Cook Political Report shifts 7 more races towards Dems

The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election forecaster, shifted seven congressional races on Wednesday toward Democrats less than five weeks before the midterm elections.

Cook moved two races that were previously considered “toss-ups” to "lean Democrat." 

One is the race in Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District, where Rep. Kevin YoderKevin Wayne YoderAmanda Adkins wins GOP primary to challenge Rep. Sharice Davids Sharice Davids to vote for Trump impeachment articles: 'The facts are uncontested' Feehery: How Republicans can win back the suburbs MORE (R) is facing a tough race. The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) has canceled more than $1 million in advertising in the coming weeks that had been aimed at bolstering Yoder’s campaign.


Cook also reclassified Michigan’s 11th Congressional District as “lean Democrat” after it was previously considered a “toss-up.” Incumbent Rep. David Trott (R) is not seeking reelection, setting up a race between Haley Stevens (D) and Lena Epstein (R).

The site also shifted two races that previously "leaned Republican" to "toss-up." One involves Rep. Carlos CurbeloCarlos Luis CurbeloThe Memo: GOP cringes at new Trump race controversy Trump, GOP go all-in on anti-China strategy Republicans can't exploit the left's climate extremism without a better idea MORE's (R-Fla.) reelection bid, while the other involves Rep. Mia LoveLudmya (Mia) LoveFormer NFL player Burgess Owens wins Utah GOP primary The Hill's Campaign Report: The political heavyweights in Tuesday's primary fights The biggest political upsets of the decade MORE's (R-Utah) campaign for a third term. Both are considered young, rising stars in the GOP.

Meanwhile, Rep. John KatkoJohn Michael KatkoCongress must deliver aid and empower localities to continue assisting in COVID-19 response Lawmakers zero in on Twitter following massive hack Democrat Dana Balter to face Rep. John Katko in NY House rematch MORE (R) had his race moved from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican” amid a challenge from Democrat Dana Balter in New York's 24th Congressional District.

Balter recently announced that she raised more than $1.5 million in the last quarter, according to multiple reports.

Cook also shifted seats held by Reps. Justin AmashJustin AmashSeveral GOP lawmakers express concern over Trump executive orders Peter Meijer wins GOP primary in Amash's Michigan district Amash confirms he won't seek reelection MORE (R-Mich.) and Elise StefanikElise Marie StefanikHouse Republicans introduce legislation to give states 0 million for elections The 'pitcher of warm spit' — Veepstakes and the fate of Mike Pence The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden, Obama reunite for socially distanced conversation MORE (R-N.Y.) from “solid Republican” to “likely Republican,” meaning that the districts could come into play in the case of massive Democratic gains in November. 

Republicans are attempting to stave off a Democratic effort to retake control of the House and Senate in November.

Democrats need to pick up a net 23 seats in the House to reclaim the majority, and must have a net gain of two seats in the Senate to secure a majority there.

RealClearPolitics average of generic congressional ballot polls shows Democrats with a roughly 7-point lead.