Poll: Trump and Biden statistically tied in Florida

Poll: Trump and Biden statistically tied in Florida
© Getty Images

Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenSanders joins Biden atop 2020 Democratic field: poll The Hill's Morning Report - Trump trial begins with clashes, concessions Trump says impeachment lawyers were 'really good' MORE and President TrumpDonald John TrumpRouhani says Iran will never seek nuclear weapons Trump downplays seriousness of injuries in Iran attack after US soldiers treated for concussions Trump says Bloomberg is 'wasting his money' on 2020 campaign MORE are statistically tied in a hypothetical 2020 matchup in the crucial swing state of Florida, according to a new survey.

Biden narrowly edged out Trump by half a point in the St. Pete Polls survey, published by Florida Politics on Thursday, earning 47.3 percent of general election voters’ support to Trump’s 46.8 percent. The remaining 5.9 percent of voters said they were undecided. The gap is well within the poll’s 1.8 percentage point margin of error. 


The Democrat was boosted by support from black voters, 90 to 2.8 percent, and beat Trump among voters aged 18–69. However, Trump was backed by more voters over 70 years old and had the support of 40 percent of Hispanic voters, 7 points more than he got in 2016 when he won the state over Democratic presidential nominee Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonThe Hill's Morning Report - Trump trial begins with clashes, concessions Trump on Clinton's Sanders comments: 'She's the one that people don't like' Hillary Clinton tears open wound with her attack on Sanders MORE.

A plurality of Florida voters also said they approved of the job Trump is doing as president by a 48.7 to 47.3 percent margin.

The new survey comes after surveys show Biden with leads over Trump in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, all swing states that helped Trump win the White House in 2016. A Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday showed Biden with a 9-point lead over Trump in a hypothetical Florida matchup.

Statewide elections in Florida are often decided by razor-thin margins, and both parties are expected to invest heavily in a state that could have the power to singlehandedly decide the 2020 contest.

The Trump campaign decided to hold its launch in Orlando, Fla., this week and is planning to use the state to test a Latino voter outreach initiative. Trump also hopes his extensive efforts to boost Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) and Gov. Ron DeSantisRonald Dion DeSantisFlorida Supreme Court rules convicted felons must pay fines, fees before voting Florida moves to purchase land to protect Everglades from oil drilling Top Latino group: Trump is about to hold a 'fake Christian campaign rally' MORE (R) in the 2018 midterms will pay dividends.

Across the aisle, Andrew Gillum, the 2018 Democratic candidate for Florida governor, is leading an effort to register 1 million new voters ahead of the 2020 presidential election. The state’s Democratic Party is also planning to spend $2 million to register an additional 200,000 voters. 

The St. Pete poll surveyed 3,095 likely Florida general election voters from June 15 to 16.