Iowa-based political scientist: Warren, Buttigieg boast strongest ground campaigns

A political scientist based in Iowa said Monday that 2020 hopefuls Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenBiden's fiscal program: What is the likely market impact? Warren, Schumer introduce plan for next president to cancel ,000 in student debt The Hill's 12:30 Report - Presented by Facebook - Don't expect a government check anytime soon MORE (D-Mass.) and former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegBipartisan praise pours in after Ginsburg's death Bogeymen of the far left deserve a place in any Biden administration Overnight Defense: Woodward book causes new firestorm | Book says Trump lashed out at generals, told Woodward about secret weapons system | US withdrawing thousands of troops from Iraq MORE boast the strongest ground campaigns out of the crowded Democratic field ahead of state’s first-in-the-nation caucuses.

“The consensus is among people I talk to that the Warren campaign is very, very strong on the ground, that the Buttigieg campaign is close to just as strong in the sense that they have a very large number of organizers, a lot of offices, massive numbers of volunteers,” Dave Redlawsk, a visiting professor at the University of Iowa, told Hill.TV.

“But the more important thing is that they’re actually out there identifying voters and tracking them and reaching out to them — probably most effective [of] the entire group,” he added.

Redlawsk added that while Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersKenosha will be a good bellwether in 2020 Biden's fiscal program: What is the likely market impact? McConnell accuses Democrats of sowing division by 'downplaying progress' on election security MORE (I-Vt.) boasts a strong presence in the Hawkeye State, his campaign has been relying a lot on past support he gained during his previous presidential bid in 2016.

“The Sanders folks figured that they’ve got many of those people locked,” he said. “But I don’t think they’re quite as intensely active as the Warren and Buttigieg campaign.”

The Vermont independent led a critical Des Moines Register/CNN poll of Iowa voters released last Friday.

The survey, which is widely considered the most authoritative in Iowa, showed Sanders with 20 percent support among likely Democratic caucus-goers, followed by Warren at 17 percent, Buttigieg at 16 percent and former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenSenate Republicans face tough decision on replacing Ginsburg What Senate Republicans have said about election-year Supreme Court vacancies Biden says Ginsburg successor should be picked by candidate who wins on Nov. 3 MORE at 15 percent.

All four contenders are poised to take the stage at Tuesday’s debate in Iowa, which will be the last time the candidates will debate before the the Feb. 3 caucuses.

—Tess Bonn