Five things to watch for in Trump’s State of the Union

President TrumpDonald John TrumpLondon terror suspect’s children told authorities he complained about Trump: inquiry The Memo: Tide turns on Kavanaugh Trump to nominate retiring lawmaker as head of trade agency MORE will deliver his first State of the Union address on Tuesday, a week after a three-day government shutdown was sparked by a bitter partisan fight over immigration.

The drama over efforts to protect so-called Dreamers is sure to grab some of the spotlight during the highly anticipated address, though Trump is also expected to use the stage to take an economic victory lap and pitch a bipartisan infrastructure plan to Congress.

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The State of the Union also comes against the backdrop of the intensifying Russia probe and other controversies surrounding Trump’s White House — and it’s anyone’s guess whether the unconventional president will stick to the script or shoot from the hip.

 

Here are five things to watch for during Trump’s inaugural State of the Union address.

 


Does Trump move the needle on the immigration debate?

The fate of young immigrants who were brought to the country illegally as children is sure to be a hot topic on Tuesday night.

Trump rescinded the Obama-era Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program, which allowed Dreamers to work and go to school here, and gave Congress until March 5 to come up with a permanent legal solution.

But Congress has been at an impasse over how to resolve the issue, which led to the shutdown earlier this month.

The White House unveiled a legislative framework last week that would offer 1.8 million people a pathway to citizenship in exchange for $25 billion for Trump’s signature campaign promise of a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border. It would also eliminate the diversity visa lottery and limit family-based migration.

The plan, however, has faced blowback from both parties, with Republicans balking at the prospect of providing “amnesty” and Democrats worried about the proposed dramatic changes to the U.S. immigration system. 

“It’s got to be bipartisan because the Republicans really don’t have the votes to get it done in any other way, so it has to be bipartisan. But hopefully the Democrats will join us, or enough of them will join us, so we can really do something great, for DACA and for immigration generally,” Trump said Monday.

Trump could use his bully pulpit Tuesday night to ratchet up the pressure on both Democrats and Republicans to get on board with his proposal. 

And Democrats, likewise, will try to keep the heat on the White House and Congress to protect Dreamers from being deported.

Some Democrats are bringing Dreamers as their guests to Trump’s address, while at least one GOP lawmaker, centrist Rep. Carlos CurbeloCarlos Luis CurbeloThe Hill's Morning Report — Sponsored by Better Medicare Alliance — Cuomo wins and Manafort plea deal Hillicon Valley: North Korean IT firm hit with sanctions | Zuckerberg says Facebook better prepared for midterms | Big win for privacy advocates in Europe | Bezos launches B fund to help children, homeless Bipartisan trio asks US intelligence to investigate ‘deepfakes’ MORE (Fla.), is making the same gesture.

Trump, meanwhile, is inviting parents of girls murdered by the gang MS-13, as well as an Immigration and Customs Enforcement special agent in charge of investigations that have led to MS-13 arrests.

Trump’s decision attracted criticism from Democrats, with Rep. Judy ChuJudy May ChuState Department: Allegations of racism 'disgusting and false' Dems vow to grab Trump tax returns upon taking majority Overnight Health Care: Drug price fight heats up | Skepticism over drug companies' pledges | Ads target HHS secretary over child separations | Senate confirms VA pick MORE (D-Calif.) calling it “manipulative,” “exploitative” and “bigoted.”

 


The ‘Me Too’ movement 

There won’t be a red carpet, but the audience at the State of the Union will bear some resemblance to the Golden Globes earlier this month. Female — and some male — lawmakers will be wearing black to show solidarity with victims of sexual misconduct, just as Hollywood actors did at the awards show three weeks ago. 

They had been planning on some sort of gesture after wearing white — the color associated with suffragettes — to Trump’s first address to a joint session of Congress last year. Female members settled on wearing black after seeing the Golden Globes display.

Many legislators are bringing guests associated with the “Me Too” movement highlighting sexual misconduct in the workplace. Rep. Jackie SpeierKaren (Jackie) Lorraine Jacqueline SpeierHouse Dems push to delay Kavanaugh vote for investigation Dems demand answers on Pentagon not recognizing Pride Month Overnight Defense: VA pick breezes through confirmation hearing | House votes to move on defense bill negotiations | Senate bill would set 'stringent' oversight on North Korea talks MORE (D-Calif.), for instance, is hosting Travis Moore, a former House aide who organized a letter of other former staffers calling for reforming Capitol Hill’s sexual harassment policies. And Rep. Katherine ClarkKatherine Marlea ClarkThe farm bill gives Congress a chance to act on the Pet and Women Safety (PAWS) Act Michigan lawmaker wants seat for Midwest at Dem leadership table Michigan Dem mulls leadership bid in House MORE (D-Mass.) is bringing Anny Gonzalez, an airplane cleaner who was sexually harassed at her job.

Tuesday’s address will come a day after the House passed legislation to require athletic organizations to swiftly report sexual abuse and establish policies to prevent it from happening in the first place. Consideration of the bill follows last week’s sentencing of former USA Gymnastics doctor Larry Nassar for sexually abusing more than 150 young female athletes.

 


Boycotts

Roughly a dozen House Democrats are skipping Trump’s speech entirely. After watching Trump’s first year in office, they say they have no interest in attending.

“This is a presidency that has been built on racism, stupidity and lies, which has already wasted enough of America’s time, and I will not waste any more of mine,” Rep. Bobby RushBobby Lee RushBlack Dem lawmaker slams NRA rep for saying she was victim of 'public lynching' at CNN event Overnight Health Care — Presented by the Association of American Medical Colleges — Key ObamaCare groups in limbo | Opioids sending thousands of kids into foster care | House passes bill allowing Medicaid to pay for opioid treatments House passes bill allowing Medicaid to pay for certain opioid, cocaine treatment MORE (D-Ill.) said while announcing his boycott.

Only two Democrats, Reps. Maxine WatersMaxine Moore WatersOn The Money: Midterms to shake up House finance panel | Chamber chief says US not in trade war | Mulvaney moving CFPB unit out of DC | Conservatives frustrated over big spending bills The Hill's Morning Report — Sponsored by United Against Nuclear Iran — The Hill interviews President Trump Midterms to shake up top posts on House finance panel MORE (Calif.) and Al GreenAlexander (Al) N. GreenImpeachment will be at the top of Democrats' agenda if they take the House majority Panetta: Dems shouldn't get ahead of themselves on impeachment Pence on Dems impeaching Trump: ‘I take them at their word’ MORE (Texas), made a show of not attending Trump’s address to Congress last year.

But the number of Democratic boycotts this year has spiked, particularly after lawmakers expressed outrage over Trump’s reported comments describing some nations as “shithole countries” earlier this month. 

The members skipping the speech plan to take part in other events. Rep. Pramila JayapalPramila JayapalBlue wave poses governing risks for Dems Dem rep: Why shouldn’t Americans believe Trump is as corrupt as his friends? Sunday shows preview: Trump faces fallout after Manafort flips MORE (D-Wash.), for example, is speaking at a counterevent with liberal activists. 

 


Does Trump stay on script?

Trump mostly stuck to the script last year when he addressed a joint session of Congress, delivering a largely measured speech that earned him positive media coverage and praise from lawmakers.

But one year into his presidency — and with the Russia probes looming large — will Trump stay on message, or will he shake up the format of one of America’s oldest political rituals?

Trump is expected to tout the recently passed GOP tax law and lay out his 2018 agenda, which will center on a $1 trillion infrastructure package.

But Trump is also known to speak off the cuff, and he relishes in going after his critics, especially when he feels attacked.

The president will have plenty of material to choose from on Tuesday, including a bombshell tell-all book that dropped this month and a recent New York Times report that the president tried to fire the special counsel investigating possible connections between his campaign and Russia.

Trump’s speech will also follow a vote by the House Intelligence Committee to release a memo that Republicans say exposes political bias in the FBI probe, a topic that Trump may find difficult to resist.

 


What is the Democratic message?

Rep. Joe KennedyJoseph (Joe) Patrick KennedyEx-GOP donor urges support for Dems in midterms: 'Democracy is at stake' Joe Kennedy: Trump's math counts black and brown lives less than white lives Senate Intel chief slams ex-CIA director for timing of claims about Trump-Russia ties MORE III (D-Mass.) will be in the spotlight Tuesday night when he delivers the official Democratic Party response to Trump’s address. The rising Democratic star, 37, is expected to speak from Diman Regional Vocational Technical High School in Fall River, Mass., rather than from Washington. 

For Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy’s grandson, it will be a big platform to introduce himself to the American public. Kennedy has served in Congress since 2013.

Other Democrats seeking to boost their own profiles will also be offering rebuttals.

Waters, whose name recognition has skyrocketed in the past year for her no-holds-barred criticism of Trump, is boycotting the president’s speech. 

“What does he have to say that I would be interested in?” she said on MSNBC this month. 

But Waters will speak on BET after the address as part of special network programming, according to BuzzFeed.

Sen. Bernie SandersBernard (Bernie) SandersThe Memo: Tide turns on Kavanaugh Election Countdown: Trump confident about midterms in Hill.TV interview | Kavanaugh controversy tests candidates | Sanders, Warren ponder if both can run | Super PACs spending big | Two states open general election voting Friday | Latest Senate polls READ: President Trump’s exclusive interview with Hill.TV MORE (I-Vt.), a potential 2020 presidential contender, also plans to deliver a response to Trump’s State of the Union, as he did after the joint session address last year.