Dems hold edge in Rust Belt Senate races: poll

Dems hold edge in Rust Belt Senate races: poll
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Five incumbent Democratic senators running in Rust Belt states President TrumpDonald John TrumpMarine unit in Florida reportedly pushing to hold annual ball at Trump property Giuliani clashes with CNN's Cuomo, calls him a 'sellout' and the 'enemy' Giuliani says 'of course' he asked Ukraine to look into Biden seconds after denying it MORE won in the 2016 election all hold leads heading into the final month of the midterm campaign, a poll released Wednesday found.

The Reuters poll showed that Sens. Debbie StabenowDeborah (Debbie) Ann StabenowDemocrats seize Senate floor to protest gun inaction: 'Put up or shut up' Conservatives offer stark warning to Trump, GOP on background checks USDA cuts payments promised to researchers as agency uproots to Kansas City MORE (D-Mich.), Sherrod BrownSherrod Campbell BrownBipartisan housing finance reform on the road less taken Hillicon Valley: Google to promote original reporting | Senators demand answers from Amazon on worker treatment | Lawmakers weigh response to ransomware attacks Senate Democrats want answers on 'dangerous' Amazon delivery system MORE (D-Ohio), Bob CaseyRobert (Bob) Patrick CaseyEx-GOP congressman to lead group to protect Italian products from tariffs The Hill's Morning Report - Progressives, centrists clash in lively Democratic debate Democrats press Trump Treasury picks on donor disclosure guidelines MORE Jr. (D-Pa.), Tammy BaldwinTammy Suzanne BaldwinFederal funding for Chinese buses risks our national security Democrats threaten to withhold defense votes over wall The Trump downturn: Trouble ahead for the US economy MORE (D-Wis.) and Joe DonnellyJoseph (Joe) Simon DonnellyLobbying world Trump nominees meet fiercest opposition from Warren, Sanders, Gillibrand GOP frets over nightmare scenario for Senate primaries MORE (D-Ind.) all have the lead over their Republican challengers.

The most competitive race is in Indiana, where Donnelly is running against businessman Mike Braun (R) in Vice President Pence's home state. The poll shows 46 percent of respondents backed Donnelly, while 43 percent backed Braun.

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The results were within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, and 1,181 Indiana voters were surveyed.

The other Rust Belt races show the Democrat with a healthier advantage.

Brown leads Rep. Jim RenacciJames (Jim) B. RenacciMedicare for All won't deliver what Democrats promise GOP rep: If Mueller had found collusion, 'investigation would have wrapped up very quickly' House Ethics Committee extends probe into Renacci MORE (R-Ohio) in the Ohio Senate race, with 50 percent of voters surveyed supporting the incumbent, and 39 percent supporting the Republican challenger.

Democrats also lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — three states where Trump narrowly defeated Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonGiuliani says 'of course' he asked Ukraine to look into Biden seconds after denying it Sanders hits 1 million donors Democrats will not beat Trump without moderate policy ideas MORE on his way to victory in the 2016 presidential campaign.

In Michigan, Stabenow leads businessman and veteran John James (R), who has the support of Trump and Pence, by a margin of 55 percent to 35 percent. The poll surveyed 1,150 voters.

Casey Jr. holds a 16-point edge over Rep. Lou BarlettaLouis (Lou) James BarlettaEx-GOP congressman to lead group to protect Italian products from tariffs Head of Pennsylvania GOP resigns over alleged explicit texts Trump's most memorable insults and nicknames of 2018 MORE (R) in the Pennsylvania race. Fifty-three percent of voters polled back Casey Jr., while 37 percent back Barletta, according to the poll.

Baldwin earned the support of 52 percent of voters surveyed in the Wisconsin poll, compared to Republican Leah Vukmir, who received 39 percent. 

The margin of error for each poll was plus or minus 3 percentage points. The polls were all conducted in mid-September.

The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election forecaster, rates the Senate seats in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania as "likely" to remain Democratic. The site considers the Ohio seat to "lean" Democratic, and rates the Indiana race as a "toss-up."