Cook Political Report shifts 7 more races towards Dems

The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election forecaster, shifted seven congressional races on Wednesday toward Democrats less than five weeks before the midterm elections.

Cook moved two races that were previously considered “toss-ups” to "lean Democrat." 

One is the race in Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District, where Rep. Kevin YoderKevin Wayne YoderK Street giants scoop up coveted ex-lawmakers Kansas Senate race splits wide open without Pompeo Mike Pompeo to speak at Missouri-Kansas Forum amid Senate bid speculation MORE (R) is facing a tough race. The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) has canceled more than $1 million in advertising in the coming weeks that had been aimed at bolstering Yoder’s campaign.


Cook also reclassified Michigan’s 11th Congressional District as “lean Democrat” after it was previously considered a “toss-up.” Incumbent Rep. David Trott (R) is not seeking reelection, setting up a race between Haley Stevens (D) and Lena Epstein (R).

The site also shifted two races that previously "leaned Republican" to "toss-up." One involves Rep. Carlos CurbeloCarlos Luis CurbeloThe Hill's Morning Report - Trump, Biden go toe-to-toe in Iowa Ex-GOP lawmakers are face of marijuana blitz Disinvited GOP lawmaker turns up at Dem hearing MORE's (R-Fla.) reelection bid, while the other involves Rep. Mia LoveLudmya (Mia) LoveCongressional Women's Softball team releases roster The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Juan Williams: Racial shifts spark fury in Trump and his base MORE's (R-Utah) campaign for a third term. Both are considered young, rising stars in the GOP.

Meanwhile, Rep. John KatkoJohn Michael KatkoOvernight Defense: House passes T spending package with defense funds | Senate set to vote on blocking Saudi arms sales | UN nominee defends climate change record Senate panel advances bill to protect government devices against cyber threats House passes amendment to block funding for transgender troops ban MORE (R) had his race moved from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican” amid a challenge from Democrat Dana Balter in New York's 24th Congressional District.

Balter recently announced that she raised more than $1.5 million in the last quarter, according to multiple reports.

Cook also shifted seats held by Reps. Justin AmashJustin AmashAmash splits with Republicans, votes to authorize subpoena for Kellyanne Conway The Hill's 12:30 Report: Anticipation high ahead of first debate House panel votes to subpoena Kellyanne Conway over Hatch Act testimony MORE (R-Mich.) and Elise StefanikElise Marie StefanikKlobuchar, Warner introduce bill to limit foreign involvement in US political ads Overnight Defense: Pompeo blames Iran for oil tanker attacks | House panel approves 3B defense bill | Trump shares designs for red, white and blue Air Force One House panel approves 3B defense policy bill MORE (R-N.Y.) from “solid Republican” to “likely Republican,” meaning that the districts could come into play in the case of massive Democratic gains in November. 

Republicans are attempting to stave off a Democratic effort to retake control of the House and Senate in November.

Democrats need to pick up a net 23 seats in the House to reclaim the majority, and must have a net gain of two seats in the Senate to secure a majority there.

RealClearPolitics average of generic congressional ballot polls shows Democrats with a roughly 7-point lead.