Poll: Donnelly down by 3 points in Indiana Senate race

Poll: Donnelly down by 3 points in Indiana Senate race

Sen. Joe DonnellyJoseph (Joe) Simon DonnellyHarris faces pivotal moment with Supreme Court battle Trump meets with potential Supreme Court pick Amy Coney Barrett at White House Names to watch as Trump picks Ginsburg replacement on Supreme Court MORE (D-Ind.) is down 3 points in his reelection bid against businessman Mike Braun, according to a new Cygnal poll released Tuesday

About 46 percent of likely voters support the one-term senator, while 49 percent support Braun, a gap that falls within the poll’s margin of error of 4.36 percentage points.

A combined 5 percent of likely voters say they are unsure who they’ll vote for or say they will vote for a third-party candidate. However, Donnelly has a 7-point edge among independent voters.


Both candidates have net-positive favorability ratings. About 47 percent of likely Indiana voters have a favorable view of Braun, while 39 percent have an unfavorable view. About 52 percent of likely voters have a favorable view of Donnelly, while 41 percent have an unfavorable view. 

Meanwhile, President TrumpDonald John TrumpBiden on Trump's refusal to commit to peaceful transfer of power: 'What country are we in?' Romney: 'Unthinkable and unacceptable' to not commit to peaceful transition of power Two Louisville police officers shot amid Breonna Taylor grand jury protests MORE has a net-positive favorability rating in The Hoosier State, with 53 percent of likely voters viewing him favorably and 45 percent having an unfavorable view. 

Trump endorsed Braun and campaigned with him in August, tweeting, “Will be going to Evansville, Indiana, tonight for a big crowd rally with Mike Braun, a very successful businessman who is campaigning to be Indiana’s next U.S. Senator. He is strong on Crime & Borders, the 2nd Amendment, and loves our Military & Vets. Will be a big night!”

Donnelly is one of 10 Democrats defending Senate seats in states Trump won in 2016. The president won Indiana by nearly 20 points.

The Cook Political Report rates the race as a "toss-up," and an average of polls compiled by RealClearPolitics has Braun up by 0.5 percentage points.

Cygnal surveyed 505 likely Hoosier voters from Oct. 26 to 27. The poll has a margin of error of 4.36 percentage points.