CNN political analyst: Warren ‘below average’ in electability

CNN senior analyst and writer Harry Enten on Wednesday wrote that Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenMoveOn leaders stepping down before 2020 election Julián Castro calls for ‘tuition-free’ public colleges, apprenticeships Native American leader asks when US will come to its ‘senses’ after Trump’s ‘racist’ attack against Warren MORE (D-Mass.) is "below average" in electability based on an analysis of her Senate race performance in 2018 compared to House Democrats in her state.

Enten analyzed the "electability" of six possible presidential candidates by weighing their performance in their 2018 Senate races compared to how Democratic House candidates fared in those same states. 


"Sens. Amy KlobucharAmy Jean Klobuchar5 takeaways from Barr’s testimony Klobuchar dismisses mock campaign logo as something from 'very enthusiastic supporter' Grandson's note to Barr during confirmation hearing goes viral MORE of Minnesota and Sherrod BrownSherrod Campbell BrownCentrist efforts to convince Trump to end shutdown falter The Hill's Morning Report — Trump’s attorney general pick passes first test Brown launches tour in four early nominating states amid 2020 consideration MORE of Ohio are above-average candidates on the question of electability, while Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts — who announced Monday that she's formed a committee to explore a 2020 presidential run — is below average," Enten wrote.

Klobuchar, who is reportedly eyeing a bid, won her race by 24 points in 2018, while Democratic House candidates in Minnesota won by an average of 11 points.
"Klobuchar had a 13-point overperformance," Enten wrote.  

Brown also performed well in Ohio, where Democrats struggled in 2018.

Warren won in Massachusetts by 24 points in 2018 as House Democrats swept all of the state's congressional races. Massachusetts Democrats could have won the statewide House vote by 36 points if they all had Republican opponents, Enten noted, meaning Warren underperformed by 12 points.  

"The story is not as clear for the other potential 2020 Democratic candidates who ran for the Senate in 2018," Enten wrote, noting that Sen. Kristen Gillibrand (N.Y.) and former Rep. Beto O'RourkeRobert (Beto) Francis O'RourkeFormer staffer accuses Jackson Lee of retaliation after rape claim O'Rourke blogs from road trip: 'Have been stuck lately. In and out of a funk' Beto O'Rourke: Border wall 'will ensure death' MORE (Texas) performed better than Democratic House candidates in their states. Sen. Bernie SandersBernard (Bernie) SandersTexas man indicted over allegations he created fraudulent campaign PACs Overnight Energy: Wheeler weathers climate criticism at confirmation hearing | Dems want Interior to stop drilling work during shutdown | 2018 was hottest year for oceans Dems offer measure to raise minimum wage to per hour MORE (I-Vt.) fared a bit worse, according to the CNN analyst's calculations. 

Warren became the first major Democratic name to jump into the 2020 presidential race on Monday, announcing that she is forming an exploratory committee to run for the White House.