The Hill’s 12:30 Report

The Hill’s 12:30 Report

The Hill’s 12:30 Report: Behind-the-scenes of Trump’s visit to Mexico | Deportations in U.S. could hit 10-year low | ‘Jurassic World’ exhibit in Philly | National Trail Mix Day 

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ELECTION? WHAT ELECTION? WHAT CONVENIENT TIMING?: Via The Hill’s Rafael Bernal, the number of undocumented immigrants deported by President Obama is falling and could hit a 10-year low in 2016. 2012: 409,849 people deported 2015: 235,413 — the lowest number since 2006 Projected for 2016: 230,000.

It’s Wednesday, and today is the 19th anniversary of Princess Diana’s death. I’m Cate Martel with a quick recap of what you missed this morning — and what’s on tap for the rest of the day. Send comments, story ideas and happy thoughts to and on Facebook.


I CAN ONLY IMAGINE WHAT GIFT OFFERING TRUMP WILL BRING TO MEXICO: Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpSecret Service members who helped organize Pence Arizona trip test positive for COVID-19: report Trump administration planning pandemic office at the State Department: report Iran releases photo of damaged nuclear fuel production site: report MORE is meeting meet with Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto today, hours before his high-profile immigration speech tonight in Arizona. Let’s set the scene for you:

Why: It’s not because they’re “besties,” it’s because there’s a decent chance Trump will be the next president. Via USA Today, “Peña Nieto has been one of Trump's harsher critics. He has compared the GOP presidential nominee to dictators such as Adolf Hitler and Benito Mussolini.” Ouch.  

Optics: Trump and Peña Nieto are expected to give a joint press conference after the meeting, which could be a glimpse into Trump’s bilateral meetings as president. You can bet the photos taken here will be plastered across campaign ads! However, Trump’s traveling press was left behind, so it’s unclear how the press conference will work. Just questions from the Mexican press? This could be very worth watching:

Livestream of Trump’s arrival in Mexico City:

Feeling in Mexico: In general, the reaction from the Mexican people to this meeting is not positive. However, Excelsior, a Mexican center-right, pro-government news outlet, called the confab a “diplomatic victory.” That’s a pretty bold statement.

Mexican president’s likeability: Peña Nieto's approval rating hit an all-time low earlier this month, at just 23 percent approval. Keep in mind: Peña Nieto is giving his State of the Union address tomorrow (!). But with his approval so low, he switched the venue from addressing Congress to a town hall format. 

Will Clinton meet with Peña Nieto? The Mexican president’s office said it had sent invitations last week to both Trump and Clinton. Clinton’s campaign would not comment on whether she had received the invitation.  

Shade thrown from the former Mexican president: Former Mexican President Vicente Fox commented this morning, calling Donald Trump a “traitor” and saying he is "not welcome to Mexico."  

Behind-the-scenes planning: This trip was planned pretty last-minute. And via The New York Times’s Maggie Haberman: Chris Christie and Rudy Giuliani, whose firm did work in Mexico soon after he left City Hall, both helped with the planning.  

5 things to watch in Trump’s immigration speech: What’s his tone? What about deportations? Any movement on the wall? Will he make direct overtures to Hispanics? Can he keep his base engaged? Explanations for each: 


IT’S A GOOD DAY TO BE AN INCUMBENT!: ... Unless you’re Rep. Corrine BrownCorrine BrownFormer Florida rep sentenced to five years in prison for fraud, tax evasion Genuine veteran charities face a challenge beating the fakes Former Florida rep found guilty of tax evasion, fraud MORE that is. Here are the primary results from Florida and Arizona yesterday. In short: not too many surprises/upsets: 



  • Florida’s 23rd — Dems: Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz beat Tim Canova, 57 to 42 percent.
  • Florida’s 5th — Dems: Rep. Corrine Brown lost to former state Sen. Al Lawson, 48 to 39 percent, amid Brown’s indictment.  
  • Florida’s 9th — Dems: State Sen. Darren Soto beat Dena Grayson, Rep. Alan Grayson’s wife, in the seat he vacated to run for Senate, 36 to 28 percent. 

Tweet from National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar: SORE LOSERS: Canova called DWS a "corporate stooge" AFTER losing; Grayson called Murphy a "Republican"; Beruff: Rubio made "life mistake"  



The Wall Street Journal’s Madeline Marshall

Trump goes to Scotland *for business*: Brings press along. Trump goes to Mexico *for campaign*: Leaves press in U.S.

Bloomberg’s Jennifer Epstein

Today in uplifting DCCC fundraising email subject lines 

Former Congressman Joe Walsh (R-Ill.)

You know, if Donald Trump comes back from Mexico tomorrow with a big check from Mexico to pay for the wall...that's game, set, match.

CNN’s Dan Merica

Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonCarville repeats prediction that Trump will drop out of race What's behind Trump's slump? Americans are exhausted, for one thing Trump campaign reserves air time in New Mexico MORE and Tim KaineTimothy (Tim) Michael KaineOvernight Defense: Lawmakers demand answers on reported Russian bounties for US troops deaths in Afghanistan | Defense bill amendments target Germany withdrawal, Pentagon program giving weapons to police Senators aim to limit Trump's ability to remove troops from Germany Filibuster reform gains steam with Democrats MORE headlined 68 fundraisers this month that raised a combined total of more than $80 million.



Today: Hillary Clinton speaks at the American Legion National Convention in Cincinnati. Note: Trump will speak there on Thursday:  

1:30 p.m. EDT: Tim Kaine will campaign in Bethlehem, Pa.

4 p.m. EDT: Mike PenceMichael (Mike) Richard PenceSecret Service members who helped organize Pence Arizona trip test positive for COVID-19: report Overnight Health Care: Experts fear July 4 weekend will exacerbate coronavirus spread | Texas Gov. Abbott will require masks in most of the state | Fauci warns: 'We are not going in the right direction' Florida records over 10K COVID-19 cases, highest single-day increase MORE holds a town hall in Sarasota, Fla.

5 p.m. EDT: President Obama headlines the 2016 Lake Tahoe Summit to talk about climate change and the environment. He’ll then travel to Hawaii. 

9 p.m. EDT: Donald Trump gives his postponed immigration speech in Phoenix.

12:30 a.m. EDT tomorrow: President Obama delivers remarks at the 2016 Pacific Islands Conference of Leaders at the East-West Center in Hawaii.

Tomorrow: Vice President Biden campaigns with Hillary Clinton in Ohio.



Today is National Trail Mix Day!

GO TO SLEEP, AP. YOU’RE DRUNK: This is the lede of an AP story: “A dwarf billy goat gave new meaning to the word ‘scapegoat’ when he busted out a surprisingly slippery Clydesdale [named Budweiser, but goes by Buddy] that went on the lam in California for several days.”  

*IMMEDIATELY BOOKS A TRAIN TO PHILLY*: Via the Philadelphia Inquirer, this fall, the Franklin Institute is hosting an exhibit on dinosaurs and the film “Jurassic World.” It will feature life-size animatronic dinosaurs including the beloved Tyrannosaurus rex, a velociraptor and a brachiosaurus — “the 24-foot herbivore that sneezed dino goo all over our heroes in the original Jurassic Park.”  

And to leave you on a good note, here is a three-legged puppy conquering stairs:  


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