Poll: Biden leads Trump in Texas

Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenBiden says Trump executive order is 'a reckless war on Social Security' Trump got into testy exchange with top GOP donor Adelson: report Blumenthal calls for declassification of materials detailing Russian threat to US elections MORE has a modest lead over President TrumpDonald John TrumpDeWine tests negative for coronavirus a second time Several GOP lawmakers express concern over Trump executive orders Beirut aftermath poses test for US aid to frustrating ally MORE in red Texas, while the rest of the Democratic field runs close to the president, according to a new survey. 

A Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday finds Biden leading Trump by 4 points in Texas, 48 percent to 44 percent.

The rest of the Democratic field isn’t far behind.


Trump edges Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenBiden campaign says no VP pick yet after bike trail quip Biden edges closer to VP pick: Here's who's up and who's down Democratic convention lineup to include Ocasio-Cortez, Clinton, Warren: reports MORE (Mass.) 46 percent to 45 percent. In a head-to-head match-up against Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Memo: Trump team pounces on Biden gaffes The Hill's Campaign Report: US officials say Russia, China are looking to sow discord in election Warren urges investment in child care workers amid pandemic MORE (I-Vt.), Trump leads 47 percent to 44 percent. Trump leads former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (Texas) 48 percent to 45 percent and he holds a 47 percent-to-43 percent advantage over Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisBiden campaign says no VP pick yet after bike trail quip Hillary Clinton roasts NYT's Maureen Dowd over column Biden edges closer to VP pick: Here's who's up and who's down MORE (Calif.). 

The Democrats are boosted in the poll by independent voters and a yawning gender gap. 

In the Trump-Biden matchup, Trump leads among men by 8 points, while Biden leads by 15 points among women.

Trump leads Biden 60 percent to 33 percent among white voters, but Biden takes 86 percent of black voters and 59 percent of Hispanic voters.

Trump and Biden each pull at least 90 percent support from within their own parties, but independent voters back Biden by a margin of 55 percent to 33 percent.

Biden is also dominating the Democratic primary in Texas, which is one of a dozen states to vote on Super Tuesday on March 3. Biden takes 30 percent support among Democrats in the poll, followed by O’Rourke at 16 percent, Sanders at 15 percent and Warren at 11 percent.

“The numbers are good for Vice President Joseph Biden who dominates the field in a Democratic primary and has the best showing in a head-to-head match-up against President Donald Trump,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

“In historically red-leaning Texas, the report for the rest of the Democratic field is not so bad either, which could spell trouble for President Trump. It is the largest state in the country with a Republican edge. The president, who is on the wrong side of a too-close-to-call matchup with Biden, barely inches up in similar matchups with all the other Democrats.” 

Trump’s job approval in Texas is at 48 percent positive and 49 percent negative, with 55 percent of men approving of the job he’s doing and 55 percent of women disapproving.

Fifty-six percent of voters say they’re better off financially today than they were in 2016.

Trump won Texas by 9 points over former Secretary of State Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonBlumenthal calls for declassification of materials detailing Russian threat to US elections Hillary Clinton roasts NYT's Maureen Dowd over column Hillary Clinton touts student suspended over crowded hallway photo: 'John Lewis would be proud' MORE in the past election, but Democrats have long dreamed of turning the Lone Star State blue and gaining control of its 38 Electoral College votes.

In 2018, Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzPat Fallon wins GOP nomination in race to succeed DNI Ratcliffe The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by the Air Line Pilots Association - Negotiators 'far apart' as talks yield little ahead of deadline Wary GOP eyes Meadows shift from brick-thrower to dealmaker MORE (R-Texas) eked out a hard-fought victory over O’Rourke with 51 percent of the vote. 

A strong majority of Democrats in the survey, 60 percent, said they’d like to see O’Rourke abandon his presidential hopes and run again for Senate against Sen. John CornynJohn CornynCOVID-19 bill limiting liability would strike the wrong balance From a Republican donor to Senate GOP: Remove marriage penalty or risk alienating voters Skepticism grows over Friday deadline for coronavirus deal MORE (R-Texas), who is up for reelection.

The Quinnipiac University poll of 1,159 Texas voters was conducted between May 29 and June 4 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.