Joe Biden
Joe BidenMick Mulvaney to start hedge fund Trump to visit Kenosha on Tuesday amid unrest Warner calls Intelligence chief's decision to scale down congressional election security briefings 'outrageous' MORE holds a 30-point lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders
Bernie SandersRepublicans aim socialism accusation at Florida audience Michael Moore warns of 2016 repeat: Enthusiasm for Trump 'OFF THE CHARTS' Politics of fear finds home in 2020 campaign MORE (I-Vt.) in the Democratic presidential field, according to a Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey released exclusively to The Hill, further signaling that the former vice president is cementing his place as the primary contest’s front-runner.
Forty-four percent of Democratic voters surveyed said they are most likely to vote for Biden in the 2020 Democratic primaries. Sanders comes in second place at 14 percent, while Sen. Kamala Harris
Kamala HarrisRepublicans aim socialism accusation at Florida audience Democrats seek balance in backing protests, condemning violence Obamas honor Chadwick Boseman: 'He was blessed' MORE (D-Calif.) places third with just 9 percent, the poll found.
The survey results show a surge for Biden since he launched his presidential campaign last week. A Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey from March pegged his support in the primary field at 35 percent, though at the time he hadn’t yet entered the race.
The poll results are largely in line with other surveys conducted in recent days that show Biden widening his lead in the sprawling Democratic primary field.
“The Biden surge is significant and greater than expected,” Mark Penn
Mark PennGOP fears Trump attacks on mail-in vote will sabotage turnout Poll: 70 percent of Americans support voting by mail Biden, under Trump attack, casts himself as firm on China MORE, the co-director of the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, said. “His launch was super successful and he has opened up a significant lead.”
Among respondents, 5 percent said they would most likely vote for Sen. Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth WarrenHillicon Valley: Zuckerberg acknowledges failure to take down Kenosha military group despite warnings | Election officials push back against concerns over mail-in voting, drop boxes Joe Kennedy is a great progressive choice for the Senate Bipartisan senators call for investigation of popular fertility app MORE (D-Mass.), while South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg
Pete ButtigiegBiden-Harris ad calls to 'Heal America' amid Republican convention Sunday shows - Leaked audio of Trump's sister reverberates Buttigieg says differences between Biden and Trump are 'almost punching us in the face' MORE, was picked by 4 percent. Sen. Cory Booker
Cory Anthony BookerThe brave new post-COVID convention world NJ Governor proposes ,000 'baby bond' for children to close wealth gap Biden-Harris ad calls to 'Heal America' amid Republican convention MORE (D-N.J.) and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) tied for sixth place at 3 percent.
When it comes to who voters think has the best chance of beating President Trump
Donald John TrumpTrump to visit Kenosha on Tuesday amid unrest Warner calls Intelligence chief's decision to scale down congressional election security briefings 'outrageous' Katyusha rocket lands in Baghdad 'Green Zone': report MORE in the 2020 general election, Biden still has a significant lead, with 40 percent of respondents saying as such. Sanders comes in after the former vice president at 13 percent.
But according to the poll, voters are looking for more than just someone who can defeat Trump. Thirty percent said it was more important to nominate a candidate who shares their positions on the issues, while 26 percent said that the ability to beat Trump was a more important quality in the eventual Democratic nominee.
The Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll online survey of 1,536 registered voters was conducted from April 30-May 1. Of that, 259 self-identified Democratic voters were asked about their candidate preference in the party’s primary field.
The Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll is a collaboration of the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and The Harris Poll. The Hill will work with Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll throughout 2019.
Full poll results will be posted online later this week. The Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey is an online sample drawn from the Harris Panel and weighted to reflect known demographics. As a representative online sample, it does not report a probability confidence interval.