New polling shows Brown, DeWine with leads in Ohio

New polling shows Brown, DeWine with leads in Ohio
© Greg Nash

Sen. Sherrod BrownSherrod Campbell BrownOn The Money: Trump asks Supreme Court to block Dem subpoena for financial records | Kudlow 'very optimistic' for new NAFTA deal | House passes Ex-Im Bank bill opposed by Trump, McConnell Warren, Brown press IRS on study reviewing Free File program Sunday shows — New impeachment phase dominates MORE (D-Ohio) is leading his Republican opponent, Rep. Jim RenacciJames (Jim) B. RenacciDemocrats fear Ohio slipping further away in 2020 Medicare for All won't deliver what Democrats promise GOP rep: If Mueller had found collusion, 'investigation would have wrapped up very quickly' MORE (R), by a whopping 17-point margin, according to a Baldwin Wallace University poll released Tuesday.

That same poll shows Ohio's Republican attorney general, Mike DeWine, with a much more narrow 41.8-37 percent lead over Democrat Richard CordrayRichard Adams CordrayDemocrats jump into Trump turf war over student loans Supreme Court agrees to hear challenge to consumer agency On The Money: Tax, loan documents for Trump properties reportedly showed inconsistencies | Tensions flare as Dems hammer Trump consumer chief | Critics pounce as Facebook crypto project stumbles MORE, the former director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), in the race to succeed Gov. John Kasich (R).

Brown, a two-term incumbent, is among a handful of Senate Democrats running for reelection this year in a state that President TrumpDonald John TrumpTrump reversed course on flavored e-cigarette ban over fear of job losses: report Trump to award National Medal of Arts to actor Jon Voight Sondland notified Trump officials of investigation push ahead of Ukraine call: report MORE won in 2016.

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The survey shows Brown with 49.2 percent support among likely Ohio voters, while Renacci garners 31.8 percent support.

Another 19.1 percent remain undecided, giving Renacci some room to close the gap. 

"In both races, the outcomes will hinge on how late-deciding voters break on election day," Tom Sutton, the director of the Community Research Institute at Baldwin Wallace University, said. 

Polls have consistently shown DeWine and Cordray, who left his post at the CFPB last year just before announcing his gubernatorial bid, locked in a tight race.

The Baldwin Wallace University survey also showed that a little more than 21 percent of respondents remain undecided on how they would vote in the gubernatorial race.

Republicans entered 2018 with an advantageous electoral map in the Senate. More than two dozen Democratic incumbents in the chamber are defending their seats this year, including 10 in states won by Trump in 2016.

But the party has still found itself with a narrow path to retaining the majority, as states like Tennessee and Arizona are eyed as prime pickup opportunities and Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzOvernight Defense: Erdoğan gets earful from GOP senators | Amazon to challenge Pentagon cloud contract decision in court | Lawmakers under pressure to pass benefits fix for military families Erdoğan gets earful from GOP senators at White House Senators confirm Erdoğan played 'propaganda' video in White House meeting MORE (R) has found himself in an increasingly competitive race against Rep. Beto O'RourkeBeto O'RourkeDeval Patrick enters 2020 race O'Rourke says he 'absolutely' plans to stay in politics Krystal Ball: Buttigieg is 'the boomer candidate' MORE (D) in deep-red Texas.

The Cook Political Report, an election handicapper, currently rates the Ohio Senate race as "lean Democrat" and the governor's race as a toss-up.

The Baldwin Wallace University poll surveyed 1,048 likely Ohio voters from Sept. 5-15. It has a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.