Three weeks before the midterm elections, some Democrats are feeling confident about their odds of winning control of the House, even as grassroots Republican enthusiasm for voting seems to have increased.
In a Tuesday interview with Hill.TV, Michael Blake vice chairman of the Democratic National Committee said he thought there was "no way" that Republicans would be able to preserve their majority in the Lower Chamber.
“There is no way the Republicans are going to hold the House,” he told co-host Buck Sexton on Hill.TV’s morning show “Rising.”
Blake downplayed reports of GOP voters becoming more motivated to cast their ballots.
The DNC official said 2018 was shaping up to be similar to 2016 in that many disaffected voters eventually decided to reconcile with their party.
“At the end of the day, the polling has essentially leveled out where we expected. People came back home,” he said.
But a repeat of 2016 is unlikely, Blake said, because Democrats have learned from their former presidential nominee Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonThe Armageddon elections to come Poll: Trump leads 2024 Republican field with DeSantis in distant second The politics of 'mind control' MORE’s decision to take certain states’ votes for granted.
“The biggest difference is that we didn’t mobilize our base,” Blake said. “When you look at Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania in particular, we did not mobilize as Democrats in these areas that we should have. If you don’t campaign in Wisconsin after losing in the primary. If you don’t mobilize in Western Michigan, you don’t mobilize in Western Pennsylvania, you’re going to lose those states.”
The three states were among several longtime Democratic strongholds that flipped to President TrumpDonald TrumpMark Walker to stay in North Carolina Senate race Judge lays out schedule for Eastman to speed up records processing for Jan. 6 panel Michael Avenatti cross-examines Stormy Daniels in his own fraud trial MORE, enabling him to win an electoral college majority even though he lost the national popular vote by several million.
Democrats inside and outside the party have also realized that Trump was able to defeat Clinton because too many people on the left believed her victory to be inevitable, Blake said.
“I think people are walking in saying, ‘You know what? 2016 was a horrible experience in that many people thought this was done.’ They’re not going to allow that to be the case this time,” he said.
After having made those adjustments, the party executive said that he believed Democrats would pick up at least 30 seats in the House.
“It’s hard to see that not happening in every possible way,” he said. “The reality is everything is demonstrating that we will do this and take this back.”
On Sunday, John McLaughlin, a veteran Republican pollster who worked for the Trump campaign in 2016 said that he believed the GOP might be able to hold onto its House majority.
For his part, Trump has been traveling the country trying to rally his base by raising the specter of being impeached if Democrats take back the House, even as Democratic leaders have downplayed the idea.