The Hill's 12:30 Report

The Hill's 12:30 Report

If you'd like to subscribe to The Hill's midday political newsletter, please click here: http://bit.ly/1Tt4hqN

 

The Hill's 12:30 Report: Electoral map expands for Hillary | Solid July jobs report | Trump takes flak for all-male econ team | Tensions in Hispanic Caucus over Trump | Darrell Issa on patrol

BREAKING THIS MORNING -- JOBZ, JOBZ, JOBZ: Via The Hill's Vicki Needham, the U.S. economy added a solid 255,000 jobs in July, easily beating forecasts. The unemployment rate held at 4.9 percent for the second straight month. What this means for the election: Strong jobs growth should boost the chances for Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonLewandowski on potential NH Senate run: If I run, 'I'm going to win' Fighter pilot vs. astronaut match-up in Arizona could determine control of Senate Progressive Democrats' turnout plans simply don't add up MORE, especially if wages continue to rise. Strong economic numbers portend well for the incumbent party in presidential races. http://bit.ly/2aYDOp1

It's Friday -- and the Olympics officially start today. We made it! I'm Cate Martel with a quick recap of what you missed this morning -- and what's on tap for the rest of the day. Send comments, story ideas and weekend plans to cmartel@thehill.com@CateMartel and on Facebook.

THE PHOTO HERE SAYS IT ALL: Via The Hill's Niall StanageDonald Trump's stumbles over the last two weeks have led Hillary Clinton to significant leads in several swing states (!) that have favored Republicans historically. Example: Several polls in recent days have suggested that states that would not be in play in more normal election years are now competitive, including Arizona and Georgia. Here's a scenario in which Clinton could possibly win by a landslidehttp://bit.ly/2azlU6s

64 electoral votes: Hold the Rust Belt (Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan)
29 electoral votes: Win Florida
28 electoral votes: Take back North Carolina and hold Virginia
20 electoral votes: Hold on to New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada
10 electoral votes: Win Iowa and New Hampshire
43 electoral votes: Expand the map by taking Arizona, Georgia, Missouri and Utah
3 bonus votes: Montana

BERNIE: GUYS, IT'S GONNA BE BAD. REALLY BAD.: Bernie SandersBernie SandersJoe Biden faces an uncertain path Bernie Sanders vows to go to 'war with white nationalism and racism' as president Biden: 'There's an awful lot of really good Republicans out there' MORE wrote an op-ed in the Los Angeles Times on why he supports Hillary ClintonThe gist: "On virtually every major issue facing this country and the needs of working families, Clinton's positions are far superior to Trump's." http://lat.ms/2b16F96

ADVERTISEMENT
UNVEILED TODAY – TRUMP'S ECONOMIC TEAM, WITH 6 GUYS NAMED STEVE (?!): Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpPossible GOP challenger says Trump doesn't doesn't deserve reelection, but would vote for him over Democrat O'Rourke: Trump driving global, U.S. economy into recession Manchin: Trump has 'golden opportunity' on gun reforms MORE unveiled his 13-person economic advisory team Friday. Buttttt, here's the thing: He's caught flak for not having any women or many economists (?) on it.  Names: Included on the team are Steve Roth, CEO of Vornado Realty Trust; oil mogul Harold Hamm; Howard Lorber, CEO of Vector Group Ltd.; Steven Mnuchin, Trump's finance chairman; Tom Barrack, founder of Colony Capital; Stephen M. Calk, CEO of Federal Savings Bank; hedge fund manager John PaulsonAndy Beal, founder of Beal Bank; Steve Feinberg, CEO of Cerberus Capital Management; economist David Malpass; economics professor at University of California-Irvine Peter Navarro; Freedom Works economist Stephen Moore; and former Nucor CEO Dan DiMicco. National director of policy Stephen Miller and deputy director Dan Kowolski will lead the team. http://bit.ly/2azeYrV

BUT HE MAY KEEP IT IN THE FAM: When asked what women he would nominate to his Cabinet if elected, Donald Trump offered his daughter Ivankahttp://bit.ly/2aAqK9R

LET ME DO A DOUBLE, NO TRIPLE TAKE ON THIS HEADLINE: Via WJLA, "Police arrest Mayor of Fairfax City ... for distributing meth in exchange for sex." How it went down is incredible: "Undercover narcotics officers ... identified a suspect who was allegedly distributing the drug through a website used to arrange casual sex between men. An undercover agent made a fake profile on the website and within a few days, the suspect reached out and then the two started sending text messages. ... On Thursday, the Street Crimes Unit met the suspect at the Crowne Plaza Hotel in Tysons Corner [who then provided meth to the detectives]. The suspect was identified as Richard 'Scott' Silverthorne, the mayor of Fairfax." Check out his mug shot. He looks way too happy: http://bit.ly/2az7eGI

WE'RE ABOUT TO EXPLODE SOON, HERE: Members of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus voted last month to use $50,000 to attack Donald Trump's finance chair in Texas -- but not without a good deal of tension. Here's how it went down: http://bit.ly/2aDsahb

 

NOTABLE TWEETS:

Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.) (He's wearing cargo shorts in this and the internet is having a good laugh about it.)
Joined Carlsbad Police on patrol to see first-hand the challenges they face keeping us safe. Thanks for all you do! http://bit.ly/2aKlICz

 

ON TAP:

Noon: Hillary Clinton is delivering remarks at the National Association of Black Journalists and the National Association of Hispanic Journalists Joint Convention in Washington, D.C. Preview: http://nyti.ms/2az12w2 

Noon: David Wade, former chief of staff to Secretary of State John KerryJohn Forbes KerryTrump's winning weapon: Time The Memo: O'Rourke looks to hit reset button #FreeAustinTice trending on anniversary of kidnapping in Syria MORE, chats with former Undersecretary of State Ellen Tauscher on the Sidewire app.

2 p.m. EDT: Tim KaineTimothy (Tim) Michael KaineWarren's pledge to avoid first nuclear strike sparks intense pushback Almost three-quarters say minimum age to buy tobacco should be 21: Gallup Overnight Defense: Dems talk Afghanistan, nukes at Detroit debate | Senate panel advances Hyten nomination | Iranian foreign minister hit with sanctions | Senate confirms UN ambassador MORE campaigns in Milwaukee.

4 p.m. EDT: Donald Trump is holding a town hall in Des Moines, Iowa.

5 p.m. EDT: Tim Kaine campaigns in Grand Rapids, Mich.

8 p.m. EDT: Donald Trump is holding a rally in Green Bay, Wis.

8 p.m. EDT Saturday: Donald Trump holds a campaign rally in Windham, N.H.

Sunday: Sens. Jeff FlakeJeffrey (Jeff) Lane FlakeArpaio considering running for former sheriff job after Trump pardon Overnight Energy: Warren edges past Sanders in poll of climate-focused voters | Carbon tax shows new signs of life | Greens fuming at Trump plans for development at Bears Ears monument Carbon tax shows new signs of life in Congress MORE (R-Ariz.) and Tom CottonThomas (Tom) Bryant CottonCongress must address gender gap in nominations to military service academies GOP senators press Google on reports it developed a smart speaker with Huawei Sunday shows - Mass shootings grab the spotlight MORE (R-Ark.) will appear on CBS's "Face the Nation."

 

NOW FOR THE FUN STUFF...:

Today is National Oyster Day!

PREPARE YOURSELF -- THIS IS THE SONG YOU WILL HAVE STUCK IN YOUR HEAD FOR THE NEXT TWO WEEKS: Katy Perry released the music video for her latest single, "Rise." It's the theme song for the 2016 Summer Olympics. http://ti.me/2b8bJI2

THIS IS NOT A DRILL: There is a grilled cheese festival in Washington, D.C., today. It goes from 7:30 to 10 p.m. EDT in Mount Pleasant. http://bit.ly/2aNXXLR

And for all the Game of Thrones fans in the room, this will blow your mind: Varys has a full head of luscious locks in real life: http://bzfd.it/2azdSKZ

 

To view past editions of The Hill's 12:30 Report, click here: http://bit.ly/1M1mIfw

To receive The Hill's 12:30 Report in your inbox, please sign up here: http://bit.ly/1Tt4hqN