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Poll: Rosen leads Heller by 4 points in Nevada Senate race

Rep. Jacky RosenJacklyn (Jacky) Sheryl RosenHillicon Valley: Parler app risks charges of selling out with Apple return | Justices hear First Amendment clash over cheerleader's Snapchat | Google pressed to conduct racial equity audit Lawmakers introduce legislation to create civilian reserve program to fight hackers Bipartisan Senate proposal would grant million to minority businesses MORE (D-Nev.) holds a 4-point lead over vulnerable Sen. Dean HellerDean Arthur HellerOn The Trail: Democrats plan to hammer Trump on Social Security, Medicare Lobbying World Democrats spend big to put Senate in play MORE (R-Nev.), according to a new poll released a day before the pivotal midterm elections.

The Emerson College poll released Tuesday found Rosen opening up a small lead over Heller among likely voters surveyed, 49 percent to 45 percent, which is just outside the poll’s 3-point margin of error. Four percent of likely voters remain undecided in the final stretch.

Nevada’s Senate race has been one of the most hotly contested Senate races this cycle, with polls mostly showing a dead heat in the run-up to Election Day. Heller is the only GOP senator up for reelection in a state that Democratic presidential nominee Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonMcConnell: Taliban could take over Afghanistan by 'the end of the year' Hillary Clinton: There must be a 'global reckoning' with disinformation Pelosi's archbishop calls for Communion to be withheld from public figures supporting abortion rights MORE won in 2016.

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It’s a big shift from Emerson’s last poll from mid-October, which had Heller ahead by 7 points. More recent public polls have shown a much tighter race, which has given Republicans hope they can hold on to the seat and increase their Senate majority overall.

Forty-seven percent of respondents view President TrumpDonald TrumpDemocrats, activists blast reported Trump DOJ effort to get journalists' phone records Arizona secretary of state gets security detail over death threats surrounding election audit Trump admin got phone records of WaPo reporters covering Russia probe: report MORE favorably, while 48 percent of respondents said they view him unfavorably. Heller has tied himself closely to Trump in his Senate campaign and has a similar but slightly lower favorability rating, 43 percent (compared to 46 percent of respondents who viewed him unfavorably). Rosen has a split favorability rating with 42 percent of respondents reporting a favorable view of her to 42 percent who said they held an unfavorable view.

The poll also found Democratic candidates leading in Nevada’s two competitive House races, where Democrats are playing defense.

In Nevada’s 3rd District, Democratic philanthropist Susie Lee holds a comfortable 9-point lead over Republican businessman and perennial candidate Danny Tarkanian. The two are competing for Rosen’s seat.

Meanwhile, in Nevada’s 4th District, former Rep. Steven HorsfordSteven Alexander HorsfordLawmakers react to guilty verdict in Chauvin murder trial: 'Our work is far from done' Congressional Black Caucus members post selfie celebrating first WH visit in four years How to fix America's broken unemployment systems MORE (D) is ahead of former Rep. Cresent Hardy (R) by 4 points, just outside the margins, in the race to replace outgoing Rep. Ruben KihuenRuben Jesus KihuenRep. Steven Horsford wins Democratic House primary in Nevada Members spar over sexual harassment training deadline Nevada Dem sanctioned for sexual misconduct announces city council bid MORE (D-Nev.).

Nevada’s gubernatorial race is much tighter, with Democrat Steve Sisolak leading Republican Adam Laxalt by just 1 point, 48 percent to 47 percent among respondents to the Emerson poll. Two percent are undecided.

The poll was conducted from Nov. 1 to 4 and surveyed 1,197 adults. The margin of error was 3 percentage points.