Cook Political Report shifts 7 more races towards Dems

The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election forecaster, shifted seven congressional races on Wednesday toward Democrats less than five weeks before the midterm elections.

Cook moved two races that were previously considered “toss-ups” to "lean Democrat." 

One is the race in Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District, where Rep. Kevin YoderKevin Wayne YoderBottom line Amanda Adkins wins GOP primary to challenge Rep. Sharice Davids Sharice Davids to vote for Trump impeachment articles: 'The facts are uncontested' MORE (R) is facing a tough race. The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) has canceled more than $1 million in advertising in the coming weeks that had been aimed at bolstering Yoder’s campaign.


Cook also reclassified Michigan’s 11th Congressional District as “lean Democrat” after it was previously considered a “toss-up.” Incumbent Rep. David Trott (R) is not seeking reelection, setting up a race between Haley Stevens (D) and Lena Epstein (R).

The site also shifted two races that previously "leaned Republican" to "toss-up." One involves Rep. Carlos CurbeloCarlos Luis CurbeloHouse Hispanic Republicans welcome four new members House adjusts format for dinner with new members after criticism Former GOP congressman calls for Biden to receive presidential briefings MORE's (R-Fla.) reelection bid, while the other involves Rep. Mia LoveLudmya (Mia) LoveVoters elected a record number of Black women to Congress this year — none were Republican Democrats lead in diversity in new Congress despite GOP gains McAdams concedes to Owens in competitive Utah district MORE's (R-Utah) campaign for a third term. Both are considered young, rising stars in the GOP.

Meanwhile, Rep. John KatkoJohn Michael KatkoHillicon Valley: GOP chairman says defense bill leaves out Section 230 repeal | Senate panel advances FCC nominee | Krebs says threats to election officials 'undermining democracy' Katko announces bid to serve as top Republican on Homeland Security panel Katko fends off Democratic opponent in New York race MORE (R) had his race moved from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican” amid a challenge from Democrat Dana Balter in New York's 24th Congressional District.

Balter recently announced that she raised more than $1.5 million in the last quarter, according to multiple reports.

Cook also shifted seats held by Reps. Justin AmashJustin AmashIncoming GOP lawmaker shares video of hotel room workout, citing 'Democrat tyrannical control' Rundown of the House seats Democrats, GOP flipped on Election Day Romney congratulates Biden after victory MORE (R-Mich.) and Elise StefanikElise Marie StefanikDemocrats were united on top issues this Congress — but will it hold? Governors take heat for violating their own coronavirus restrictions Cuomo reverses on in-person Thanksgiving plans with family MORE (R-N.Y.) from “solid Republican” to “likely Republican,” meaning that the districts could come into play in the case of massive Democratic gains in November. 

Republicans are attempting to stave off a Democratic effort to retake control of the House and Senate in November.

Democrats need to pick up a net 23 seats in the House to reclaim the majority, and must have a net gain of two seats in the Senate to secure a majority there.

RealClearPolitics average of generic congressional ballot polls shows Democrats with a roughly 7-point lead.