Story at a glance

  • The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation estimates that social distancing measures can be relaxed based when infections drop to 1 per 1 million people.
  • Some states have already announced their intentions to relax restrictions and reopen their economies.
  • Researchers at the IHME are studying what will happen if these measures are lifted too early.

As governors announce steps towards reopening their state economies, a popular computer model suggests this might be a mistake.


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The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), a research center at the University of Washington, is releasing estimates for when social distancing measures can be relaxed based on when infections could drop to one per 1 million people. The IHME says the number is a conservative estimate of the number of infections each location could feasibly manage using containment strategies. 

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“We are providing these projections to help government leaders and public health professionals determine when they could implement containment strategies to prevent a resurgence of COVID-19 in their community,” the IHME said on its website. “We are working to produce scenarios that show what might happen if social distancing measures were lifted before the pandemic is under control, and we will share these projections as soon as our work is complete.”

Even after the infection rate drops to this level, the IHME says it would only be possible to relax social distancing measures if widespread testing, contact tracing, isolation and limitations on mass gathering are in place.


BREAKING NEWS ABOUT CORONAVIRUS IN AMERICA

MAJOR CORONAVIRUS COMPUTER MODEL SAYS SOME US STATES CAN LOOSEN RESTRICTIONS BY MAY 4

EXPERTS: 90 PERCENT OF US CORONAVIRUS DEATHS COULD HAVE BEEN AVOIDED

HERE'S WHEN THE CORONAVIRUS WILL PEAK IN YOUR STATE

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PROTESTS AGAINST LOCKDOWN ORDERS GAIN SUPPORT FROM THE RIGHT

THESE ARE THE JOBS MOST AT RISK FROM CORONAVIRUS


Here is when the model estimates your state will be able to reopen as of April 24:

 
IHME reopen estimate
AlabamaMay 19
AlaskaMay 7
ArizonaJune 26
ArkansasJune 22
CaliforniaApril 18
ColoradoMay 26
ConnecticutJune 9
DelawareMay 19
District of ColumbiaJune 4
FloridaJune 14
GeorgiaJune 22
HawaiiMay 6
IdahoMay 16
IllinoisMay 19
IndianaMay 21
IowaJune 26
KansasJune 21
KentuckyJune 14
LouisianaMay 23
MaineMay 13
MarylandJune 4
MassachussettsJune 10
MichiganMay 20
MinnesotaMay 31
MississippiMay 29
MissouriJune 10
MontanaMay 6
NebraskaJuly 3
NevadaMay 20
New HampshireMay 16
New JerseyMay 27
New MexicoMay 24
New YorkMay 27
North CarolinaMay 11
North DakotaJuly 19
OhioMay 14
OklahomaJune 17
OregonMay 27
PennsylvaniaMay 27
Rhode IslandJune 10
South CarolinaJune 8
South DakotaJune 27
TennesseeMay 20
TexasJune 8
UtahJune 23
VermontMay 10
VirginiaJune 4
WashingtonMay 28
West VirginiaMay 8
WisconsinMay 21
WyomingMay 25

COUNTRIES LED BY WOMEN HAVE FARED BETTER AGAINST THE CORONAVIRUS. WHY?
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT CORONAVIRUS

FAUCI PREDICTS ANOTHER CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK IN THE FALL WITH A 'VERY DIFFERENT' OUTCOME

BILL GATES IS NOW THE MAIN TARGET CORONAVIRUS CONSPIRACY THEORIES

HERE ARE THE 6 WAYS THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC COULD END

CAN YOU GET CORONAVIRUS TWICE?

US MAY HAVE TO KEEP SOCIAL DISTANCING UNTIL 2022, NEW STUDY SAYS


 

Published on Apr 23, 2020