Clinton’s 9 most likely VP picks

Clinton’s 9 most likely VP picks
© Haiyun Jiang

While liberal icon Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenNearly six in ten want someone other than Trump elected president in 2020: poll Schumer reelected as Senate Democratic Leader Merkley seeking to change Oregon law so he can run for president and Senate in 2020: report MORE (D-Mass.) is getting the lion’s share of attention as a possible vice presidential pick for Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonMeet the lawyer Democrats call when it's recount time Overnight Defense — Presented by Raytheon — Mattis defends border deployment during visit to troops | Bolton aide exits WH after clash with first lady | House blocks Yemen war resolution | Report warns of erosion in US military superiority Exit polls show more women breaking with Republicans MORE, it’s anything but a one-horse race. 

Here are the Democrats best-positioned to become the running mate of the presumptive nominee.

1. Sen. Tim KaineTimothy (Tim) Michael KaineOvernight Defense: What the midterms mean for defense panels | Pompeo cancels North Korea meeting | Trump eyes Kim summit in early 2019 | Pentagon drops name for border mission Five takeaways from a divisive midterm election GOP to retain Senate majority MORE (Va.)

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Kaine holds important advantages over Warren despite the wave of excitement sparked by Monday’s joint campaign event with Clinton and Warren in Cincinnati. He’s less risky, less likely to overshadow the former first lady, and has been a loyal foot soldier in the Clinton cause in recent years.

The big criticism of Kaine is that he won’t help Clinton excite the Democratic base. Like her, he is part of the more centrist strand of the party. Unlike her, his views on abortion, as The Hill recently reported, seem likely to disconcert abortion-rights groups as well.

But those concerns may well be trumped by other factors. Aside from his reputation as a safe pair of hands, Kaine can reinforce Clinton’s main argument that only those tempered by experience are ready to serve as president. He has served as governor of Virginia as well as in the Senate.

Kaine was also vetted by President Obama as a potential running mate in 2008, so he knows the process.

2. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.)

Warren’s speech electrifying the crowd on Monday raised her stock to an all-time high.

It wasn’t just Warren’s effect on the crowd that impressed observers. The vigor with which she praised Clinton was conspicuous, given that the two have had a complicated political relationship. “We’re here to fight side by side with Hillary Clinton,” she said.

But there are still reasons to believe that Warren won’t ultimately get the nod. Her more emphatic rhetoric against Wall Street excesses and the downsides of international trade deals sits uneasily with Clinton. Although the former secretary of State has moved left of late, the two women are cut from different ideological cloths.

Warren also has her own large and energized power base within the party. Even in the best-case scenario for Clinton, in which Warren joins her on the ticket and they win an easy victory in November, would the first female president spend the next four years looking over her shoulder at a vice president who might aspire to be the second?

3. Sen. Sherrod BrownSherrod Campbell BrownBudowsky: Sherrod Brown should run in 2020 Sherrod Brown: If Stacey Abrams doesn't win, Republicans 'stole it' Nearly six in ten want someone other than Trump elected president in 2020: poll MORE (Ohio)

Brown, the left-leaning Ohio senator, has been a high-profile surrogate for Clinton in recent weeks. On Tuesday, he participated in a conference call blasting presumptive GOP presidential nominee Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpMeet the lawyer Democrats call when it's recount time Avenatti denies domestic violence allegations: 'I have never struck a woman' Trump names handbag designer as ambassador to South Africa MORE’s economic policy. In a news release from the Clinton campaign, Brown was quoted portraying Trump as someone who “lines his pockets at the expense of American workers.”

To those who champion him as a VP pick, Brown has advantages similar to Warren’s in terms of revving up progressives but with the important bonus that he is from a swing state.

The doubters, however, suggest he would pull Clinton unnecessarily to the left and that he lacks Warren’s star power. 

A Republican research document recently leaked to The Huffington Post also seemed to suggest the GOP fancied its chances of sullying Brown’s image. 

He “has a number of extremely liberal votes from his political past that can be held against him. These include voting against pay raises for the military,” the document noted.

4. Secretary of Labor Tom Perez

Speculation has waxed and waned about whether Clinton might choose a Hispanic running mate in order to press home her advantage over Trump with that community.

If she decided to do so, Perez could be a real contender. His was among nine names on her VP shortlist, according to a report from The Wall Street Journal earlier this month.

Perez has a resume to impress the progressive base. He served as assistant attorney general for the Justice Department’s civil rights division and, long before that, served as an aide to liberal icon Sen. Edward Kennedy (D-Mass.).

In a sense, however, Perez’s chances could be harmed by Trump. The GOP hopeful is doing so badly with minorities in polls that Clinton may simply feel no great need to choose a Hispanic running mate. 

5. Sen. Cory Booker (N.J.)

Choosing Booker would provide Clinton with a youthful, charismatic and media-savvy running mate. The fact that Booker is African-American could also boost black turnout, though Clinton is already strong in that regard.

But Booker also has his critics. In the past, they have charged him with being more concerned about tending to his Twitter account than partaking in the more prosaic work of governance.

Much of the media attention Booker receives is favorable, bordering on fawning. It is not certain how he would stand up to the intense scrutiny of a presidential race.

6. Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy Jean KlobucharO'Rourke receives invite to visit Iowa from Democratic Party in Des Moines McConnell: Congress aiming for deal on sexual harassment bill this year Schumer reelected as Senate Democratic Leader MORE (Minn.)

Klobuchar is, next to Warren, the most likely woman to be named Clinton’s running mate. The Minnesotan has been effusive about Clinton. “What this means to me and so many other women across the country is that anything and everything is possible,” she told NPR earlier this month, after Clinton became the presumptive nominee.

Klobuchar has significant political skills and no glaring deficiencies, but it would still be a surprise if Clinton picked her. She’s also from a very safe Democratic state that no Republican presidential candidate has carried since incumbent President Nixon in 1972.

7. Rep. Xavier BecerraXavier BecerraAdvocates draw battle lines over national privacy law Overnight Energy: GM proposes electric car mandate | Deadline nears for EPA car rule comments | Greens change tactics to mobilize climate voters California won't enforce net neutrality law as DOJ halts lawsuit MORE (Calif.)

The eagerness of Becerra to win the vice presidential slot has been the subject of some good-natured mockery from his colleagues.

Last week, the California congressman offered Clinton a glass of water when she visited Capitol Hill. “You’re really working it, huh, Xavier?” said Rep. Joseph Crowley (D-N.Y.), drawing laughter from his colleagues.

Despite the jibes, House Democrats would be enthused if Becerra did become Clinton’s running mate.

Becerra, who is Hispanic and a vigorous supporter of immigration reform, could be an attractive pick. But it’s just not clear whether Clinton would go for a congressman who is relatively unknown on the national stage. 

8. Sen. Mark WarnerMark Robert WarnerOn The Money: Trump, Senate leaders to huddle on border wall funding | Fed bank regulator walks tightrope on Dodd-Frank | Koch-backed groups blast incentives for corporations after Amazon deal Schumer told Warner to back off of Facebook: report Schumer reelected as Senate Democratic Leader MORE (Va.)

Warner has cause to wonder why Kaine’s name is mentioned so often as a possible VP and his own is not. He has plenty of similarities with his fellow Virginian: They are both centrists and served as governor of the commonwealth before making it to the Senate.

Both, however, also lack charisma, and that seems to have hampered Warner’s political progress more. In 2014, he came within a whisker of losing his seat, which doesn’t auger well for his chances. 

9. Sen. Al FrankenAlan (Al) Stuart FrankenMeet the lawyer Democrats call when it's recount time Gillibrand sidesteps question on possible Clinton 2020 run Senate GOP beats expectations with expanded majority MORE (Minn.)

Franken stoked speculation when he told The Associated Press last week that he would take the vice presidential slot if Clinton requested that he do so. 

But, in that same interview, he noted that he was not being vetted for the role, to the best of his knowledge.

Franken is a serious figure these days but he remains best known to the general public as a comic who’s been part of NBC’s “Saturday Night Live” cast. 

That makes him an unlikely choice, given that Clinton’s campaign is trying to portray Trump as unqualified and lacking gravitas. At the simplest level, attacking Trump as a reality TV star would be more difficult if a comic were on the Democratic ticket.