Election handicapper moves GOP leader's race to 'toss-up'

Election handicapper moves GOP leader's race to 'toss-up'
© Greg Nash

Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted Washington's 5th District, held by House Republican Conference Chair Rep. Cathy McMorris RodgersCathy McMorris RodgersOvernight Energy: Fight over fuel standards intensifies | Democrats grill Trump officials over rule rollback | California official blasts EPA chief over broken talks | Former EPA official says Wheeler lied to Congress EPA head clashes with California over how car emissions negotiations broke down Lawmakers celebrate 100th anniversary of women getting the right to vote MORE (R), from leaning Republican to a toss-up.

Sabato's Crystal Ball managing editor Kyle Kondik tweeted that McMorris Rodgers's race was one of eight that that had shifted towards the Democrats' side in the latest edition of the website's House election forecast.

McMorris Rodgers's campaign did not immediately return a request for comment from The Hill on the rating shift. The district, which the congresswoman has held since 2005 and won by nearly 20 points in 2016, once voted to oust a sitting House Speaker, Rep. Tom Foley (D-Wash.), in 1994.

Another race that tilted in the Democrats' favor, according to Kondik, is the race in Pennsylvania's 17th District, where newly-elected Rep. Conor Lamb (D) faces a challenge from Keith RothfusKeith James RothfusThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Trump's most memorable insults and nicknames of 2018 Pennsylvania New Members 2019 MORE (R). That race has shifted from toss-up to lean Democratic, according to the forecaster.

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Another positive sign for Democrats is Pennsylvania's 7th District, currently held by retiring Rep. Charlie DentCharles (Charlie) Wieder DentCNN celebrates correspondents' weekend with New Orleans-themed brunch The Hill's Morning Report - Government is funded, but for how long? Ex-GOP lawmaker says his party is having a 'Monty Python' moment on shutdown MORE (R), which Sabato's Crystal Ball now rates as leans Democratic after previously rating it as a toss-up.

Democrats are hoping to secure a net gain of 23 seats in the House and two in the Senate to retake both chambers of Congress in November's midterm elections.

A recent generic ballot poll showed Democrats with as much as a 12-point advantage for control of the House with less than 100 days left until voters head to the polls.