Cook Political Report moves 5 GOP-held seats towards Dems

Cook Political Report moves 5 GOP-held seats towards Dems
© Greg Nash

Five more Republican-held House seats are moving closer to the Democrats' reach. 

The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election handicapper, shifted its ratings for five House races Wednesday, lifting Democrats' chances in GOP-held districts in Colorado, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Texas.

In Colorado, Rep. Mike CoffmanMichael (Mike) Howard CoffmanGardner gets first Dem challenger for 2020 Senate race The 5 most competitive Senate races of 2020 10 things we learned from the midterms MORE's (R) race moved from the "toss-up" column to "lean Democrat," giving his challenger, Jason Crow, a slight edge in the contest.

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Rep. Pete KingPeter (Pete) Thomas KingHouse passes bills to fund Transportation Dept., HUD, Agriculture GOP emphasizes unity ahead of new shutdown votes Dems look to chip away at Trump tax reform law MORE's (R-N.Y.) reelection bid in New York's 1st District also moved over from the "solid Republican" column to "likely Republican." It's not yet considered a competitive race, but has the potential to become one.

King, a 13-term incumbent, is facing a challenge from Liuba Grechen Shirley, a nonprofit consultant who's running as a political outsider. 

In North Carolina, Rep. Ted BuddTheodore (Ted) Paul BuddRepublican Ted Budd holds off challenger to win reelection in North Carolina Election Day: An hour-by-hour viewer’s guide Jockeying already stepping up in House leadership fights MORE's (R) race in the 13th District has been moved into the "toss-up" from "lean Republican," signaling that his bid against Democratic philanthropist Kathy Manning is as competitive as can be.

Likewise, Rep. Brian FitzpatrickBrian K. FitzpatrickLatest funding bill to reopen the government fails in House GOP maps out early 2020 strategy to retake House A rare display of real political courage MORE (R-Pa.) has found himself in a "toss-up" race, according to Cook. His race against former lobbyist Scott Wallace was among those moved over from the "lean Republican" column on Wednesday.

And in Texas's 31st District, Democrat MJ Hegar appears to be gaining on Rep. John CarterJohn Rice CarterProgressives to target Dem reps in 2020 primary fights Puerto Ricans may have elected Rick Scott and other midterm surprises Rise of big cities push Texas to swing-state territory — maybe by 2020 MORE (R). That race moved from the "likely Republican" column to the "lean Republican" column on Wednesday. 

Cook's latest moves are good news for Democrats, who have mounted an aggressive bid to retake control of the House in November. They're banking on deep dissatisfaction with President TrumpDonald John TrumpTrump directed Cohen to lie to Congress about plans to build Trump Tower in Moscow during 2016 campaign: report DC train system losing 0k per day during government shutdown Senate Republicans eye rules change to speed Trump nominees MORE among Democratic-leaning and independent voters to hand them the majority.

Democrats need to pick up at least 23 seats in November to win control of the lower chamber.

FiveThirtyEight, an elections analysis website, currently gives Democrats a 79.6 percent chance of flipping the House this year.