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Florida gubernatorial race will swing on Trump's approval rating, says campaign reporter

Campaign reporter for The Hill Reid Wilson on Monday said that the outcome of Florida's hotly contested gubernatorial race depends on President TrumpDonald TrumpTrump: McConnell 'helpless' to stop Biden from packing court Romney on NRSC awarding Trump: Not 'my preference' McConnell sidesteps Trump calling him 'dumb son of a b----' MORE's approval rating in the state. 

"A big part of the reason that we see a 12-point gap is President Trump's approval rating in that poll was at negative 8, underwater by 8 points," Wilson told Hill.TV's Joe Concha on "What America's Thinking," referring to a CNN poll released on Sunday that showed Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum (D) with a 12-point lead over former Rep. Ron DeSantisRon DeSantisNikki Haley says if Trump runs for president in 2024 then she won't Florida newspaper blasts DeSantis's ban on COVID-19 passports: 'Makes no sense' Buttigieg hopes cruises will return by mid-summer MORE (R-Fla.) in the race for the governor's mansion. 

The survey also showed Trump with a 43 percent approval rating, and a 51 percent disapproval rating. 

"Is he that in Florida? I'm not entirely certain, but if Trump is minus 8 in Florida, Andrew Gillum is your next governor," Wilson said.

DeSantis has worked throughout the primary and the general election to tie himself to Trump. 

Trump has, in turn, praised DeSantis, endorsing him during the state's GOP primary, despite a personal appeal from a DeSantis opponent to Vice President Pence for the White House to stay out of the primary. 

"DeSantis's vote basically tracks with Trump's ratings there, so it's pretty easy to see when you've connected yourself in all of your ads to the president, and why you would see such a gap," Democratic pollster Nancy Zdunkewicz told Concha. 

— Julia Manchester