Warren, Harris surge into tie with Biden in new Iowa poll

Sens. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenKamala Harris: The conventional (and predictable) pick all along On The Money: McConnell says it's time to restart coronavirus talks | New report finds majority of Americans support merger moratorium | Corporate bankruptcies on pace for 10-year high Hillicon Valley: Facebook removed over 22 million posts for hate speech in second quarter | Republicans introduce bill to defend universities against hackers targeting COVID-19 research | Facebook's Sandberg backs Harris as VP pick MORE (D-Mass.) and Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisNAACP seeks to boost Black voter turnout in six states Biden touts Trump saying Harris would be 'fine choice' for VP pick Kamala Harris: The conventional (and predictable) pick all along MORE (D-Calif.) have surged into a virtual tie with former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenNAACP seeks to boost Black voter turnout in six states Biden touts Trump saying Harris would be 'fine choice' for VP pick Kamala Harris: The conventional (and predictable) pick all along MORE in Iowa after last week’s debates, according to a new survey conducted for a Democratic group. 

The poll, conducted by Democratic pollster David Binder for the group Focus on Rural America, shows Warren leading the field with 20 percent of the vote, a statistical tie with Harris at 18 percent and Biden at 17 percent.

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Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersBiden wins Connecticut in final presidential primary of year Vermont Rep. Peter Welch easily wins primary Three pros and three cons to Biden picking Harris MORE (I-Vt.) is just off the podium at 12 percent, closely trailed by South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegCalifornia Dems back Yang after he expresses disappointment over initial DNC lineup Obamas, Clintons to headline Biden's nominating convention CNN's Ana Navarro to host Biden roundtable on making 'Trump a one-term president' MORE at 10 percent. Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharCalifornia Dems back Yang after he expresses disappointment over initial DNC lineup Senate Democrats demand answers on migrant child trafficking during pandemic Senate Democrats push to include free phone calls for incarcerated people in next relief package MORE (D-Minn.) clocks in at 4 percent, and Sen. Cory BookerCory Anthony BookerCalifornia Dems back Yang after he expresses disappointment over initial DNC lineup Obamas, Clintons to headline Biden's nominating convention Senators ask for removal of tariffs on EU food, wine, spirits: report MORE (D-N.J.) scores 2 percent. Ten other candidates each notch 1 percent support in the Hawkeye State.

The poll shows Warren and Harris both doubling their support following strong performances in last week’s debate, while Biden and Sanders have slipped. In the group’s March poll, Biden led the field with 25 percent support, followed by Sanders at 17 percent.  

Klobuchar, Booker and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas) all saw their poll numbers slip. O’Rourke’s support slipped from 6 percent in the March poll to just 1 percent in the July survey, conducted entirely after the debates.

The debates certainly helped Harris and Warren: Voters who watched some or all of the two-night coverage said they were most likely to back one of the two senators, both of whom stood out onstage against their rivals.  

Harris has been steadily rising since she announced she would run in January.

Today, 82 percent of Iowa Democrats surveyed say they have a positive opinion about the California senator, up from 54 percent in a December poll and 73 percent in March. Warren is the most popular Democrat in the field, with 88 percent of respondents saying they have a positive opinion about the Massachusetts Democrat. 

Buttigieg’s image has also improved markedly, growing from a 44 percent positive image to an 80 percent positive image from March to July. 

On the other hand, Biden and Sanders have both seen opinions about them slide.

About three-quarters of Iowa Democrats polled, 74 percent, see Biden positively, down from 90 percent in December and 88 percent in March; Sanders’s positive image slipped from 83 percent in March to 73 percent in July.

Fewer than 1 in 3 Iowa Democrats see eight of the lesser-known contenders in a positive light: Businessman Andrew YangAndrew YangCalifornia Dems back Yang after he expresses disappointment over initial DNC lineup The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden picks Harris as running mate Yang on Democratic convention: 'I kind of expected to speak' MORE, Reps. Eric SwalwellEric Michael Swalwell'This already exists': Democrats seize on potential Trump executive order on preexisting conditions Swalwell: Barr has taken Michael Cohen's job as Trump's fixer The Hill's Coronavirus Report: Chris Christie says Trump team wasn't aggressive enough early in COVID-19 crisis; Tensions between White House, Fauci boil over MORE (D-Calif.), Tim RyanTimothy (Tim) RyanThe Hill's Coronavirus Report: HHS Secretary Azar says US plans to have tens of millions of vaccine doses this fall; Kremlin allegedly trying to hack vaccine research Democrats see victory in Trump culture war House Democrat calls for 'real adult discussion' on lawmaker pay MORE (D-Ohio) and Seth MoultonSeth MoultonPortland: The Pentagon should step up or pipe down House panel votes to constrain Afghan drawdown, ask for assessment on 'incentives' to attack US troops Overnight Defense: House panel votes to ban Confederate flag on all Pentagon property | DOD report says Russia working to speed US withdrawal from Afghanistan | 'Gang of Eight' to get briefing on bounties Thursday MORE (D-Mass.), Montana Gov. Steve BullockSteve BullockLincoln Project expands GOP target list, winning Trump ire Republicans uncomfortably playing defense 300 green groups say Senate has 'moral duty' to reject Trump's public lands nominee MORE (D), Sen. Michael BennetMichael Farrand BennetKamala Harris makes history — as a Westerner Expanding our health force can save lives and create jobs simultaneously How Congress is preventing a Medicare bankruptcy during COVID-19 MORE (D-Colo.), author Marianne WilliamsonMarianne WilliamsonMarianne Williamson touts endorsements for progressive congressional candidates The Hill's 12:30 Report: Warren becomes latest 2020 rival to back Biden The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden looks to stretch lead in Tuesday contests MORE and Wayne MessamWayne Martin MessamKey moments in the 2020 Democratic presidential race so far Wayne Messam suspends Democratic presidential campaign 2020 primary debate guide: Everything you need to know ahead of the November forum MORE, the mayor of Miramar, Fla.

The survey of 600 likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers was conducted June 29-July 1, over both landline and cellphones, carrying a margin of error of 4 percentage points.