The Hill's 12:30 Report: Dems wait for winner after caucus chaos

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--> A midday take on what's happening in politics and how to have a sense of humor about it.*

*Ha. Haha. Hahah. Sniff. Haha. Sniff. Ha--breaks down crying hysterically.


The Hill's 12:30 Report: Breaking — Majority of Iowa Caucus results expected by 5 p.m. EST | Campaigns furious over caucus chaos | Officials blame app for delay | Trump mocks Dems over mishap | 2020 Dems shift focus to New Hampshire | Trump to deliver State of the Union before Democrats who impeached him | Trump approval hits new high | Senators look to leave town after impeachment vote



If this were a plotline on 'Veep,' I would have rolled my eyes and thought the writers had gone too far:

More than 16 hours after the first-in-the-nation Iowa Caucuses, the Iowa Democratic Party has still not released the results and is facing the wrath from infuriated campaigns.

Why campaigns are particularly angry: "The unusually long wait, coupled with a lack of transparency during the chaotic night, angered the campaigns, which have spent tens of millions of dollars and countless hours on the ground in the Hawkeye State in the hopes that a strong showing would put their candidate on the path to the Democratic nomination." 

When the results are expected: The state party blames a new app used to report results for the delay and says the results will be released "as soon as possible today." From the party this morning: "Precinct level results are still being reported to the IDP. While our plan is to release results as soon as possible today, our ultimate goal is to ensure that the integrity and accuracy of the process continues to be upheld."

^ Just now -- we have an update: The Iowa Democratic Party told campaigns to expect results by 5 p.m. EST (4 p.m. in Iowa)

Photo of the worksheet each caucus has to fill out: 


This took me a second, but is well played 



CNN's Wolf Blitzer interviewed a caucus secretary who had been on hold "for over an hour" trying to report his precinct's results. And during the interview, someone in the Iowa Democratic Party picked up and hung up on the caucus secretary. Watch -- it's pretty wild:



From Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersDNC warns campaigns about cybersecurity after attempted scam Overnight Health Care — Presented by American Health Care Association — Trump taps Pence to lead coronavirus response | Trump accuses Pelosi of trying to create panic | CDC confirms case of 'unknown' origin | Schumer wants .5 billion in emergency funds Biden looks to shore up lead in S.C. MORE (I-Vt.): Sanders predicts that he will do "very, very well" whenever the Iowa Caucus results come in.

From President TrumpDonald John TrumpTrump passes Pence a dangerous buck Overnight Health Care — Presented by American Health Care Association — Trump taps Pence to lead coronavirus response | Trump accuses Pelosi of trying to create panic | CDC confirms case of 'unknown' origin | Schumer wants .5 billion in emergency funds Trump nods at reputation as germaphobe during coronavirus briefing: 'I try to bail out as much as possible' after sneezes MORE: "The Democrat Caucus is an unmitigated disaster," Trump tweeted. "Nothing works, just like they ran the Country. Remember the  5 Billion Dollar Obamacare Website, that should have cost 2% of that. The only person that can claim a very big victory in Iowa last night is 'Trump'."

Trump also blamed Democrats, NOT IOWA: "It is not the fault of Iowa, it is the Do Nothing Democrats fault. As long as I am President, Iowa will stay where it is. Important tradition!"


Filing from Manchester, N.H., ahead of a weeklong sprint for campaigns to New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation presidential primary. I'm Cate Martel with a quick recap of the morning and what's coming up. Send comments, story ideas and events for our radar to -- and follow along on Twitter @CateMartel and Facebook.

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Getting traction -- Oh come on, people. Party foul: 

Interesting photo: "Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg persuasion captains going after three eligible Gabbard supporters right now.  Democracy in real time!!!" (Via The Washington Post's Jacqueline AlemanyPhoto:

Photo of the "Presidential Preference Card" that caucus-goers filled out:

Video of Bernie Sanders leaving the Capitol on Monday: "I'm on my way to Iowa!" he said. Video:

At the satellite caucus in Washington, D.C.: "Press got kicked out of the DC satellite caucus once it began. We're not allowed to observe. Was told it was up to the precinct chair." (Via The Huffington Post's Amanda Terkel

Throwback: Here are caucus photos from 2008 from The New York Times's Michael CrowleyPhotos:

Video of a tie break:


Not everyone stays for the entirety of the caucus: "Kathleen Finkenhauer, @Abby4Iowa's great aunt, was for Biden but now she's not going to anyone else 'I'm tired and I want to go home.' She says she'll vote for the nominee though." Photo:

A particularly interesting voter: "Bob Wrobel, 68, from Ankeny, is caucusing for @TomSteyer with @AndrewYang as his second choice, but will switch to @PeteButtigieg if neither Steyer or Yang are viable. Wrobel caucused for @realDonaldTrump in 2016, and his wife is currently a @JoeBiden Precinct captain. #unicorn" Photo of Wrobel:



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Meet me in the House, it's goin' down. Meet me on the floor, it's going down:

President Trump is giving his third State of the Union address to Congress tonight.

What time: 9:10 p.m. EST

Livestream of Trump's address tonight:



Via The Hill's Scott Wong and Cristina Marcos, "After sitting impatiently on the sidelines for months, President Trump on Tuesday night will finally get a chance to address -- face to face -- the House Democrats who impeached him and the senators who will soon vote on whether to end his presidency. It could prove to be an awkward State of the Union address."



According to a new Gallup poll, President Trump's approval rating hits 49 percent.



How Trump's acquittal could have an enormous impact on presidential power:

Via The Hill's John Kruzel, "President Trump's acquittal at the end of his Senate trial could set a new bar for future impeachment trials, according to experts and historians interviewed by The Hill."

How so: "It may take years or even decades to truly determine what kind of mark Trump's trial leaves, but historians and legal experts say an acquittal will likely lower the bar for permissible presidential conduct and give the executive branch more power in the face of congressional oversight -- if the decision is based in part on the Trump legal team's expansive view of presidential power." 



Via The Hill's Alexander Bolton, "Senate GOP Whip John ThuneJohn Randolph ThuneSchumer requesting .5 billion in emergency funding on coronavirus Republicans give Barr vote of confidence Trump creates new headaches for GOP with top intelligence pick MORE says the expectation is for the Senate to recess for the week after Wednesday vote on articles of impeachment."



New Hampshire is proud of its role:

Sen. Jeanne ShaheenCynthia (Jeanne) Jeanne ShaheenOvernight Health Care: Appeals court strikes down Medicaid work requirements | Pelosi's staff huddles with aides on surprise billing | Senate Dems pressure Trump to drop ObamaCare lawsuit Senate Democrats pressure Trump to drop ObamaCare lawsuit Trump under pressure to renew last nuke treaty with Russia MORE (D-N.H.) called into "NH Today with Jack Heath" and reacted to the debacle in Iowa.

Shaheen told Heath: "Well, it's not the first time that Iowa has had some issues with their caucuses. I've always maintained that the New Hampshire primary is a far better way to determine how people feel about the race because it's a direct vote." 

She continued: "It's unfortunate that we don't have the results. I'm sure we'll get them later and again, I think it reinforces how important the New Hampshire primary is." 



Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenBiden looks to shore up lead in S.C. Hillicon Valley: Dems cancel surveillance vote after pushback to amendments | Facebook to ban certain coronavirus ads | Lawmakers grill online ticketing execs | Hacker accessed facial recognition company's database Vulnerable Democrats brace for Sanders atop ticket MORE: Nashua, Concord and Manchester

Former South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete ButtigiegPeter (Pete) Paul ButtigiegBiden looks to shore up lead in S.C. Vulnerable Democrats brace for Sanders atop ticket The Hill's Campaign Report: Gloves off in South Carolina MORE (D): Manchester, Hampton, Portsmouth, Laconia and Concord

Rep. Tulsi GabbardTulsi GabbardBiden leads by 18 points in South Carolina: poll Buttigieg notes diversity on debate stage: We're '7 white people talking about racial justice' Sanders grows lead in new Hill/HarrisX poll MORE (D-Hawaii): Nashua and Litchfield

Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy Jean KlobucharBiden looks to shore up lead in S.C. The Hill's Campaign Report: Gloves off in South Carolina Lawmakers grill Ticketmaster, StubHub execs over online ticketing MORE (D-Minn.): Concord, Portsmouth and Nashua

Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval PatrickDeval PatrickNevada caucuses open with a few hiccups Hill TV's Saagar Enjeti slams the media's coverage of Deval Patrick's 2020 campaign The Hill's Campaign Report: Bloomberg to face off with rivals at Nevada debate MORE (D): Manchester and Durham

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.): Milford and Manchester 

Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenBiden looks to shore up lead in S.C. Hillicon Valley: Dems cancel surveillance vote after pushback to amendments | Facebook to ban certain coronavirus ads | Lawmakers grill online ticketing execs | Hacker accessed facial recognition company's database Push for national popular vote movement gets boost from conservatives MORE (D-Mass.): Keene

Businessman Andrew YangAndrew Yang6 ways the primary fight is toughening up Democrats for the fall general election The Hill's Morning Report - Sanders steamrolls to South Carolina primary, Super Tuesday Yang calls on someone to 'pull an Andrew Yang' and bow out of 2020 race MORE: Manchester, New London, Laconia and Lebanon


Interesting read from a veteran campaign adviser

In New Hampshire Business Review, Bernstein Shur's Jim Merrill explains how New Hampshire is the center of the American political world for the next week.

Excerpt: "I've worked for and advised presidential candidates since 1999. There's no question the primary has changed. Bumper stickers are virtually gone, yard signs are greatly diminished (notwithstanding Tulsi Gabbard's single-handed effort to bring them – and billboards – back into vogue) and suggesting a sign wave today will cause campaign staff to question your sanity. Big data, analytics, targeted social media and use of text and digital-based messaging platforms among a variety of new tools are in. Yes, the primary is changing. But it isn't dying. It's alive and well, right in front of you." 

The full piece:



Lol -- responding to Sen. Chris MurphyChristopher (Chris) Scott MurphyLawmakers raise alarms over Trump coronavirus response Schumer: Trump coronavirus response marked by 'towering and dangerous incompetence' The Hill's Morning Report - Sanders steamrolls to South Carolina primary, Super Tuesday MORE's (D-Conn.) tweet:


Check out this photo:

Full sized photo:



The House and Senate are in.

9:30 a.m. EST: The Senate meets. The Senate's full schedule today:

Noon: The House meets, with no votes scheduled for today. The House's full schedule today

8:30 p.m. EST: President Trump and FLOTUS Melania TrumpMelania TrumpThe Hill's 12:30 Report: Trump to speak on coronavirus as pressure mounts Five takeaways from Trump's trip to India Melania Trump attends 'happiness' class during India visit MORE leave the White House and head to the U.S. Capitol for the State of the Union.

10:40 p.m. EST: President Trump and first lady FLOTUS get back to the White House.



9:10 p.m. EDT: President Trump delivers his State of the Union address. Livestream:



Today is National Homemade Soup Day.


And because you made it this far, here's a dog trying to pet a cat: