Top election forecaster moves GOP campaign head's seat toward Dems after Ala. upset

Top election forecaster moves GOP campaign head's seat toward Dems after Ala. upset
© Greg Nash

Cook Political Report, a top election analysis group, has changed its rating for the Ohio seat held by the chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), suggesting that the prospect of a Democratic win in the district is now more likely.

Ohio’s 15th District, which is currently held by NRCC chairman Steve StiversSteven (Steve) Ernst StiversRep. Steve King pushes GOP to reinstate his committee assignments GOP lawmakers offer several locations for Trump address House vote fails to quell storm surrounding Steve King MORE (R), has been changed from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican" by Cook.

As the head of the NRCC, House Republicans' campaign arm, Stivers is tasked with ensuring that Republicans are elected to the House.

Dave Wasserman, the House editor at Cook Political Report, tweeted Friday that one poll showed a “surprisingly close” race against Stivers.

Cook announced the change in its rankings on Friday. The handicapper also shifted its rating for Pennsylvania’s 18th District, formerly held by Rep. Tim MurphyTim MurphyFemale Dems see double standard in Klobuchar accusations Pennsylvania New Members 2019 Poll: Lamb has double-digit lead in Pennsylvania House race MORE (R), from “Likely Republican” to “Lean Republican.”

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Murphy resigned last month after it was reported that he urged a woman with whom he was having an affair to have an abortion.

The two changes follow Tuesday’s Alabama special election and Sen.-elect Doug Jones’s (D) stunning victory over opponent Roy MooreRoy Stewart MooreRepublican state official faces pushback for comments on Sinema's attire Hillicon Valley: Dem blasts groups behind Senate campaign disinformation effort | FCC chief declines to give briefing on location-data sales | Ocasio-Cortez tops lawmakers on social media | Trump officials to ease drone rules Domestic influence campaigns borrow from Russia’s playbook MORE (R).

The race to fill Attorney General Jeff SessionsJefferson (Jeff) Beauregard SessionsRosenstein expected to leave DOJ next month: reports McCabe: Trump's 'relentless attack' on FBI prompted memoir Trump: 'Disgraced' McCabe, Rosenstein look like they were planning 'very illegal act' MORE’s former Senate seat was vaulted into the national spotlight after Moore was accused of sexual misconduct by multiple women, including one woman who said he initiated a sexual encounter with her when she was a teenager and he was in his 30s.

Jones became the first Democrat to win a Senate seat in Alabama since 1992, and his victory tightens Senate Republicans’ margin in the Senate, giving them just a 51-49 edge.