Day before Trump pick, Dems talk filibuster

The White House and Congress are gearing up for a fierce battle over President Trump’s pivotal nomination to the Supreme Court, which he is expected to announce Tuesday.

Sen. Jeff MerkleyJeffrey (Jeff) Alan MerkleyHillicon Valley: Assange hit with 17 more charges | Facebook removes record 2.2B fake profiles | Senate passes anti-robocall bill | Senators offer bill to help companies remove Huawei equipment The Hill's 12:30 Report: Pelosi fires back in feud with Trump Senators introduce bill to end warrantless searches of electronic devices at border MORE (D-Ore.) turned up the temperature on Monday, circulating a petition that argues his colleagues should block any nominee from Trump given the Senate GOP’s decision to not grant a vote or hearing to Merrick Garland, whom then-President Obama nominated to the court last year.

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“This is the seat that [Senate Majority Leader] Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellThe Hill's 12:30 Report: Trump orders more troops to Mideast amid Iran tensions What if 2020 election is disputed? Immigration bills move forward amid political upheaval MORE [R-Ky.] and [his] team have stolen from President Obama,” he said in an email to supporters. “I won’t be complicit in this theft.”

A spokeswoman for Merkley confirmed that the Oregon Democrat will block any nominee besides Garland, who is not on Trump’s list of potential picks, from winning Senate approval by a simple majority vote.

Trump has vowed to appoint a conservative jurist, and Senate Democratic Leader Charles SchumerCharles (Chuck) Ellis SchumerNo agreement on budget caps in sight ahead of Memorial Day recess Ex-White House photographer roasts Trump: 'This is what a cover up looked like' under Obama Pelosi: Trump 'is engaged in a cover-up' MORE (N.Y.) has threatened to block any nominee deemed outside the mainstream.

The pick will replace Antonin Scalia, the conservative justice who died in February 2016. Adding a conservative could give the right a working majority, though Justice Anthony Kennedy typically holds the court’s swing vote.

Only four filibusters have ever been launched against Supreme Court nominees, but the likelihood of a fifth is high given the tension surrounding the blocked Garland nomination.

Republicans hold 52 seats in the Senate. To defeat a filibuster, they would need eight Democrats to cross party lines.

The last filibuster against a Supreme Court nominee occurred when Democrats sought to block Samuel Alito’s nomination by President George W. Bush in 2006. It failed, and Alito was confirmed by a vote of 58-42.

Only one high court nominee, Abe Fortas, has been successfully filibustered. President Lyndon B. Johnson withdrew his nomination after the Senate voted against ending debate.

Merkley, one of his caucus’s most liberal senators and the only supporter in the Senate of Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersGillibrand seizes on abortion debate to jump-start campaign DNC boss says candidates to be involved in debate lottery CEO pay rising twice as fast as worker pay: AP MORE’s (I-Vt.) presidential campaign last year, isn’t alone.

Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) is also pledging to use the Senate’s procedural hurdles to try to block Trump’s nominee if the individual is an “extremist.”

“I want to fill [an] open seat, but I will oppose — and will actively use every legal tool to block — an extremist, unqualified nominee,” said Blumenthal, a member of the Judiciary Committee.

Republicans are returning fire, arguing Democrats are ignoring the will of voters who handed Republicans their first unified government in roughly a decade. 

“I think if you’re a Senate Democrat, you’ve got to wonder whether or not you’re getting outside of Washington enough,” White House press secretary Sean Spicer told reporters Monday.

McConnell has noted that Republicans did not filibuster Obama’s two first-term nominees. McConnell said Trump should get the same treatment.

“We have every right to expect the same courtesy from today’s minority when we receive this nomination tomorrow,” he said from the Senate floor. 

The GOP also could opt for the “nuclear option” by changing Senate rules to get rid of the 60-vote threshold for Supreme Court nominees, something Trump has said should be done if Democrats block his pick. McConnell has repeatedly signaled he does not want to take that step, most recently in an interview with The Hill on Friday.

Spicer declined on Monday to weigh in on whether the Senate should change the rules.

It’s not clear whether Democrats would be able to sustain a filibuster on any Trump pick.

Schumer’s office declined to comment on whether he would move to require 60 votes for Trump’s picks.

He added during an interview on NBC’s “Today” show Monday that Democrats weren’t looking for “payback” over Garland’s treatment.

Complicating the fight are the 10 Democrats up for reelection in 2018 in states Trump won.

The Senate Leadership Fund, which has ties to McConnell, questioned whether Sens. Joe ManchinJoseph (Joe) ManchinSenate Democrats to House: Tamp down the impeachment talk The Hill's Morning Report - Trump says no legislation until Dems end probes Senate panel approves Interior nominee over objections from Democrats MORE (D-W.Va.), Heidi HeitkampMary (Heidi) Kathryn HeitkampOn The Money: Stocks sink on Trump tariff threat | GOP caught off guard by new trade turmoil | Federal deficit grew 38 percent this fiscal year | Banks avoid taking position in Trump, Dem subpoena fight Fight over Trump's new NAFTA hits key stretch Former senators launching effort to help Dems win rural votes MORE (D-N.D.), Jon TesterJonathan (Jon) TesterSenate Democrats to House: Tamp down the impeachment talk Threat of impeachment takes oxygen out of 2019 agenda Overnight Defense: Trump officials say efforts to deter Iran are working | Trump taps new Air Force secretary | House panel passes defense bill that limits border wall funds MORE (D-Mont.) or Claire McCaskillClaire Conner McCaskillCongress needs to work to combat the poverty, abuse and neglect issues that children face Lobbying world Big Dem names show little interest in Senate MORE (D-Mo.), all up for reelection, would support Merkley’s filibuster.

The Judicial Crisis Network, a conservative group, plans to spend $10 million to confirm Trump’s nominee, while Tea Party Patriots plans to hold 1,000 house parties in the next 100 days to rally activists.

Carrie Severino, chief counsel and policy director of the Judicial Crisis Network, says her group will mount a pressure campaign targeting the 10 Democrats running for reelection in states that supported Trump.

“For the Democrats who are up for reelection in 2018, it’s going to mean choosing between the interests of their constituents and the interests of Democratic politicians,” she said.

On the left, organizers say hundreds of groups, including People for the American Way, the Alliance for Justice, MoveOn.org and the Leadership Conference on Civil and Human Rights, are planning to flood Senate offices with phone calls and constituent visits.

“There will be a wall of opposition senators are going to find among their own constituents,” said Ben Winkler, Washington director of MoveOn.org.

Liberal groups won’t disclose the size of their budgets and concede that conservative groups will likely outspend them, but they say the money can be matched by grassroots activism.

“We’re gearing up. We’re ready to fight,” said Marge Baker, executive director of People for the American Way. “It’s going to be big. I’ve been here 14 years. This is huge. Partly because the events of the past week have shown how important the courts are.”