Cook Political Report moves TX-23 from Toss Up to Lean Democratic after Hurd retirement

Cook Political Report moves TX-23 from Toss Up to Lean Democratic after Hurd retirement
© Stefani Reynolds

The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election handicapper, changed its rating for the House race for Texas’s 23rd Congressional District from “Toss Up” to “Lean Democratic” after Rep. Will HurdWilliam Ballard HurdSunday Talk Shows: Lawmakers look ahead to House vote on articles of impeachment, Senate trial Congressional Hispanic Caucus campaign arm endorses two Texas Democrats Group of veterans call on lawmakers to support impeachment, 'put country over politics' MORE (R) announced he would not seek reelection in 2020.

Hurd’s announcement marked a boost to Democrats who hope to flip the border district, which Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonNo, the polls aren't wrong — but you have to know what to look for How to shut down fake Republican outrage over 'spying' on Trump More than 200,000 Wisconsin voters will be removed from the rolls MORE won in 2016 and Hurd held on to by half a point in last year’s midterm race.

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“Hurd is probably the only Republican capable of holding Texas's massive 23rd District, which stretches from the San Antonio suburbs to El Paso and takes in more of the Mexico border than any other district. A former CIA operative, Hurd developed a reputation as an indefatigable retail campaigner who isn't afraid to shred President TrumpDonald John TrumpRepublicans aim to avoid war with White House over impeachment strategy New York Times editorial board calls for Trump's impeachment Trump rips Michigan Rep. Dingell after Fox News appearance: 'Really pathetic!' MORE, particularly on Russia and the proposed border wall,” Cook’s David Wasserman wrote.

“Republicans will be hard-pressed to find a candidate who can replicate Hurd's appeal,” he wrote.

Hurd said he is leaving office at the end of his term to “pursue opportunities outside the halls of Congress to solve problems at the nexus between technology and national security.”

Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones, who narrowly lost her race to unseat Hurd last year and is running again in 2020, praised the incumbent’s service and said she is ready to take the reins of the district.

“After years of serving our country, first in the CIA and then in Congress, I respect Congressman Hurd’s decision to serve in a new capacity. From San Antonio to Socorro and everywhere in between, Texans are ready for new leadership in Washington and I’m ready to serve,” she tweeted.

But the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) has expressed confidence that the GOP will hold on to the seat. 

“Contrary to what pundits will tell you, this is an R+1 district and we will fight tooth and nail to ensure it remains in Republican hands in 2020,” NRCC Chairman Rep. Tom EmmerThomas (Tom) Earl EmmerDemocrat who opposed Trump, Clinton impeachment inquiries faces big test Republicans disavow GOP candidate who said 'we should hang' Omar George Papadopoulos launches campaign to run for Katie Hill's congressional seat MORE (R-Minn.) said in a statement.