The Hill's 12:30 Report: Fallout from Trump's weekend rally

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The Hill’s 12:30 Report: Inside Trump’s rally fiasco | Reelection becoming an uphill climb | House, Senate take up dueling police reform bills | Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisDemocrats awash with cash in battle for Senate Tammy Duckworth hits back at Tucker Carlson: 'Walk a mile in my legs' The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Facebook - Trump wants schools to reopen, challenged on 'harmless' COVID-19 remark MORE’s police reform path littered with land mines | Kudlow predicts no second wave of COVID-19 cases | White House releases Fourth of July plans



What happened behind-the-scenes of Trump’s campaign rally fiasco:



Via Politico’s Alex Isenstadt, “The partly empty arena was the biggest embarrassment and has received the lion’s share of media attention. But the issues surrounding the rally — an event that his advisers unanimously saw as a turning point for Trump — extended beyond crowd size and raised questions about the strength of his campaign less than five months until the election.”  

The story of what happened behind-the-scenes: From an event-planning perspective, this sounds like a nightmare.

Video of the overflow stage outside

Photo of the arena

It’s Monday — welcome back! I’m Cate Martel with a quick recap of the morning and what’s coming up. Send comments, story ideas and events for our radar to — and follow along on Twitter @CateMartel and Facebook

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In the words of Miley Cyrus, ‘it’s the climb’:

Via The Hill’s Niall Stanage, “President TrumpDonald John TrumpKimberly Guilfoyle reports being asymptomatic and 'feeling really pretty good' after COVID-19 diagnosis Biden says he will rejoin WHO on his first day in office Lincoln Project offers list of GOP senators who 'protect' Trump in new ad MORE’s path to reelection is getting steeper and steeper.” 

How so: “The coronavirus, the economic devastation it has caused and a spate of street protests amid racial strife have all taken their toll on a president whose approval ratings were mediocre to begin with. Supporters of the president — and Trump himself — hark back to 2016, when he defied opinion polls to defeat Democrat Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonHillicon Valley: Facebook civil rights audit finds 'serious setbacks' | Facebook takes down Roger Stone-affiliated accounts, pages | State and local officials beg Congress for more elections funds OVERNIGHT ENERGY: Sanders-Biden climate task force calls for carbon-free power by 2035 | Park Police did not record radio transmissions during June 1 sweep of White House protesters | Court upholds protections for Yellowstone grizzly bears GOP Miami mayor does not commit to voting for Trump MORE. But that victory does not necessarily mean Trump is immune to the laws of political gravity.” 

What about polling?: “Recent polling has been almost universally dire for the president.” Examples


Via The New York Times’s Alexander Burns


Via The Hill’s Max Greenwood, “Expectations on the left are rising for what could be a huge night of victories Tuesday in separate primaries in Kentucky and New York.” Details


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Take the profits, SEC:

Via The Hill’s Harper Neidig, “The Supreme Court on Monday upheld the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) practice of seeking to seize profits obtained illegally from fraudulent companies.”

The decision: 8-1 — Clarence ThomasClarence ThomasSupreme Court expands religious rights with trio of rulings Overnight Health Care: CDC to issue more guidance on school openings amid Trump criticism | Supreme Court upholds birth control coverage exemptions | US surpasses 3 million coronavirus infections Supreme Court upholds Trump's expansion of ObamaCare birth control exemptions MORE was the only justice to dissent.

Yes, but: “Still, the decision, authored by Justice Sonia SotomayorSonia SotomayorSupreme Court expands religious rights with trio of rulings Overnight Health Care: CDC to issue more guidance on school openings amid Trump criticism | Supreme Court upholds birth control coverage exemptions | US surpasses 3 million coronavirus infections Supreme Court upholds Trump's expansion of ObamaCare birth control exemptions MORE, limits the SEC's authority to seize such profits, ruling that the agency can't seek more than the amount of net income generated through a fraudulent scheme and should use the funds to provide relief for victims.”

Keep in mind about the Supreme Court cases coming up:






Say ‘police reform’ three times fast:

Via The Hill’s Jordain Carney and Juliegrace Brufke, both chambers of Congress are taking up police reform bills this week, with Senate Republicans and House Democrats offering dueling bills.

What makes the bills different: “The use of no knock warrants and whether to make changes to ‘qualified immunity,’ which shields police officers from civil lawsuits.”  

Wednesday in the Senate: Without a deal with Democrats, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellLincoln Project offers list of GOP senators who 'protect' Trump in new ad State and local officials beg Congress to send more election funds ahead of November Teacher's union puts million behind ad demanding funding for schools preparing to reopen MORE (R-Ky.) will likely set up a vote to end debate on Wednesday. McConnell will need seven Democrats to vote with Republicans to move forward with the bill. 

What are Dems thinking?: “Democrats want a deal on amendments and have not said if they will block the legislation if they don’t get it. In addition to the differences on no knock warrants and qualified immunity, Senate Minority Leader Charles SchumerChuck SchumerA renewed emphasis on research and development funding is needed from the government Data shows seven Senate Democrats have majority non-white staffs Trump may be DACA participants' best hope, but will Democrats play ball? MORE (D-N.Y.) singled out the language in the GOP bill on chokeholds, which would eliminate some federal grants if a state or local department does not have a ban.”

Thursday in the House: The House will take up the Democratic police reform bill. The legislation is expected to pass along party lines. 


Justice Department fallout: “The fallout over the decision by Attorney General Bill Barr to oust former Southern District of New York U.S. Attorney Geoffrey Berman is likely to have reverberations on Capitol Hill this week.” 

D.C. statehood: “The House is slated to take up controversial legislation aimed at granting Washington, D.C., statehood on June 26. If Democrats are successful in having the historic measure pass the House, it would mark the first time legislation to make D.C. the 51st state passed either chamber.” Keep in mind: The bill would face a major uphill battle in the Senate.

Veto override: “The House will try to override Trump’s veto of a resolution rebuking a Department of Education rule that critics argue will hinder student loan borrowers' ability to seek loan forgiveness from predatory institutions.”

Nominations: “The Senate is expected to take up Cory Wilson’s nomination to be an appeals judge on the Fifth Circuit.  Wilson, if he’s confirmed, will be the 200th judicial nominee confirmed for Trump since he took over the White House in January 2017.” 

Context and details for each



Coronavirus cases in the U.S.: 2,281,903

U.S. death toll: 119,997 

Breakdown of the numbers 

For context: A month ago today, 1,577,758 Americans had tested positive for the coronavirus and 94,729 had died.


Seeking to tamp down concerns over coronavirus case spikes, White House economic adviser Larry KudlowLawrence (Larry) Alan KudlowMORE predicted that there won’t be a ‘second wave’ in the coronavirus.

Kudlow said on CNBC: “There are some hot spots. We’re on it. We know how to deal with this stuff now, we’ve come a long way since last winter and there is no second wave coming.”  

Timing of Kudlow’s remark: On Sunday, White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said the Trump administration is preparing for a potential second wave. 

What the experts are saying: “Health experts say that current spikes are not indicative of a second wave but are the result of states reopening businesses amid the first wave of the virus. Experts have also said that spikes in cases, which have primarily been seen in states in the southern and western parts of the country, cannot be attributed to increases in testing alone.”


In Manhattan:



Full photo


From one of the Wiggles:



Full-size images


The Senate meets this afternoon. The House is out. President Trump and Vice President Pence are in Washington, D.C. 

11 a.m. EDT: Vice President Pence led a video conference with governors to discuss the COVID-19 response.

1 p.m. EDT: President Trump has lunch with Vice President Pence.

3 p.m. EDT: The Senate meets.

5:30 p.m. EDT: One roll call vote in the Senate. The Senate’s full schedule today


Noon: The House Education and Labor Committee is holding a virtual hearing on the coronavirus and racial inequalities. Livestream

1 p.m. EDT: White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany holds a press briefing. Livestream


Today is National Chocolate Eclair Day.

The plan for the Fourth:

Via Washingtonian’s Andrew Beaujon, the White House released its plans for the Fourth of July celebration in Washington, D.C. The gist: “This year’s events will take place on the White House’s South Lawn and on the Ellipse. A press release promises ‘music, military demonstrations, and flyovers’ and that President Trump will deliver remarks. And there will be fireworks over the Mall, even though there won’t be a parade.”

And to brighten your Monday afternoon, here’s an independent dog who loves ice cubes: