New polling shows Brown, DeWine with leads in Ohio

New polling shows Brown, DeWine with leads in Ohio
© Greg Nash

Sen. Sherrod BrownSherrod Campbell BrownLawmakers grapple with the future of America's workforce The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Pass USMCA Coalition - Restrictive state abortion laws ignite fiery 2020 debate On The Money: Mnuchin signals officials won't release Trump tax returns | Trump to hold off on auto tariffs | WH nears deal with Mexico, Canada on metal tariffs | GOP fears trade war fallout for farmers | Warren, regulator spar over Wells Fargo MORE (D-Ohio) is leading his Republican opponent, Rep. Jim RenacciJames (Jim) B. RenacciGOP rep: If Mueller had found collusion, 'investigation would have wrapped up very quickly' House Ethics Committee extends probe into Renacci Sherrod Brown says he has 'no real timetable' for deciding on 2020 presidential run MORE (R), by a whopping 17-point margin, according to a Baldwin Wallace University poll released Tuesday.

That same poll shows Ohio's Republican attorney general, Mike DeWine, with a much more narrow 41.8-37 percent lead over Democrat Richard CordrayRichard Adams CordrayThe road to the White House still goes through Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan announces presidential run Sherrod Brown says he will not run for president MORE, the former director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), in the race to succeed Gov. John Kasich (R).

Brown, a two-term incumbent, is among a handful of Senate Democrats running for reelection this year in a state that President TrumpDonald John TrumpTrump: 'I will not let Iran have nuclear weapons' Rocket attack hits Baghdad's Green Zone amid escalating tensions: reports Buttigieg on Trump tweets: 'I don't care' MORE won in 2016.

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The survey shows Brown with 49.2 percent support among likely Ohio voters, while Renacci garners 31.8 percent support.

Another 19.1 percent remain undecided, giving Renacci some room to close the gap. 

"In both races, the outcomes will hinge on how late-deciding voters break on election day," Tom Sutton, the director of the Community Research Institute at Baldwin Wallace University, said. 

Polls have consistently shown DeWine and Cordray, who left his post at the CFPB last year just before announcing his gubernatorial bid, locked in a tight race.

The Baldwin Wallace University survey also showed that a little more than 21 percent of respondents remain undecided on how they would vote in the gubernatorial race.

Republicans entered 2018 with an advantageous electoral map in the Senate. More than two dozen Democratic incumbents in the chamber are defending their seats this year, including 10 in states won by Trump in 2016.

But the party has still found itself with a narrow path to retaining the majority, as states like Tennessee and Arizona are eyed as prime pickup opportunities and Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward Cruz Eye-popping number of Dems: I can beat Trump 'SleepyCreepy Joe' and 'Crazy Bernie': Trump seeks to define 2020 Dems with insults The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Pass USMCA Coalition - Restrictive state abortion laws ignite fiery 2020 debate MORE (R) has found himself in an increasingly competitive race against Rep. Beto O'RourkeBeto O'RourkeTrump hits Fox News for 'wasting airtime' with coverage of Buttigieg Overnight Health Care — Presented by Campaign for Accountability — Momentum builds for federal laws enshrining abortion rights | Missouri lawmakers approve bill banning abortions at 8 weeks | Warren unveils plan to protect abortion rights Overnight Energy: Dems dismiss Interior chief's work calendars as 'fake' | Buttigieg climate plan includes carbon tax | Poll finds growing number say climate is crucial 2020 issue MORE (D) in deep-red Texas.

The Cook Political Report, an election handicapper, currently rates the Ohio Senate race as "lean Democrat" and the governor's race as a toss-up.

The Baldwin Wallace University poll surveyed 1,048 likely Ohio voters from Sept. 5-15. It has a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.