Election analyst says Trump does not need 50 percent of the vote to win in 2020

Election analyst Henry Olsen said Friday that President TrumpDonald John TrumpWarren: 'White supremacists pose a threat to the United States like any other terrorist group' National Enquirer paid 0,000 for Bezos texts: report Santorum: Trump should 'send emails to a therapist' instead of tweeting MORE does not need 50 percent of the national vote to win a second term due to concentrated opposition to him in large Democratic states like California and New York.  

"The thing is, the president doesn't need 50 [percent] to win," Olsen, a Washington Post columnist, told Hill.TV's Jamal Simmons on "What America's Thinking." 

"Opposition to him is so concentrated large blue states if he's at 47 [percent] on Election Day, he's at over 50 percent in every swing state, including Arizona and Michigan, and he's going to win reelection," he continued. 

"If he's at 47 percent in the RealClearPolitics average, he's going to win reelection because he'll be at over 50 in the Electoral College. He might lose the popular vote by a point or two, but he'll win the Electoral College," he said. 

Trump won the Electoral College in 2016 by flipping traditionally blue states such as Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. 

However, his Democratic opponent, Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonOvernight Health Care: CDC pushes for expanding HIV testing, treatment | Dem group launches ads attacking Trump on Medicare, Medicaid cuts | Hospitals, insurers spar over surprise bills | O'Rourke under pressure from left on Medicare for all O'Rourke faces sharp backlash from left Dem strategist says South Carolina will be first 'real test' for O'Rourke MORE, won the popular vote by more than 2 million votes. 

A new Hill-HarrisX survey found that 47 percent of registered voters said they approved Trump, which is up from last week's approval rating of 44 percent. 

— Julia Manchester