Dems hold edge in Rust Belt Senate races: poll

Dems hold edge in Rust Belt Senate races: poll
© Getty Images

Five incumbent Democratic senators running in Rust Belt states President TrumpDonald John TrumpSchiff pleads to Senate GOP: 'Right matters. And the truth matters.' Anita Hill to Iowa crowd: 'Statute of limitations' for Biden apology is 'up' Sen. Van Hollen releases documents from GAO investigation MORE won in the 2016 election all hold leads heading into the final month of the midterm campaign, a poll released Wednesday found.

The Reuters poll showed that Sens. Debbie StabenowDeborah (Debbie) Ann StabenowSenate fails to get deal to speed up fight over impeachment rules The Hill's Morning Report — President Trump on trial John Lewis to miss Martin Luther King Jr. Day event MORE (D-Mich.), Sherrod BrownSherrod Campbell BrownSunday shows - All eyes on Senate impeachment trial Senate Democrat: 'Fine' to hear from Hunter Biden Sunday shows preview: Lawmakers gear up for Senate impeachment trial MORE (D-Ohio), Bob CaseyRobert (Bob) Patrick CaseySenate Democrats launch investigation into Trump tax law regulations Advocates call for ObamaCare open enrollment extension after website glitches The US needs to lead again on disability rights MORE Jr. (D-Pa.), Tammy BaldwinTammy Suzanne BaldwinSenate fails to get deal to speed up fight over impeachment rules Lawmakers introduce bill to bolster artificial intelligence, quantum computing Trump's China deal is a gift to Wall Street and Beijing MORE (D-Wis.) and Joe DonnellyJoseph (Joe) Simon DonnellyGinsburg health scare raises prospect of election year Supreme Court battle Watchdog accuses pro-Kavanaugh group of sending illegal robotexts in 2018 Lobbying world MORE (D-Ind.) all have the lead over their Republican challengers.

The most competitive race is in Indiana, where Donnelly is running against businessman Mike Braun (R) in Vice President Pence's home state. The poll shows 46 percent of respondents backed Donnelly, while 43 percent backed Braun.


The results were within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, and 1,181 Indiana voters were surveyed.

The other Rust Belt races show the Democrat with a healthier advantage.

Brown leads Rep. Jim RenacciJames (Jim) B. RenacciDemocrats fear Ohio slipping further away in 2020 Medicare for All won't deliver what Democrats promise GOP rep: If Mueller had found collusion, 'investigation would have wrapped up very quickly' MORE (R-Ohio) in the Ohio Senate race, with 50 percent of voters surveyed supporting the incumbent, and 39 percent supporting the Republican challenger.

Democrats also lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — three states where Trump narrowly defeated Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonSchiff pleads to Senate GOP: 'Right matters. And the truth matters.' Hill.TV's Saagar Enjeti defends Tulsi Gabbard's lawsuit against Hillary Clinton Trump to hold rally on eve of New Hampshire primary MORE on his way to victory in the 2016 presidential campaign.

In Michigan, Stabenow leads businessman and veteran John James (R), who has the support of Trump and Pence, by a margin of 55 percent to 35 percent. The poll surveyed 1,150 voters.

Casey Jr. holds a 16-point edge over Rep. Lou BarlettaLouis (Lou) James BarlettaEx-GOP congressman to lead group to protect Italian products from tariffs Head of Pennsylvania GOP resigns over alleged explicit texts Trump's most memorable insults and nicknames of 2018 MORE (R) in the Pennsylvania race. Fifty-three percent of voters polled back Casey Jr., while 37 percent back Barletta, according to the poll.

Baldwin earned the support of 52 percent of voters surveyed in the Wisconsin poll, compared to Republican Leah Vukmir, who received 39 percent. 

The margin of error for each poll was plus or minus 3 percentage points. The polls were all conducted in mid-September.

The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election forecaster, rates the Senate seats in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania as "likely" to remain Democratic. The site considers the Ohio seat to "lean" Democratic, and rates the Indiana race as a "toss-up."