIRUS RIGHT NOW

PROPOSAL TO LET CORONAVIRUS SPREAD NATURALLY THROUGH US POPULATION INTERESTS WHITE HOUSE, ALARMS MEDICAL ESTABLISHMENT

EUROPE REENTERS LOCKDOWNS AS COVID-19 CASES SURGE

THE FIRST DEATH FROM A CORONAVIRUS REINFECTION HAS BEEN REPORTED

US SENATOR TOOK OFF MASK REPEATEDLY ON FLIGHT. HE CHAIRS COMMITTEE THAT OVERSEES AIRLINE SAFETY

FACE MASKS WERE CONTROVERSIAL IN THE 1918 PANDEMIC, TOO. HERE’S WHAT HAPPENED


 

 

Published on Oct 15, 2020