Liberal survey: Sanders cruising, Buttigieg rising

Liberal survey: Sanders cruising, Buttigieg rising
© Greg Nash

Vermont Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersJames Carville: Biden represents 'stability' not 'generational change' Ocasio-Cortez, progressives trash 'antisemitic' Politico illustration of Bernie Sanders 2020 Democrats target federal ban on abortion funding MORE (I) has strengthened his grip on the liberal base but there is growing interest on the left in South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPeter (Pete) Paul ButtigiegButtigieg defends Kaepernick, NFL players who kneel during national anthem Journalism is now opinion-based — not news-based Buttiegieg backs NFL players' right to protest during anthem: I 'put my life on the line to defend' that MORE, according to a new survey of progressive activists.

The survey from the liberal group Democracy for America (DFA), which counted votes from 96,641 of its members, finds Sanders with a comfortable lead over the Democratic presidential primary field at 42.3 percent support. That’s up from 36.2 percent in the same survey from December.

Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenTrump defense pick expected to face tense confirmation 2020 Democrats target federal ban on abortion funding Gillibrand seizes on abortion debate to jump-start campaign MORE (D-Mass.) is in second place at 10.5 percent, up from 7.9 percent in the previous poll.


Buttigieg is by far the biggest gainer, coming out of nowhere for a third place showing with 9.7 percent support.

His meteoric rise has caught the attention of Washington insiders and establishment Democrats. But Buttigieg’s strength among grass-roots liberals in the poll could be a sign that his campaign has staying power. Buttigieg has also seen a rise in the polls in early voting states, such as Iowa and New Hampshire.

Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenJames Carville: Biden represents 'stability' not 'generational change' Trump's misspelling of Biden's name trends on Twitter Trump says 'I have confidence' after past North Korea missile tests MORE and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (Texas) saw their support plunge in the survey.

Biden, who is expected to enter the race this week, is in fourth place at 7.9 percent, down from 14.9 percent in the previous survey. The former vice president has scores of influential Democratic allies and donors waiting on the sidelines to support him, but his entrance into the race sets the stage for a brutal battle between progressives and mainstream Democrats over the future direction of the party.

O’Rourke is in seventh place at 3.5 percent, down from 12.3 percent in the December poll. The former Texas congressman entered the race with high expectations after nearly toppling Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzOn The Money: Conservative blocks disaster relief bill | Trade high on agenda as Trump heads to Japan | Boeing reportedly faces SEC probe over 737 Max | Study finds CEO pay rising twice as fast as worker pay Conservative blocks House passage of disaster relief bill The Hill's Morning Report — After contentious week, Trump heads for Japan MORE (R-Texas) last year, but he’s seen much of his momentum blunted by the rise of Buttigieg, who is similarly pitching generational change.

“While these new poll results show Bernie Sanders retaining and even strengthening his support among progressives, the big shifts in support for the broad field of candidate we’ve seen over the last three months make it clear that Democracy for America members are very open to changing their minds, discovering new candidates, and reevaluating potential nominees based on the campaign they run in the months ahead,” said Charles Chamberlain, the chairman for DFA.

The DFA survey also found surprising support for former Alaska Sen. Mike Gravel, at 6.3 percent, and tech entrepreneur Andrew YangAndrew YangKlobuchar to roll out policy priorities for farmers in Iowa DNC boss says candidates to be involved in debate lottery Hillicon Valley: Assange hit with 17 more charges | Facebook removes record 2.2B fake profiles | Senate passes anti-robocall bill | Senators offer bill to help companies remove Huawei equipment MORE, at 2.7 percent.

Nationally, Gravel clocks in just behind Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisSan Francisco police chief apologizes for raid on journalist's home Gillibrand seizes on abortion debate to jump-start campaign Senate Democrats to House: Tamp down the impeachment talk MORE (D-Calif.), who is at 6.8 percent. He has nearly twice the support of O’Rourke and is in fourth place among Iowa’s DFA members, with 7.6 percent support, ahead of Biden.

“While Mayor Buttigieg was the top ‘surprise’ candidate …  the enthusiastic response that the largely internet-­based campaigns of former Congressman Mike Gravel and entrepreneur Andrew Yang received in our poll were also notable,” DFA wrote in its analysis.

“It would be foolish for Democrats or the media to ignore the genuine interest our poll shows the grassroots have in their campaigns and, most importantly, the big ideas that fuel them like ending all wars and universal basic income.”

Sanders holds commanding leads across the board in the early voting states.

Sanders leads in Iowa with 43.8 percent support, followed by Buttigieg at 10.2 percent, Warren at 9.9 percent, Gravel at 7.6 percent and Biden at 6.2 percent.

In New Hampshire, Sanders is at 42.3 percent, followed by Buttigieg at 9.3 percent, Harris at 8.4 percent, Biden at 7.9 percent and Warren at 7.5 percent.

Sanders scores highest in Nevada, with 45.9 percent support, followed by Buttigieg at 9.3 percent, Warren at 8.6 percent, Harris at 8.2 percent and Biden at 7.5 percent.

In South Carolina, Sanders is at 41.3 percent support, followed by Buttigieg at 12 percent, Biden at 10.7 percent, Warren at 8.9 percent and Harris at 4.9 percent.

The DFA member survey was conducted April 1-19.