The director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, Lee Miringoff, said on Wednesday that a Marist Poll President Trump tweeted showing 50 percent approval rating among Latinos was “nothing to write home about.”
“First of all, this was a poll of Americans, not of Latinos,” Miringoff told Hill.TV’s Jamal Simmons on “What America’s Thinking.” “As a result, the error margin is very wide among that group that he pulled out, the 50 percent.”
“So it’s plus or minus 10 percent, and with the unweighted sample it’d be 12 percent,” he continued, referring to the survey’s margin of error.
Trump last week touted a recent PBS News House/NPR/Marist poll result that showed his approval rating among Latinos had risen to 50 percent.
“Marist/NPR/PBS Poll shows President Trump’s approval rating among Latinos going to 50%, an increase in one year of 19%. Thank you, working hard!” Trump tweeted.
Marist/NPR/PBS Poll shows President Trump’s approval rating among Latinos going to 50%, an increase in one year of 19%. Thank you, working hard!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 22, 2019
Trump, however, did not mention the poll’s finding that 57 percent of respondents said they would vote against him in 2020, while 30 percent said they would support his reelection.
“It suggests that if there is a change, it’s not the kind of magnitude that he was talking about,” Miringoff said. “It was a poll that was full of bad news for him.
“In the interest of transparency, we provide all of these crosstabs, people can go through, and he found the one, and of course it’s his right to find that and tweet it, whether he provides the context or not.”
— Julia Manchester