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CNN political analyst: Warren ‘below average’ in electability

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CNN senior analyst and writer Harry Enten on Wednesday wrote that Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) is “below average” in electability based on an analysis of her Senate race performance in 2018 compared to House Democrats in her state.

Enten analyzed the “electability” of six possible presidential candidates by weighing their performance in their 2018 Senate races compared to how Democratic House candidates fared in those same states. 

{mosads}”Sens. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota and Sherrod Brown of Ohio are above-average candidates on the question of electability, while Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts — who announced Monday that she’s formed a committee to explore a 2020 presidential run — is below average,” Enten wrote.

Klobuchar, who is reportedly eyeing a bid, won her race by 24 points in 2018, while Democratic House candidates in Minnesota won by an average of 11 points.
 
“Klobuchar had a 13-point overperformance,” Enten wrote.  

Brown also performed well in Ohio, where Democrats struggled in 2018.

Warren won in Massachusetts by 24 points in 2018 as House Democrats swept all of the state’s congressional races. Massachusetts Democrats could have won the statewide House vote by 36 points if they all had Republican opponents, Enten noted, meaning Warren underperformed by 12 points.  

“The story is not as clear for the other potential 2020 Democratic candidates who ran for the Senate in 2018,” Enten wrote, noting that Sen. Kristen Gillibrand (N.Y.) and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (Texas) performed better than Democratic House candidates in their states. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) fared a bit worse, according to the CNN analyst’s calculations. 

Warren became the first major Democratic name to jump into the 2020 presidential race on Monday, announcing that she is forming an exploratory committee to run for the White House. 

Tags 2020 Democratic primary 2020 presidential race Amy Klobuchar Bernie Sanders Beto O'Rourke Elizabeth Warren Sherrod Brown
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