The Cook Political Report, a top nonpartisan election handicapper, shifted nine House races to more favorable for Democrats in this year's midterm elections.
The new rating changes released on Friday come a few days after Pennsylvania’s nationally watched House special election, where Democrats will likely have a huge upset in a district that President TrumpDonald TrumpJan. 6 committee chair says panel will issue a 'good number' of additional subpoenas Overnight Defense & National Security — Presented by AM General — Pentagon officials prepare for grilling Biden nominates head of Africa CDC to lead global AIDS response MORE won by nearly 20 points in 2016.
Democrat Conor Lamb declared victory and leads Republican state Rep. Rick Saccone by 627 votes, but some media outlets have yet to call the race.
Fitzpatrick's and Rothfus’s seats became more favorable for Democrats after Pennsylvania’s Supreme Court redrew the state’s congressional map in its gerrymandering case. While Republicans are challenging the new lines, they’re still likely to go into effect for the midterms.
Following Tuesday's likely victory, Lamb is looking to switch districts and is preparing a run for Rothfus’s seat. The seat Lamb is poised to win will not exist under the new map, and the area will be drawn into a new, open-seat district that is even more favorable territory for Republicans.
Other notable rating changes include the shift from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican" for Rep. Steve PearceStevan (Steve) Edward PearceNew Mexico Democrat releases final Spanish-language ad in toss-up race Five Latinas who could be Biden's running mate New Mexico Dems brace for crowded race to succeed Udall MORE’s (R-N.M.) open seat and the special election to fill the seat vacated by ex-Rep. Pat TiberiPatrick (Pat) Joseph TiberiOhio Democrat Danny O'Connor won't seek Portman's Senate seat The Hill's Morning Report - Biden argues for legislative patience, urgent action amid crisis Ohio New Members 2019 MORE (R-Ohio). Rep. Ami BeraAmerish (Ami) Babulal BeraOvernight Defense & National Security — Blinken heads to the hot seat Dozens of Sacramento students remain in Afghanistan after US pullout, district says Lobbying world MORE’s (D-Calif.) seat, which is a frequent GOP target, has also shifted from lean Democrat to likely Democrat.
There are also several seats that were already considered safe for Democrats that have tilted even more in their direction, including the shift from "likely Democrat" to "solid Democrat" in the seats held by Rep. Salud CarbajalSalud CarbajalHouse panel approves B boost for defense budget Biden's corporate tax hike is bad for growth — try a carbon tax instead Capitol riots spark fear of Trump's military powers in final days MORE (D-Calif.), Charlie CristCharles (Charlie) Joseph CristBudowsky: Newsom soars while Trump, Abbott, DeSantis ratings lag Democrats face bleak outlook in Florida Lawmakers making Instagram appearance before Free Britney rally at Capitol MORE (D-Fla.) and Tom Suozzi (D-N.Y.).
Only one rating change favors Republicans due to the new maps in Pennsylvania: the seat that will likely be held by Lamb through the end of year. It will now shift from "toss-up" to "likely Republican." Saccone has been circulating petitions to run in the new district.