Five questions for Beto O'Rourke

Five questions for Beto O'Rourke
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Beto O'RourkeBeto O'RourkeThe Hill's 12:30 Report: Trump digs in ahead of House vote to condemn tweet Poll: Biden, Sanders and Warren lead 2020 Democrats in New Hampshire Poll: Biden leads 2020 Democrats by 13 points, followed by Sanders, Warren and Harris MORE formally entered the race for the White House on Thursday, promising a “positive” campaign while saying it’s “a defining moment of truth for this country and every single one of us.” 

After months of anticipation, O’Rourke enters an already crowded race filled with heavyweight contenders including Sens. Bernie SandersBernie SandersSanders to call on 2020 Democrats to reject money from drug, health insurance industries The hidden connection between immigration and health care: Our long-term care crisis Harris tops Biden in California 2020 poll MORE (I-Vt) and Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenHarris tops Biden in California 2020 poll The Hill's Morning Report - A raucous debate on race ends with Trump admonishment Democrats fret over Trump cash machine MORE (D-Mass.). Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHouse unravels with rise of 'Les Enfants Terrible' Sanders to call on 2020 Democrats to reject money from drug, health insurance industries Harris tops Biden in California 2020 poll MORE is also expected to join the race.  

Here are five questions O’Rourke faces in the Democratic primary:

Is he liberal enough? 

Progressives have been quick to pounce on O’Rourke’s centrist-leaning positions. 

The Progressive Change Campaign Committee (PCCC) immediately put out a statement saying while it made sense to support him in his Senate race against Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzGoogle official denies allegations of ties to China The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by JUUL Labs - House to vote to condemn Trump tweet Cruz in 2016 said 'something fundamentally wrong' with Christians who back Trump: book MORE (R-Texas) in 2018, his issue positions “will get more scrutiny” during the presidential race. 

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“In 2020, with so many good choices like Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders in the race, voters will obviously apply a lot more scrutiny to a candidate's worldview,” said Adam Green, the PCCC co-founder. 

He mentioned "Medicare For all," the Green New Deal climate change plan and efforts to allow students to graduate from college debt-free as among the issues on which O’Rourke will face scrutiny. 

On Medicare For all, progressives have highlighted what they say are O’Rourke’s conflicting messages.

While serving in Congress, O’Rourke described a single-payer Medicare for all program as the best way to ensure all Americans get the health care they need. 

But during his Senate campaign he coined it a different way, saying Texans needed “universal, guaranteed, high-quality health care” while shying away from backing Medicare for all. 

Did he wait too long? 

O’Rourke was one of the hottest political brands in the country after the midterm elections when he ran a surprisingly close race against Cruz and showed off impressive fundraising skills. 

Voters said he was the future of the party, and he instantly drew comparisons to former President Obama. 

But O’Rourke’s star has faded a bit since those days. 

He faced criticism for appearing unfocused as he took a cross-country road trip and wrote a Medium post about being “stuck” and “in and out of a funk.” 

He also took his social media followers along as he visited a dentist, becoming the butt of jokes on Twitter and causing some to openly wonder if he had missed his opportunity. 

There was also talk that O’Rourke might focus on a Senate campaign against Sen. John CornynJohn CornynTrump angry more Republicans haven't defended his tweets: report White House, Congress inch toward debt, budget deal White House abruptly cancels Trump meeting with GOP leaders MORE (R-Texas). 

Throughout those weeks, his poll numbers dipped. 

It is entirely possible the former congressman's star will rise again. 

“He faces an uphill climb in a crowded field, but he’s clearly a force that may pull enough support from today’s perceived top contenders to shake things up early on,” said Democratic strategist Zac Petkanas, who served as an senior aide on Democratic presidential nominee Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonTrump thanks 'vicious young Socialist Congresswomen' for his poll numbers Will Trump's racist tweets backfire? Democrats fret over Trump cash machine MORE’s 2016 campaign.

But there are also those wondering if O’Rourke needed to more decisive about the race late last year in order to preserve the clear momentum he had at the time. 

Can he win Iowa? 

O’Rourke headed straight to the Hawkeye State after launching his campaign in El Paso. 

The move suggests he sees a strong result in Iowa as being a key for his White House path. 

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“He’s the great unknown here in Iowa,” said Pat Rynard, who runs the popular political site Iowa Starting Line. “People watched his Senate race from afar, but he didn't make any early trips so Iowans haven’t gotten up close and personal with him yet.”

Steffen Schmidt, a professor of political science at Iowa State University, said there is “a lot of interest” in O’Rourke. “He seems dynamic and charismatic and he'll get a good turnout at events.”

Petkanas said the crowded field will make the Iowa caucuses even more important.

“I think Iowa is going to be crucial for most candidates, but especially those like Beto who need at least a decent showing with the super liberal constituency that frequents those caucuses,” he said. 

How much will losing to Cruz hurt O’Rourke?

Winning the White House isn’t easy, and most who do so aren’t rebounding from a political defeat in a congressional race. 

Republicans have sought to use O’Rourke’s loss to Cruz as a way of defining him as, well, a loser. 

“After losing his Senate bid in Texas, the Liberals’ lovable loser who has been road tripping, live-streaming, and finding himself, decided he wants to lost on a bigger stage,” a statement from the Republican National Committee blared. 

Democrats may also use the Cruz loss against O’Rourke. 

“If Beto O'Rourke wants to go and run for president, God bless him. He should put his hat in and make his case. But he lost. You don't promote a loser to the top of the party,” Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel said late last year during an appearance on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.”

Is O’Rourke underestimated? 

Being compared to Obama isn’t easy and sets a high standard for O’Rourke. 

Critics say such comparisons are overblown and unfair to the Texan. 

“Apart from maybe his charisma, they’re totally different people,” said one former aide to Obama. 

Yet if there is a sense among some that O’Rourke gets more hype than he deserves, there are others who say it would be foolish to underestimate him. 

“More than any other candidate I know so far, Beto has demonstrated that you can’t underestimate him,” said former Rep. Steve IsraelSteven (Steve) J. IsraelWill Trump's racist tweets backfire? The real estate tycoon meets Iran How to unite the nation once more MORE (D-N.Y.). “He established it when he unexpectedly won his first House primary, established it throughout his tenure, and certainty when he ran against Senator Cruz.  Some candidates have money, some have a good field operation. He has the proven ability to beat the odds.” 

Democratic strategist Chris Kofinis agreed, pointing to the nearly $80 million O’Rourke raised in his race against Cruz. 

“The simple reality is there are three things that mater: media coverage, grass roots and money, and he’s got all three. You underestimate him at your peril.”