Poll: Biden has double-digit lead over Dem field in Iowa

A new poll shows former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenBiden on Trump's refusal to commit to peaceful transfer of power: 'What country are we in?' Democratic groups using Bloomberg money to launch M in Spanish language ads in Florida Harris faces pivotal moment with Supreme Court battle MORE with a commanding lead over the field of Democratic contenders in the first-in-the-nation caucus state of Iowa.

The survey from Monmouth University finds Biden with the support of 27 percent of respondents, followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersOutrage erupts over Breonna Taylor grand jury ruling Dimon: Wealth tax 'almost impossible to do' Grand jury charges no officers in Breonna Taylor death MORE (I) at 16 percent.

No other candidate pulls double-digit support, but South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegThe Hill's Morning Report - Sponsored by Facebook - GOP closes ranks to fill SCOTUS vacancy by November Buttigieg stands in as Pence for Harris's debate practice Hillicon Valley: FBI, DHS warn that foreign hackers will likely spread disinformation around election results | Social media platforms put muscle into National Voter Registration Day | Trump to meet with Republican state officials on tech liability shield MORE continues his impressive rise in the polls with a third-place showing, drawing the support of 9 percent of those surveyed.


Rounding out the field are Sens. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenDimon: Wealth tax 'almost impossible to do' CNN's Don Lemon: 'Blow up the entire system' remark taken out of context Democrats shoot down talk of expanding Supreme Court MORE (D-Mass.) and Kamala HarrisKamala HarrisHarris faces pivotal moment with Supreme Court battle Nearly 40 Democratic senators call for climate change questions in debates Joe Biden has long forgotten North Carolina: Today's visit is too late MORE (D-Calif.) at 7 percent, former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) at 6 percent, Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharSocial media platforms put muscle into National Voter Registration Day Battle lines drawn on precedent in Supreme Court fight Sunday shows - Ruth Bader Ginsburg's death dominates MORE (D-Minn.) at 4 percent and Sen. Cory BookerCory Anthony BookerBipartisan praise pours in after Ginsburg's death DHS opens probe into allegations at Georgia ICE facility Democratic lawmakers call for an investigation into allegations of medical neglect at Georgia ICE facility MORE (D-N.J.) at 3 percent.

The survey finds Biden mopping up among older people and working-class voters.

Biden has support from 44 percent of those respondents over the age of 65. He has Thirty-eight percent of those surveyed who are earning less than $50,000 per year support him, as do 34 percent of respondents without a college degree.

“If Biden does get into this race, he’ll start out as a clear front-runner in Iowa," said Patrick Murray, the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. "Not only does he garner support from crucial demographic groups but he is almost universally well-liked among all Democratic voters.”

Biden is expected to launch his presidential campaign sometime after Easter.


The controversy that exploded after several women accused him of inappropriate touching at public events does not appear to have tarnished his image among Democratic voters.

Seventy-eight percent of Iowa Democrats have a favorable view of Biden, compared to only 14 percent who view him unfavorably. That’s the best net favorability rating in the field.

Sanders is at 67 percent favorable and 26 percent unfavorable. Buttigieg posts a 45 percent to 9 percent favorable-unfavorable split.

“Buttigieg’s current standing in the horse race is impressive given that nearly half of likely Democratic caucus-goers have yet to form an opinion of him," Murray said. "He has one of the best positive to negative ratios in the field. He could move up if he is able to maintain that rating as he introduces himself to more voters. Klobuchar is another candidate with potential to increase her support as she becomes better known, based on her current ratings ratio."

At 51 percent, health care is far and away the top issue for Iowa Democrats, with climate change a distant second at 17 percent.

“Here’s one example of why this race is very open despite the possibility of having a nominal front-runner if Biden gets in," Murray said. "Health care and the environment are clearly the top issues in this race, but it doesn’t look like any candidate owns a clear advantage on them. And there are a bunch of other issues that candidates may be able to leverage into voter support over the next few months.”

The Monmouth University survey of 351 likely Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa was conducted between April 4 and April 9 and has a 5.2 percentage point margin of error.