Poll: Biden leads Democratic field by 12 points, Warren narrowly tops Sanders

Poll: Biden leads Democratic field by 12 points, Warren narrowly tops Sanders
© Aaron Schwartz

Joe BidenJoe BidenBiden campaign cancels fundraiser with Mueller prosecutor Twitter joins Democrats to boost mail-in voting — here's why The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Facebook - George Floyd's death sparks protests, National Guard activation MORE leads the crowded Democratic presidential primary field by 12 points in a new poll, while Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenCOVID-19 workplace complaints surge; unions rip administration Gloves come off as Democrats fight for House seat in California Police killing in Minneapolis puts new scrutiny on Biden pick MORE (D-Mass.) edges out Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersGloves come off as Democrats fight for House seat in California Senate Democrats pump brakes on new stimulus checks The Hill's Coronavirus Report: Unemployment claims now at 41 million with 2.1 million more added to rolls; Topeka mayor says cities don't have enough tests for minorities and homeless communities MORE (I-Vt.) by 1 point, continuing her recent boost in support.

The former vice president is the first choice for 26 percent of Democratic voters who said they will vote in their state’s primary or caucus next year, while 14 percent backed Warren and 13 percent voiced support for Sanders, according to the latest Economist/YouGov poll.

No other candidate breaks double digits in the question.


Biden leads all other Democrats in nearly every demographic group, running up margins of over 20 points among black and Hispanic voters and voters over the age of 65.

The demographic that does not say Biden is their first choice is younger voters aged 18-29, who say they prefer Sanders over the former vice president by a 22 percent to 11 percent margin. South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegBiden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It's as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process Here's how Biden can win over the minority vote and the Rust Belt MORE (D) also garnered 11 percent support among younger voters in the poll.

Biden is buoyed by a net-positive favorability rating, with 40 percent of adults saying they have a very or somewhat favorable view of him, and 34 percent saying the have a very or somewhat unfavorable opinion of him. Another 16 percent are not sure what they think of him.

The poll was conducted before Biden sparked outrage from several Democratic rivals this week after touting his working relationship with two Democratic segregationists during his time in the Senate.

“At least there was some civility. We got things done. We didn't agree on much of anything. We got things done. We got it finished,” Biden said of former Sens. James O. Eastland (D-Miss.) and Herman Talmadge (D-Ga.) at a Tuesday night fundraiser.

Biden on Wednesday defended himself, saying he had nothing to apologize for but that he “detested what they stood for in terms of segregation and all the rest.”

The former vice president has established himself as the crowded primary pack’s pacesetter, topping every poll since his April campaign launch and hauling in millions of dollars in donations. 

Thursday’s survey also marks another sign that Warren is gaining support on Sanders as the two battle for the progressive mantle in the nominating contest. She has enjoyed a recent surge in support, attracting positive attention from the media and activists over her detailed policy proposals.

The YouGov/Economist poll surveyed 1,500 adults, of which 1,202 were registered voters, from June 16-18 and has a margin of error of 2.7 percentage points for all adults and 2.9 percentage points for voters.