Warren gains on Biden in Iowa: poll

Warren gains on Biden in Iowa: poll
© Greg Nash

Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenButtigieg surges ahead of Iowa caucuses Biden leads among Latino Democrats in Texas, California Following school shooting, Biden speaks out: 'We have to protect these kids' MORE (D-Mass.) is closing in on former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenButtigieg surges ahead of Iowa caucuses GOP eager for report on alleged FBI surveillance abuse Biden leads among Latino Democrats in Texas, California MORE in Iowa, according to a Monmouth University poll released Thursday. 

Biden remains the contest's front-runner, notching 28 percent support among likely Democratic caucusgoers in Iowa. But Warren is now polling in second place with 19 percent support, a significant gain from the 7 percent she carried in a similar survey conducted in April.

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In third place is Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisBiden leads among Latino Democrats in Texas, California Overnight Health Care: Cigarette smoking rates at new low | Spread of vaping illness slowing | Dems in Congress push to block Trump abortion rule Democratic senators introduce bill to push ICE to stop 'overuse' of solitary confinement MORE (D-Calif.), who came in with 11 percent support in the Hawkeye State. Like Warren, she saw a bump since Monmouth’s last Iowa poll, gaining 4 points since April. 

Meanwhile, Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersButtigieg surges ahead of Iowa caucuses Biden leads among Latino Democrats in Texas, California On The Money: Trump appeals to Supreme Court to keep tax returns from NY prosecutors | Pelosi says deal on new NAFTA 'imminent' | Mnuchin downplays shutdown threat | Trump hits Fed after Walmart boasts strong earnings MORE (I-Vt.) has trended in the opposite direction. He took fourth in the latest survey with 9 percent support, down from 16 percent in April. He’s trailed closely by South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPeter (Pete) Paul ButtigiegButtigieg surges ahead of Iowa caucuses Overnight Health Care: Cigarette smoking rates at new low | Spread of vaping illness slowing | Dems in Congress push to block Trump abortion rule Ocasio-Cortez jabs 'plutocratic' late entrants to 2020 field MORE (D) at 8 percent, according to the poll. 

Four other candidates notched above 1 percent in the Monmouth poll of Iowa Democratic caucusgoers: Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy Jean Klobuchar 2020 Democrats demand action on guns after Santa Clarita shooting Hillicon Valley: Federal inquiry opened into Google health data deal | Facebook reports millions of post takedowns | Microsoft shakes up privacy debate | Disney plus tops 10M sign-ups in first day Federal inquiry opened into Google health data deal MORE (D-Minn.) and billionaire philanthropist Tom SteyerThomas (Tom) Fahr SteyerOcasio-Cortez jabs 'plutocratic' late entrants to 2020 field Bloomberg's path to the convention — and beyond Krystal Ball: Billionaires panicking over Sanders candidacy MORE scored 3 percent each, while Sen. Kirsten GillibrandKirsten GillibrandMaloney primary challenger calls on her to return, donate previous campaign donations from Trump Senate confirms controversial circuit court nominee She Should Run launches initiative to expand number of women in political process MORE (D-N.Y.) and former tech executive Andrew YangAndrew Yang 2020 Democrats demand action on guns after Santa Clarita shooting Panel devolves over new Russian accusation about Tulsi Yang unveils '21st century approach' to regulating tech MORE came in with 2 percent each.

Warren’s rise suggests that her massive field operation in Iowa and breakneck pace of campaigning may be paying off. She has more staffers on the ground than any of her rivals, and is among the top-tier candidates who have spent the most time in the state, according to the Des Moines Register, which is tracking candidate visits to Iowa.

The poll, which was conducted from Aug. 1 to 4, also suggests that Warren’s standing may have been buoyed by what was considered by many to be a solid performance in the second Democratic primary debate last week.

More than three quarters of Iowa Democratic caucusgoers — 76 percent — have a positive impression of Warren, the Monmouth poll found, giving her the highest favorability rating of any candidate in the race. Biden takes a close second on that front, with 73 percent reporting favorable views of the former vice president.

Harris and Buttigieg are tied at 68 percent favorability, while Sanders rounds out the top five at 58 percent. 

The Iowa caucuses are still roughly six months away, however, and the candidates will have an opportunity in the coming days to boost their Iowa bona fides. Virtually the entire Democratic field is slated to speak at the Iowa State Fair, one of the most essential stops for presidential campaigns.

The Monmouth poll surveyed 401 likely Democratic caucusgoers in Iowa, about 20 percent whom said they would likely caucus online or on the phone, from Aug. 1 to 4. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.