Election analyst says Trump does not need 50 percent of the vote to win in 2020

Election analyst Henry Olsen said Friday that President TrumpDonald John TrumpButtigieg on Mueller report: 'Politically, I'm not sure it will change much' Sarah Sanders addresses false statements detailed in Mueller report: 'A slip of the tongue' Trump to visit Japan in May to meet with Abe, new emperor MORE does not need 50 percent of the national vote to win a second term due to concentrated opposition to him in large Democratic states like California and New York.  

"The thing is, the president doesn't need 50 [percent] to win," Olsen, a Washington Post columnist, told Hill.TV's Jamal Simmons on "What America's Thinking." 

"Opposition to him is so concentrated large blue states if he's at 47 [percent] on Election Day, he's at over 50 percent in every swing state, including Arizona and Michigan, and he's going to win reelection," he continued. 

"If he's at 47 percent in the RealClearPolitics average, he's going to win reelection because he'll be at over 50 in the Electoral College. He might lose the popular vote by a point or two, but he'll win the Electoral College," he said. 

Trump won the Electoral College in 2016 by flipping traditionally blue states such as Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. 

However, his Democratic opponent, Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonClinton campaign chief: Mueller report 'lays out a devastating case' against Trump Hillicon Valley: Cyber, tech takeaways from Mueller report | Millions of Instagram passwords exposed internally by Facebook | DHS unrolling facial recognition tech in airports | Uber unveils new safety measures after student's killing Heavily redacted Mueller report leaves major questions unanswered MORE, won the popular vote by more than 2 million votes. 

A new Hill-HarrisX survey found that 47 percent of registered voters said they approved Trump, which is up from last week's approval rating of 44 percent. 

— Julia Manchester