Poll: Dems hold slim lead in Arizona, Nevada Senate races

Poll: Dems hold slim lead in Arizona, Nevada Senate races
© Getty images

A poll released Wednesday showed Democratic Senate candidates holding narrow leads in Arizona and Nevada, two states where Democrats have the best chance to pick up seats.

A CNN poll found Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (Ariz.) with a 4 point edge over Rep. Martha McSallyMartha Elizabeth McSallyOvernight Defense: Trump officials say efforts to deter Iran are working | Trump taps new Air Force secretary | House panel passes defense bill that limits border wall funds Trump taps new Air Force secretary Bolton emerges as flashpoint in GOP debate on Iran MORE (R-Ariz.) in the race to replace retiring Sen. Jeff FlakeJeffrey (Jeff) Lane FlakeOil companies join blitz for carbon tax The Hill's Morning Report - White House, Congress: Urgency of now around budget Jeff Daniels blasts 'cowardice' of Senate Republicans against Trump MORE (R). A separate CNN poll showed Rep. Jacky RosenJacklyn (Jacky) Sheryl RosenLawmakers introduce legislation to improve cyber workforce funding Dem lawmakers accuse DHS, HHS of giving them misleading information on family separations This week: Barr back in hot seat over Mueller report MORE (D-Nev.) leading Sen. Dean HellerDean Arthur HellerThis week: Barr back in hot seat over Mueller report Trump suggests Heller lost reelection bid because he was 'hostile' during 2016 presidential campaign Trump picks ex-oil lobbyist David Bernhardt for Interior secretary MORE (R-Nev.) by 3 points.

ADVERTISEMENT

In Nevada, a state that Democrat Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonHarris readies a Phase 2 as she seeks to rejuvenate campaign Nevada Senate passes bill that would give Electoral College votes to winner of national popular vote 2020 Dems break political taboos by endorsing litmus tests MORE narrowly won in the 2016 presidential election, Rosen leads Heller, 48 percent to 45 percent, among registered voters. The poll has a margin of error of 4.2 percentage points.

The Nevada poll surveyed 807 registered voters from Oct. 24-29.

Seventy-eight percent of voters surveyed said they've made up their mind about who they plan to vote for on Nov. 6, while 20 percent said they might change their mind before casting a ballot.

An average of other polls in the Nevada race shows Heller leading by 1.7 points.

In Arizona, where voters have not elected a Democrat to the Senate in 30 years, Sinema leads McSally, 51 percent to 47 percent. That margin is down from September, when Sinema led by 7 points in a CNN poll.

Eighty-six percent of respondents said their mind is made up in the race, while 13 percent said they might still change their decision, according to the most recent poll.

RealClearPolitics average of all polls in the race shows Sinema leading by less than 1 point.

CNN's Arizona poll surveyed 867 registered voters from Oct. 24-29, and has a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

The two races are likely to play a decisive role in determining control of the Senate. To secure a majority, Democrats would likely have to win both states and retain all of their current seats on Election Day.

Both races are rated "toss-ups" by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report and have drawn in key figures from each party. President TrumpDonald John TrumpFeinstein, Iranian foreign minister had dinner amid tensions: report The Hill's Morning Report - Trump says no legislation until Dems end probes Harris readies a Phase 2 as she seeks to rejuvenate campaign MORE held rallies in Arizona and Nevada earlier this month, and he has visited Nevada multiple times in support of Heller.

Former President Barack ObamaBarack Hussein ObamaBudowsky: 3 big dangers for Democrats HuffPost says president's golfing trips to Trump properties cost taxpayers over 0 million in travel and security expenses Support for same-sex marriage dips 4 points from 2018 high: Gallup MORE and former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenThe Hill's Morning Report - Trump says no legislation until Dems end probes Harris readies a Phase 2 as she seeks to rejuvenate campaign 2020 Dems put spotlight on disabilities issues MORE stumped for Rosen in Nevada earlier this month. Obama has not visited Arizona, but has endorsed Sinema.