Unions and pro-immigration reform groups are touting the impact of the Latino
vote on the midterm elections as they renew their push for comprehensive
legislation in the next Congress.
Advocates for an immigration reform bill say Democratic candidates in Western
states, particularly California and Nevada, benefited from high Latino turnout.
They plan to pivot off that strong showing in 2010 to argue that both parties
need to move on immigration reform if they want to win over the crucial voting
bloc in 2012.
“It showed the Democrats that they needed the Latinos to win. It also showed
the Republicans that they cannot win without Latinos,” Eliseo Medina,
secretary-treasurer of the Service Employees International Union (SEIU), told
The Hill.
Immigration reform advocates say Democrats who fought for a comprehensive bill
this Congress were rewarded by Latino voters. On the other hand, they say
Republicans who called for tougher border enforcement policies and increased deportation
were punished.
“In wave elections, both chambers usually flip. It’s pretty remarkable that the
Senate stayed in Democratic hands,” said Frank Sharry, executive director of
America’s Voice, an immigration reform advocacy group. “The Latino vote was the
firewall.”
According to exit polls, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid
Harry Mason ReidHarry Reid calls on Democrats to plow forward on immigration Democrats brace for tough election year in Nevada The Memo: Biden's horizon is clouded by doubt MORE (D-Nev.) earned 68
percent of the Latino vote in the Nevada Senate race, compared with 30 percent
for his Republican challenger, Sharron Angle. Sen. Barbara Boxer
Barbara Levy BoxerFirst senator formally endorses Bass in LA mayoral bid Bass receives endorsement from EMILY's List Bass gets mayoral endorsement from former California senator MORE (D-Calif.)
took 65 percent of the Latino vote in the California Senate race, while Carly
Fiorina, her GOP opponent, took 28 percent.
In both the Nevada and California races, Latino voters made
up 15 to 20 percent of the electorate.
Both Angle and Fiorina came out against comprehensive immigration reform during
their election campaigns. Both GOP candidates also supported a new Arizona
state law that gave police officers the authority to detain someone on
suspicion alone of being in the United States illegally.
Reid, in particular, made a big play for Latino votes. In September, the Senate
leader tried unsuccessfully to attach an immigration-related measure known as
the DREAM Act to the defense authorization bill. The provision would provide a
path to U.S. citizenship for children of illegal immigrants if they earn a
two-year college degree or join the military.
“Latino citizens responded to Majority Leader Harry Reid's aggressive pursuit
of immigration reform by voting for him in overwhelming numbers. They were
clearly the difference in his victory,” Rep. Luis Guiterrez (D-Ill.), a vocal
immigration reform advocate, said in a statement Wednesday.
The tilt of Latinos toward Democrats can be seen in a poll
taken in eight states from Oct. 28 to Nov. 1.
Paid for by groups in favor of immigration reform, including SEIU and the
National Council of La Raza, the poll found Latino voters supported Reid by 90
percent, Boxer by 86 percent, and Sen. Michael Bennet
Michael Farrand BennetBuilding back better by investing in workers and communities Biden signs bill to help victims of 'Havana syndrome' Colorado remap plan creates new competitive district MORE (D-Colo.) by 81 percent,
among other candidates. All three won close races on Election Day.
In addition, immigration reform was the second most important issue for Latino
voters, according to the poll. Forty-eight percent chose either “jobs” or “the
economy” as their biggest concern, while 37 percent chose “immigration.”
SEIU, in particular, has worked to harness the Latino vote. The union pumped $5
million into Cambiando California, a Latino outreach group that helped turn out
voters for California Gov.-elect Jerry Brown (D).
The Latino vote will be crucial for either party in 2012 as they compete for
control of the White House. Moving on comprehensive immigration reform could be
key to securing those votes.
“Immigration reform has become a litmus-test issue for these voters. You are
going to have to get on the right side of this issue if you want to win a
national race. Being against immigration reform is turning into political
poison,” said Martine Apodaca, communications director for Reform Immigration
For America.
The new Republican House majority could be put in a difficult position on the
issue — Senate Democrats still have control of their chamber and could move on
an immigration package in the next Congress.
If the legislation passes, likely House Speaker John Boehner
John Andrew BoehnerRift widens between business groups and House GOP Juan Williams: Pelosi shows her power Debt ceiling games endanger US fiscal credibility — again MORE (R-Ohio) will have
to decide whether or not to take up the bill. Either decision will anger an
important faction: freshman GOP House members affiliated with the Tea Party or
Latino voters his party’s presidential candidate will need in order to win the
White House from President Obama.
“The problem is they are caught between their political rhetoric and the future
of their party,” Medina said about the GOP-controlled House.
The labor official, however, said Republicans now have an opportunity to win
Latino votes. If they negotiate in good faith to find a solution to the
immigration problem, Latinos could be swayed in their direction.
“If they engage in a real, honest-to-goodness discussion on how to fix this
problem, people will give them credit for it,” Medina said. “They will get a
fair hearing. They will also get a lot more votes if they change the direction
of the party.”
Nevertheless, immigration reform advocates understand how tough it will be to
pass a comprehensive bill in the divided Congress next year. But they expect
Democrats will at least want to debate the issue in order to keep Latino voters
on their side.
“We might not be able to win that debate, but we certainly want to have it. The
Senate can make sure we do and so can the president,” Sharry said.
