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Dems hold edge in Rust Belt Senate races: poll

Dems hold edge in Rust Belt Senate races: poll
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Five incumbent Democratic senators running in Rust Belt states President TrumpDonald TrumpKinzinger, Gaetz get in back-and-forth on Twitter over Cheney vote READ: Liz Cheney's speech on the House floor Cheney in defiant floor speech: Trump on 'crusade to undermine our democracy' MORE won in the 2016 election all hold leads heading into the final month of the midterm campaign, a poll released Wednesday found.

The Reuters poll showed that Sens. Debbie StabenowDeborah (Debbie) Ann StabenowThe Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Emergent BioSolutions - House GOP drama intensifies; BIden sets new vax goal Overnight Health Care: Biden sets goal of at least one shot to 70 percent of adults by July 4 | White House to shift how it distributes unallocated vaccines to states The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Emergent BioSolutions - Can Cheney defy the odds and survive again? MORE (D-Mich.), Sherrod BrownSherrod Campbell BrownWyden: Funding infrastructure with gas tax hike a 'big mistake' Sherrod Brown calls Rand Paul 'kind of a lunatic' for not wearing mask On The Money: How demand is outstripping supply and hampering recovery | Montana pulls back jobless benefits | Yellen says higher rates may be necessary MORE (D-Ohio), Bob CaseyRobert (Bob) Patrick CaseyA historic moment to truly honor mothers Democrats face big headaches on Biden's T spending plan The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Facebook - GOP makes infrastructure play; Senate passes Asian hate crimes bill MORE Jr. (D-Pa.), Tammy BaldwinTammy Suzanne BaldwinSenate Democrats push Biden over raising refugee cap House Dems to unveil drug pricing measure ahead of Biden package World passes 3 million coronavirus deaths MORE (D-Wis.) and Joe DonnellyJoseph (Joe) Simon DonnellyRepublicans fret over divisive candidates Everybody wants Joe Manchin Centrist Democrats pose major problem for progressives MORE (D-Ind.) all have the lead over their Republican challengers.

The most competitive race is in Indiana, where Donnelly is running against businessman Mike Braun (R) in Vice President Pence's home state. The poll shows 46 percent of respondents backed Donnelly, while 43 percent backed Braun.

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The results were within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, and 1,181 Indiana voters were surveyed.

The other Rust Belt races show the Democrat with a healthier advantage.

Brown leads Rep. Jim RenacciJames (Jim) B. RenacciOhio businessman Mike Gibbons steps down from super PAC as he weighs Senate bid Democrats face tough odds in race for Ohio Senate seat Democrats will expand their Senate majority in 2022 MORE (R-Ohio) in the Ohio Senate race, with 50 percent of voters surveyed supporting the incumbent, and 39 percent supporting the Republican challenger.

Democrats also lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — three states where Trump narrowly defeated Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonSchumer: 'The big lie is spreading like a cancer' among GOP America departs Afghanistan as China arrives Young, diverse voters fueled Biden victory over Trump MORE on his way to victory in the 2016 presidential campaign.

In Michigan, Stabenow leads businessman and veteran John James (R), who has the support of Trump and Pence, by a margin of 55 percent to 35 percent. The poll surveyed 1,150 voters.

Casey Jr. holds a 16-point edge over Rep. Lou BarlettaLouis (Lou) James BarlettaFormer Trump officials eye bids for political office 10 bellwether counties that could signal where the election is headed Bottom Line MORE (R) in the Pennsylvania race. Fifty-three percent of voters polled back Casey Jr., while 37 percent back Barletta, according to the poll.

Baldwin earned the support of 52 percent of voters surveyed in the Wisconsin poll, compared to Republican Leah Vukmir, who received 39 percent. 

The margin of error for each poll was plus or minus 3 percentage points. The polls were all conducted in mid-September.

The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election forecaster, rates the Senate seats in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania as "likely" to remain Democratic. The site considers the Ohio seat to "lean" Democratic, and rates the Indiana race as a "toss-up."